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biden at slightly worse than even money + betting "no" on predictit's "will popular vote winner win the presidency" is a MASSIVE freeroll
if trump wins -- money truck
i don't like having to root so hard for trump to win but it's free money that i can't pass up.
You are that fucker that gave me the Roy Moore tip, WTF do you know?Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
honestly, this freeroll bet is so strong we may need to move this discussion to a private forum. some friends i discussed this with are jumping on it and now i regret telling them
Be sure to post your wagers.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
At this point, supporting Trump is sorta like thinking maybe Bill Cosby is innocent. Like maybe they're all making it up.
Don't worry, The New York Times is already leaking his entire book
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/17/u...impeached.html
Inject this book into my veins
Quote:
Mr. Trump did not seem to know, for example, that Britain is a nuclear power and asked if Finland is part of Russia, Mr. Bolton writes. He came closer to withdrawing the United States from NATO than previously known. Even top advisers who position themselves as unswervingly loyal mock him behind his back. During Mr. Trump’s 2018 meeting with North Korea’s leader, according to the book, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo slipped Mr. Bolton a note disparaging the president, saying, “He is so full of shit.”
one of our best trolls is really ratcheting it up lately
Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakBe sure to post your wagers.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
certainly, this wouldnt be a sequel if ppl werent mocking me enough
Biden to not be president @ 43 cents for 300 shares
Trump to win Michigan @ 32 cents for 2500 shares (bad bet, currently 27 cents)
Trump to win Wisconsin @ 40 cents for 2600 shares (bad bet, currently 37)
Trump to win Minnesota @ 25 cents for 1000 shares (bad bet, currently 22)
Trump to win Arizona @ 40 cents for 775 shares
Trump to win Iowa @ 52 cents for 400 shares (good bet, now 58)
Trump to win any state he lost in 2016 @ 35 cents for 450 shares (bad bet, now 31)
Trump wins by 100-149 EVs @ 6cents for 4500 shares
Trump wins by 60-99 EVs @ 7 cents for 700 shares (looking to buy more of this when it gets off the current 8 cents back to 7)
Trump wins by 10-29 EVs @ 6 cents for 4100 shares
and the $1500 at trump to win it all +115
Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
u have to give me another free $200 if trump wins popular vote and u lose ur ass, deal?? #DISH$TRUCK2
Everything I’ve read, I completely believe, and not because I don’t like Trump. He didn’t do it to help Democrats. He kept quiet during the proceedings. He’s an old style war hawk conservative who clearly thinks Trump is mentally ill, and corrupt as hell. but his framing the stories by saying sometimes it aligned with what he wanted, so he liked it, and others, it was problematic rings true. I think it’s true of most elected republicans. He does a lot of shit they like, but they know he’s mentally ill and getting worked by dictators and knows less than the average high school freshman. That passage of him sucking Xi’s cock for election help is particularly damning.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
Bolton will be campaigning for the Republican candidate in 2024, and is credible, and no friend of Dems, so the book is going to be a really bad look. Most Trump supporters have made peace with his idiocy and defend it, so I don’t think it’s a game changer.
I don’t think Biden needs a game changer already heading for victory with as bad as Trump is struggling. I don’t view it as a factor for the election as Biden doesn’t need it, but it’s going to be a historical book when the Trump regime is trying to be understood in the future.
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BCR, gimmickthesidedish
I bet you didn’t even know you were Russian?
i'm not jinxing myself this year, but how the fuck are you not hammering the no bet on winner of popular vote winning the presidency.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by blake
u have to give me another free $200 if trump wins popular vote and u lose ur ass, deal?? #DISH$TRUCK2
I tried to buy 2000 shares at 26 cents but only filled 400, line is moving.Quote:
Originally Posted by blakei'm not jinxing myself this year, but how the fuck are you not hammering the no bet on winner of popular vote winning the presidency.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by blakei'm not jinxing myself this year, but how the fuck are you not hammering the no bet on winner of popular vote winning the presidency.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
uhhh maybe because i think Trump is GOD moron??
but not bad. but im not buying today, i see its up 5 cents today
If you think he's god why wouldn't you want to bet him to win when you're getting 3 to 1?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by blake
uhhh maybe because i think Trump is GOD moron??
but not bad. but im not buying today, i see its up 5 cents today
Quote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefishIf you think he's god why wouldn't you want to bet him to win when you're getting 3 to 1?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
its not quite 3/1 but i think hes so god and his opponent is a born stooge, trump might win pop vote
we all know the feeling of betting a team ML when u shouldve just taken the points
You day drinking?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefish
its not quite 3/1 but i think hes so god and his opponent is a born stooge, trump might win pop vote
we all know the feeling of betting a team ML when u shouldve just taken the points
Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by blake
uhhh maybe because i think Trump is GOD moron??
but not bad. but im not buying today, i see its up 5 cents today
flashback to like 2 months ago when you apologized for voting in the literal anti christ.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefishYou day drinking?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
why? what are u misunderstanding? u know when u bet a football +160 ML instead of +4 and they lose by 3 and u shouldve just taken the -110? thats the analogy im using
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
flashback to like 2 months ago when you apologized for voting in the literal anti christ.
WRONG, not quite: Trump would not be the AC but the false prophet who gives power to the AC, kushner
AC prophecy states that the AC will not actually be elected by the ppl so that eliminates Trump. just FTR, ATINE
also the AC "will not desire women" that eliminates sex addict Trump. but kushner hmmmmm, he may be faking liking Ivanka cuz he knew her dad was headed to the presidency and he could manipulate that stooge if he was son-in-law to his favorite child hmmmmmm
not my fault, i voted for trump, not kushner
What's interesting is Trump isn't even really disputing what the book is saying. He's just saying that what's being said is classified and therefore shouldn't be released. If what was being said was untrue he wouldn't need to block the book from being released. He could just discredit it.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCREverything I’ve read, I completely believe, and not because I don’t like Trump. He didn’t do it to help Democrats. He kept quiet during the proceedings. He’s an old style war hawk conservative who clearly thinks Trump is mentally ill, and corrupt as hell. but his framing the stories by saying sometimes it aligned with what he wanted, so he liked it, and others, it was problematic rings true. I think it’s true of most elected republicans. He does a lot of shit they like, but they know he’s mentally ill and getting worked by dictators and knows less than the average high school freshman. That passage of him sucking Xi’s cock for election help is particularly damning.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
Bolton will be campaigning for the Republican candidate in 2024, and is credible, and no friend of Dems, so the book is going to be a really bad look. Most Trump supporters have made peace with his idiocy and defend it, so I don’t think it’s a game changer.
I don’t think Biden needs a game changer already heading for victory with as bad as Trump is struggling. I don’t view it as a factor for the election as Biden doesn’t need it, but it’s going to be a historical book when the Trump regime is trying to be understood in the future.
Also, it's 6pm and Trump still hasn't tweeted today, on a big news day. He's fuming and can't figure out how to frame this.
has anyone noticed that its suddenly extremely hard to find nostrodaumus' prophesies on google?
specifically the bejeweled madman translation?
He really should have seen that coming.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Former Bush, Trump administration officials form pro-Biden super PAC
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/for...iden-super-pac
How did they not think this would be an issue?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8UiY0M5cebAQuote:
Originally Posted by SPIT thisHow did they not think this would be an issue?
Not enough that Trump is defeated.
Most of these asshole Republican Senators that enabled Trump must go.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eaml-Z_U...jpg&name=small
Seriously who would buy this guy's book?
Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
The DNC.
Several million people, all of whom are smarter than you.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
dish has me shook. is it possible trump wins the popular vote? that would fuck up my entire freeroll. i need some real serious mathematical analysis on this subject
1. it's definitely possible trump wins the popular vote, but think about it this way...what are the odds of that happening? I say pretty damn slim...that's why i liked your angle...you're already getting him at 3:1 in this bet arrangement...that more than makes up for the slight chance that he sweeps both...Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
2. where the hell is he getting the votes from '16 to '20 from?
I think this is pretty much dead on.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCREverything I’ve read, I completely believe, and not because I don’t like Trump. He didn’t do it to help Democrats. He kept quiet during the proceedings. He’s an old style war hawk conservative who clearly thinks Trump is mentally ill, and corrupt as hell. but his framing the stories by saying sometimes it aligned with what he wanted, so he liked it, and others, it was problematic rings true. I think it’s true of most elected republicans. He does a lot of shit they like, but they know he’s mentally ill and getting worked by dictators and knows less than the average high school freshman. That passage of him sucking Xi’s cock for election help is particularly damning.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPIT this
Bolton will be campaigning for the Republican candidate in 2024, and is credible, and no friend of Dems, so the book is going to be a really bad look. Most Trump supporters have made peace with his idiocy and defend it, so I don’t think it’s a game changer.
I don’t think Biden needs a game changer already heading for victory with as bad as Trump is struggling. I don’t view it as a factor for the election as Biden doesn’t need it, but it’s going to be a historical book when the Trump regime is trying to be understood in the future.
Only thing is Bolton is known to want to blow everyone up and start wars, so Trump making peace with North Korea and Russia is literally the worst thing in the world to him. Have to factor that in a bit too.
Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
food for thought.
everything trump has every accused anyone at all of doing, he's done himself, often pretty aggressively.
his latest rallying cry?
'the dems are going to steal the election.'
When you control the US military, anything is possible.Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
You have a bet on the popular vote? You can already start spending that money.Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
You could buy Trump popular vote at 19 cents on PredictIt, but even that is overpaying. If somehow Trump wins, he'll do it through an electoral victory again while losing the popular vote. The blue states are going to run the margins up.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...r-vote-in-2020