*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

Made a live bet .5 over inning and it was graded wrong by BetOnline - 3 runs were scored.

I did fine yesterday and it was a min bet & I fully expected to wait forever to get it reversed. I wrote a two line note and copied ticket. Few hours later it was fixed. No email from them. No bullshit.

I have never had a problem with these guys. Quality.


Theo Epstien lands Chapman. Theo is god. You KNEW he was gonna add. You ever look at Cubs batting averages? Is there one fucking guy over .300? That just ain't gonna get it done in playoffs.

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 971 Chicago Cubs -1½ -125 for Game
Type Risk To Win
Spread $125.00 $100.00

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Over 10.0 (-105)

Fingers crossed.... My main local books I use listed no K's props tonight..... I hope the line makers taking the night off.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Reno

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Over 10.0 (-105)

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I really am wrestling with this. Both these pitchers induce a lot of fly balls. A few could get out tonight.

Will Sawks get to Verlander? A little bit? Sawks are too good offensively to get shut down entirely.

Odds on rain are diminishing. Woulda loved to see relievers early. So choice.

The Sawks formula was bad pitching and big offense. Verlander aint that. So as i write i just convinced myself to abide by the law.

Daly is silent or just texting out to his subscribers.

Good luck though.

Adding to Tigers Sawks

Arrietta vs Pomeranz. All day
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 959 Detroit Tigers +110 for 1st 5 Innings

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Reno

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Over 10.0 (-105)

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I really am wrestling with this. Both these pitchers induce a lot of fly balls. A few could get out tonight.

Will Sawks get to Verlander? A little bit? Sawks are too good offensively to get shut down entirely.

Odds on rain are diminishing. Woulda loved to see relievers early. So choice.

The Sawks formula was bad pitching and big offense. Verlander aint that. So as i write i just convinced myself to abide by the law.

Daly is silent or just texting out to his subscribers.

Good luck though.

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Not silent just busy. 4 more days till I start my two week vacation.

I forgot that Bovada had a big mantainance day today so no K's props industry wide.

Trout over Hosmer at -105.

And fuck that noise.... Give me sawks over 9.5 -115

I've really starting to tear apart college football (China knows why).

I'm no better than the rest of you on sides or totals..... But occasionally I hit a good one.

I really like Indiana -8 in week 1. That Fla INT team is dreadful and Indiana is going to have a decent squad. I make it at -10.5 and I'd still take Indiana.

Tease them down to -2 is solid if you can find a partner.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Two picks today, both on same game:

St. Louis (Martinez) +163 at NY Mets (Syndergaard)
Same game ^^ Under 7 +105 (Under 7.5 around -120 also ok)

Bovada will be down until 3pm PDT, so you either need to wait until then or bet somewhere else. (I bet somewhere else.)

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You have no action tonight game is PPD!!

You need to install a weather app on your phone,

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Reno

Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox Over 10.0 (-105)

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I really am wrestling with this. Both these pitchers induce a lot of fly balls. A few could get out tonight.

Will Sawks get to Verlander? A little bit? Sawks are too good offensively to get shut down entirely.

Odds on rain are diminishing. Woulda loved to see relievers early. So choice.

The Sawks formula was bad pitching and big offense. Verlander aint that. So as i write i just convinced myself to abide by the law.

Daly is silent or just texting out to his subscribers.

Good luck though.

Adding to Tigers Sawks

Arrietta vs Pomeranz. All day
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 959 Detroit Tigers +110 for 1st 5 Innings

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Tigers hitting is a roller coaster. They might give you 10 runs today and 1 run tomorrow.

When the Tigers win 2 or 3 in a row where the bats broke out I like to fire on them (unless Sanchez is pitching) since they seem to keep it going for a few more games before losing the next few afterwards.

Verlander can struggle at any given moment but he has pitched well the past month.

It's meaningless to say after the fact but I would have went with the under 10 today had I seen that total. I think the number is 1 to 1.5 runs too high.

You never know with rain in the area if a delay will come.

Your first 5 bet I like even though it's now 1-0 for your Red Sox .

Quote:

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Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

I really am wrestling with this. Both these pitchers induce a lot of fly balls. A few could get out tonight.

Will Sawks get to Verlander? A little bit? Sawks are too good offensively to get shut down entirely.

Odds on rain are diminishing. Woulda loved to see relievers early. So choice.

The Sawks formula was bad pitching and big offense. Verlander aint that. So as i write i just convinced myself to abide by the law.

Daly is silent or just texting out to his subscribers.

Good luck though.

Adding to Tigers Sawks

Arrietta vs Pomeranz. All day
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 959 Detroit Tigers +110 for 1st 5 Innings

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Tigers hitting is a roller coaster. They might give you 10 runs today and 1 run tomorrow.

When the Tigers win 2 or 3 in a row where the bats broke out I like to fire on them (unless Sanchez is pitching) since they seem to keep it going for a few more games before losing the next few afterwards.

Verlander can struggle at any given moment but he has pitched well the past month.

It's meaningless to say after the fact but I would have went with the under 10 today had I seen that total. I think the number is 1 to 1.5 runs too high.

You never know with rain in the area if a delay will come.

Your first 5 bet I like even though it's now 1-0 for your Red Sox .

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Lol I wrote Arrieta,imstead of Verlander. I have Cubs too.

Sweating Verlander 2 out 2on with home run hitter and Verlander deep with pitch count. I have 6 inning win prop @ +225 or something.

Count 3-2 2 out

Verlander blew Shaw away w/97. Life is good
Lost that 1st 5.

The fun is about to start with relief

Fucking hot and humid in Boston. Tigers traveled after a double header. They gotta be gassed. Pass out the amphetamines

Heard McCann was 1000 on defense last year. Perfect. Not one bad throw to second. Nothing. Damn amazing

Rainout cancels both bets, but at least the game didn't start this time.

Not like the White Sox rainout last week which robbed me of a win in the bottom of the 7th.

Tigers bullpen It all comes back to me now.

Bottom 8th Tigers 4-1

bases loaded with Sawks - no outs.

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Tigers bullpen It all comes back to me now.

Bottom 8th Tigers 4-1

bases loaded with Sawks - no outs.

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLDtQwbAHsU

And for those of you who have asked why I only do certain types of props and not others it's because of the level of variance. Take total bases props as an example.

Hosmer hit a end of the bat bleeder to Short and legged it out for a single.

Trout walked three times and hit a warning track shot.

Trout loser.

LAD (Norris) TB (Archer) Pile of poo on both sides and Todgers are actually hitting. Either guy could get lit up early.

Decent line for what should be a mess.

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 930 Tampa Bay Rays/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ -105 for Game

Sawks (Wright) v Tigers (Pelfrey)
This doesn't fit the Sawks over Totals profile as Wright is Sawks best pitcher (knuckleball).
The Sawks will murder Pelfrey. ML is a joke so we will boldly flaunt Daly's RL rule. This is just an action bet for me.

Description:
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 910 Boston Red Sox -1½ -115 for Game

Cardinals game replays today at 1:10pm PDT as the first of a doubleheader.

Line has changed to become worse for me. I no longer like the under, especially with the unpredictability of the rescheduling.

I'll still take the reduced +154 line on St. Louis, which isn't as good as +163 from yesterday.

Anyway...

St. Louis (Martinez) +154 at NY Mets (Syndergaard) GAME 1
San Diego (Cashner) at Toronto (Stroman) - Under 9.5 -120
Arizona (Corbin) at Milwaukee (Garza) - Over 9.5 -105

Late addition as I sweat out the cards 3-2 lead in the 8th:

Atlanta (Harrell) +185 at Minn (Santana)
Same game under 9.5 -115

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

LAD (Norris) TB (Archer) Pile of poo on both sides and Todgers are actually hitting. Either guy could get lit up early.

Decent line for what should be a mess.

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 930 Tampa Bay Rays/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ -105 for Game

Sawks (Wright) v Tigers (Pelfrey)
This doesn't fit the Sawks over Totals profile as Wright is Sawks best pitcher (knuckleball).
The Sawks will murder Pelfrey. ML is a joke so we will boldly flaunt Daly's RL rule. This is just an action bet for me.

Description:
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 910 Boston Red Sox -1½ -115 for Game

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One of the most entertaining games I've watched in a while from a strictly offensive standpoint.

Both starters sucked tonight.

Michael Fulmer is pitching for the Tigers tomorrow so I will probably have to bet him at +105 vs Rodriguez. It's his first time pitching at Fenway but nothing has phased him yet.

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Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

LAD (Norris) TB (Archer) Pile of poo on both sides and Todgers are actually hitting. Either guy could get lit up early.

Decent line for what should be a mess.

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 930 Tampa Bay Rays/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ -105 for Game
Loss

Sawks (Wright) v Tigers (Pelfrey)
This doesn't fit the Sawks over Totals profile as Wright is Sawks best pitcher (knuckleball).
The Sawks will murder Pelfrey. ML is a joke so we will boldly flaunt Daly's RL rule. This is just an action bet for me.

Description:
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 910 Boston Red Sox -1½ -115 for Game
Loss

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One of the most entertaining games I've watched in a while from a strictly offensive standpoint.

Both starters sucked tonight.

Michael Fulmer is pitching for the Tigers tomorrow so I will probably have to bet him at +105 vs Rodriguez. It's his first time pitching at Fenway but nothing has phased him yet.

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It was a good take. Every game is like that with Sawks.

I don't seem to have a clue lately pre game. Having better luck in game.

Top of the 5th 5-4
Knuckleballer Wright was starting to sweat on a hot night. He can't grip the ball. This has been his history. As I recall bases were loaded with Tigers.

I saw over 16.5 -133 for a second. Jammed it.
Boom! Next pitch run scores. & line jumps to 18.5
4 runs score that inning. 8-5
Wright hits the showers.

6th inning it's 8-8 and I am freerolling.

Wager Number: 1 (Win)
Accepted: 07/26/2016 8:47:53 PM
Description:
DETROIT TIGERS at BOSTON RED SOX Total Over 16.5
Type Risk To Win
DGS $220.00 $165.40

I have read you like Fulmer. ERod blows. I won't even look. I am in.

I see it's an afternoon game.

Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 959 Detroit Tigers +104 for Game

What do you think about 10.5 -120 for Totals over?

Edit:
As I tell that story I have two thoughts. I KNEW more Sawks runs were coming. In a way you do NOT with the Cubs.

Cubs get Chapman but what the fuck game is he saving in playoffs? 2-1 or 3-2? That's not how it works.
Cubs don't have one guy over .300 and they are not the Royals manufacturing runs.

The kids will be scouted like they are not regular season and they will face good pitching. Even more impotent.

Schwarber being out killed them but Theo Epstein gets a bat too?...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Cubs get Chapman but what the fuck game is he saving in playoffs? 2-1 or 3-2? That's not how it works.
Cubs don't have one guy over .300 and they are not the Royals manufacturing runs.

The kids will be scouted like they are not regular season and they will face good pitching. Even more impotent.

Schwarber being out killed them but Theo Epstein gets a bat too?...

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Is Theo that worried about Harper & Murphy in the playoffs? Is that why he got a lefty?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Sanlmar

Cubs get Chapman but what the fuck game is he saving in playoffs? 2-1 or 3-2? That's not how it works.
Cubs don't have one guy over .300 and they are not the Royals manufacturing runs.

The kids will be scouted like they are not regular season and they will face good pitching. Even more impotent.

Schwarber being out killed them but Theo Epstein gets a bat too?...

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Is Theo that worried about Harper & Murphy in the playoffs? Is that why he got a lefty?

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I think it was also a defensive move to keep Nationals from getting him too.

Add Chapman to the list of guys the Dodgers passed on last year.

Edit:
Baseball Tonight Podcast for Tues (end of podcast) while covering the Chapman trade ripped the Dodgers for their gutless front office performance at trade time last year.

Sure, I was on it in real time (not a year later) but enjoy my brilliance being confirmed.

Love the Urias trade talk. Gawd, I love the Dodgers.

I have forgotten... what thread should I be posting in regarding Dodgers & baseball playoff variance. Lost track.