Druff pulls another stunt like that and he risks getting his account shut down
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Druff pulls another stunt like that and he risks getting his account shut down
Yup, another close one but I move to 7-1 in last 8.
Phillies have the ability to score runs and okayish pitching, so I liked getting them at home against a fringe pitcher like Stripling.
Fyi I've won a very high % of Phillies bets this year.
Thanks for another great pick Druff. The games you have been picking have been so exciting to sweat.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
How is everyone feeling about NFL teams that may outperform their estimated win totals? I'm liking Arizona Over 9.5 (some books have this @ 10), Falcons Over 7.5, Rams Under 7.5, and 49ers under 5.5. Thoughts?
grr 1 and 1 yesterday, except I rolled the cubs W $ into a Seattle L, so really 0 and 2. oh well
KC, Seattle, Wash, Cubs and NYY today.
Gonna be disciplined with the Tigers ace vs Sawks. I wanna hate bet the Sawks and the bullpen but BnP's post about injuries to Tigers is real.Quote:
Originally Posted by Charham
In the end you gotta hit. Give edge to Sawks offense but it feels like anything can happen. Just a good take for now.
I'll just wait for Druff's picks
ok 4 and 1 yesterday, that pays! Taking the Nats, Royals, and Seattle again. Dropping the NYY and Cubs for various reasons today.
LAD and AZ game overs.
GL boys on your UFC bets.
Why is Toronto only -101?
I know they're OTR but Sanchez is very good. The other guy meh. Power vs power.
I feel like I am missing something obv
Edit
Description:
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 971 Toronto Blue Jays -103 for Game W
Donaldson & Tulo back for Jays. Maybe not 100% but that helps.
Goes off in 20 minutes but...
Pittsburgh (Kuhl) -122 vs Marlins (Phelps)
ok 4 out of 5 today, and some live bets so $$. I passed on the yankees and cubs and they hit 2. Lets see how the line ups shake out tomorrow, but eyeing same series again.
Well, that sucked.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Pittsburgh's bats were asleep, aside from Harrison.
Sadly I almost went with Phillies & Blue Jays, and both won.
LA Dodgers (Urias) -129 at Cincinnati (DeScalfani)
St. Louis (Leake) -112 at Phillies (Velazquez)
Texas (Perez) +118 at Tampa (Smyly)
ML: KC, NYY, Cubs and AZ (my road dog)
no o/u ers. small bets.
Chatham,
Care to talk about your process?
Yeah, we are all geniuses working in a vacuum. Are you really watching that many games yourself?
Druff has elected to stay mum on this.
If it works and you got a good process - take the money.
What is the site or resource you click when you are thinking baseball. Who do you like? I gather you are a seamhead first & a gambler second.
On a nice heater. Keep it up
I've read some books have posted a Diaz/McGreggor 3 like as -170/+150.
If you can bet +150 on Diaz back up the truck.
Serbia +15.5 is tempting in the gold medal game today. A majority of these teams have played USA Basketball close.
why not discuss, requires you to focus your thinking.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I rarely watch any games. Sometimes the Cubs when I go to the games, but I rarely if ever bet on the home team for fun. I would rather party at the game than stress $. Frankly up until a few years ago fading the Cubs made me $$, as fading the White Sox last year made me $$.
Two ways I look at it: 1. short term momentum (last 10-20 games), pitchers and home/away, and then see how the line is priced relative to the three factors. e.g. the pricing has been the problem with the cubs of course this year. you can bet 3 homes games and all it takes is one loss and you lost $. I have still bet them selectivly, but hold my nose every time given the pricing. 2. Away favorites coming off of a loss I take a serious look at, and either bet the W or the over depending on pitchers and last 10 game momentum. September gets tricky for me in baseball as teams like the Angels and Braves seem like easy money to fade. Except strong teams against them will give their guys a day off, try a rookie pitcher or whatever, so it becomes a crap shoot. I will be easing off baseball over the next two weeks.
I usually use espn for write ups, and stats. They have a good database, and you can look up things like the stronger bullpens, etc. Their live game tracker is good for in game stats to use for live betting.
I scan pregame for ideas (an ongoing thread gave there gave me the idea for the road favorite coming off a losses bets). A guy with a model there has showed the data and it has panned out all season, so I jumped on it, with a few slight variations. Obv most of pregame is garbage and I do not pay for anything, but anyone willing to write up their thoughts is worth reading.
I scan Daly's posts for prop bets and Nascar!
Otherwise I focus on hockey betting. No edge in NFL, MMA, basketball or college sports so nada else for me.
WSOP: Cliff Josephy +225
A solid player with a solid lead. He will only lose if he gets coolered.
Seat Player Country Chips
1 Griffin Benger Canada 26,175,000
2 Vojtech Ruzicka Czech Republic 27,300,000
3 Fernando Pons Spain 6,150,000
4 Qui Nguyen USA 67,295,000
5 Cliff Josephy USA 74,600,000
6 Michael Ruane USA 31,600,000
7 Gordon Vayo USA 49,375,000
8 Kenny Hallaert Belgium 43,325,000
9 Jerry Wong USA 10,175,000
Some reports coming out that Paxton Lynch is going to be the starting QB week 1. Anything +3000 or better for OROY is great value.
One Zeke injury to a knee and you got a great ticket on your hand.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I think Diaz gives up a ton of power advantage at 155 and I'm not convinced he can get Conor to the ground there. So I gotta say, I have concerns..