Bulls game need 7 points in last 3 minutes. I say 50/50 shot. that is how bad these teams are shooting right now.
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Bulls game need 7 points in last 3 minutes. I say 50/50 shot. that is how bad these teams are shooting right now.
Lolz I turned off the Bulls game, calling it a loss.
I can't believe I only lost that by 4.
Lakers also resting Brandon Ingram, who is probably their 2nd or 3rd best player right now. I still think they should cover the 3 though, but it would have been nice to get the news before I bet.
Yeah. The bottom of the bench scrubs came in the last couple minutes and actually made a couple buckets. If the 2nd teamers had stayed in under probably would have hit. They couldn't hit anything all quarter.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I am pissed. the lakers line moved to 200.5 so I passed. It only sank as live bet line went down.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Minnesota had this wrapped up at halftime, up 21.
Now it's a 7 point game.
:gay
N1. That was close.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Whew..... the Minnesota game.
Up 21 at halftime, then had a horrible 3rd and lost almost the entire lead, cut to 2.
Then they got up 13 again very late in the 4th, only to chunk it off and the game was 111-106 with 50 secs left.
Fortunately Phoenix fouled, Butler made both, Daniels (Phoenix) missed, Phoenix fouled again, Towns made both, and Bender (Phoenix) missed.
That was that.
115-106 final
I guess I was "lucky" there, but honestly when your team is ahead by 21 at halftime and up by 12 with 3:52 left in the game, you don't feel super-blessed to cover -8.
Now if Lakers could stay out of OT, that would be great
Another sub-30-seconds left one point game becomes a 2 point game, and now I'm facing possible OT again.
Portland had to blow the final free throw, so Lakers got one more shot at a game tying 3, but they are so terrible at last-second shots post-Kobe that they obviously bricked badly.
Finish with a 3-1 day, though most of you only got 2-1 if you followed me because of the last-minute/OTB situation with the Toronto pick.
But I did have 3 picks up for hours before game time and those went 2-1, so that's good enough.
85-54-2 is now my record. I'm 14-7 since Monday.
Raptors just went to +1200 on Eastern Conference champs.
I regret not laying some $ at +1600.
I just realized today that it would have be a good bet to make and then hedge with Cavs. What would Cavs be for such a series? Like -400?
Boston has gone to shit, and I don't think Washington is getting it done, either. I really think it's going to be Raptos/Cavs for the ECF, with Cavs very likely being the winner.
But at +1200 that's not quite high enough to be worth doing, if my plan is to hedge when they get to the ECF.
I like Toronto +1200. I don't normally even look at these type of futures, but if my book is offering something similar to this I think it is definitely worth a $100 flier. I just checked and it is showing +800 for them. Meh. Not worth it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I do have a Toronto O48.5 wins season total bet that is looking good. Of course I also have some other futures that are DOA.
I'll have a fairly high confinance prop set of picks in the next 45 min or so
Just to make sure we are all on the same page with the Tellafriend bet Druff is Escrowing.
It is that jags win their first playoff game, whoever it is in whatever round. They win and I win. They lose and tellafriend wins.
Is this everyone’s understanding?
Saints game U52.5
Chiefs game O43
Lions -3 -115
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Yes, it is.
Bears game U37 -110
quit fucking up my playsQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
All Titan Passing overs.
Marriota over 19.5 and 212.5 (attempts if you can find it) Walker over 4.5 and Mathews over 3.5 being the strongest but can really justify all the yards as well.
Titans supposed to open the game in no huddle and are going to spread the Rams out is the word.
*Special added Christmas Bonus*
Mike Gillislee First TD +1200
Took over in the Dallas/Seattle game
Dallas can't get it in the end zone and Seattles offense is hot garbage. they don't even try anymore. Just run run run punt. I guess they are scared of turning it over if they actually try.
Also had a great Daily Fantasy lineup with Russell Wilson. He is really letting me down. I need like 10 more fantasy points from him, which isn't much but the way he and the team is playing I seriously doubt it.
Merry Christmas from my family to yours
Awesome hit on those parlays Daly! Quite the Xmas gift.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Yeah obviously turned into a rather nice christmass!
Where is our resident NBA prop guy? I'm hearing Embid overs are in play?
Pitt/Houston O45.5. I think this one is gonna turn into a shoot out. Both these defenses bad down the stretch.
I've been sitting here for an hour deciding what to do about this Cleveland game
Kept wanting to do under but can't quite decide upon it, and this game has so much action (I believe the most of any NBA game this season) that I've decided to sit it out. I'm guessing the line is too sharp on this one.
I also suck at the Cavaliers.
Was going to bet under on NY/Phi today (which would've won) but Ben woke up way earlier than expected and distracted me, so couldn't do that. Oh well.
I don't see anything I like in the next game (Boston/Wash).
Still deciding upon the Houston game with Chris Paul likely missing.
This one is for those who complain I post picks too close to game time.
You've got 7 hours for this one.
Minnesota -5.5
Minnesota Under 215.5
Lonzo Ball out. Brandon Ingram may or may not play.
Probably won't fire on the other games.
So far the Cavs game is indeed looking like it's going under. Like, it's not anywhere near a done deal in that respect, but it definitely has the under feel to it so far.
No matter. Between the indecisiveness I had and the massive action and the fact that I've struggled with both the Cavs and Warriors this season, it was probably better I just let this one go.
For those wondering, the massive action is a problem for a few reasons.
First, the lines tend to be sharper because the books pay more attention to setting it.
Second, you're not going to pick up as many signals from the betting/line movement patterns, as the books are more likely to just press the betting to even on each side, due to the harsh consequence of possible losing a lot of money on a highly bet contest where too much action is on one side or the other.
But yeah, 66 points in the first 18 minutes... this one's going under unless it goes OT
we got any sportsbook.ag scammers here?? as in they give u 20% bonus for each bitcoin deposit, can u deposit, bet 1 game at 10% juice and cash out?? also once a week u get at least 30% deposit bonus. OSA this be a good thing for u to look into
Houston had 1st and G and couldn’t get a point out of it. Brutal.
What about Raiders vs Eagles props?Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Yeah obviously turned into a rather nice christmass!
Where is our resident NBA prop guy? I'm hearing Embid overs are in play?
This company is very scammy so I would enjoy seeing them get screwed, but these things always have play through requirements.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Need 2 TDS in last 12 minutes with no extra point shananugans. Probably will come up a TD short, which is the TD lost by the Texans early.
Not always. Remember sportsbook.ag is probably the largest square book online. I've been told they basically view every deposit they get as having a very high chance of not being withdrawn.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffThis company is very scammy so I would enjoy seeing them get screwed, but these things always have play through requirements.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
For the record I view these guys as a shit sportsbook like you. That being said I don't know of anyone who has ever not been paid by them. They can take forever and nailmyoi for $25 or more for a check/wire but they have always paid. I know the poker room screwed China but thats not The sportsbook.
Foles Under 250Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22What about Raiders vs Eagles props?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Lynch under 56
Cook under 40
Ertz under 60
Smith under 30
Smith under 2.5
Chris Paul won't play.
I'm taking OKC +0 -125 which Bovada has at the moment.
If your book has worse than -125, you're better off taking OKC -2 -110
Did all of these except Cook (-150 sucks). Also only did a small one on Smith u2.5 because that book has me limited.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyFoles Under 250Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Lynch under 56
Cook under 40
Ertz under 60
Smith under 30
Smith under 2.5
Didn't quite get these lines because #stalelines but close enough.
GL us
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyFoles Under 250Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22
Lynch under 56
Ertz under 60
Smith under 30
Smith under 2.5
All my lines moved against these. Nonetheless I took all of them except Cook which was OTB
Foles Under 242.5
Lynch under 47.5
Ertz under 57.5
Smith under 26.5
Smith under 2.5