Brexit

Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

Or so say the boys in Whitehall.

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Originally Posted by Pooh

I sold $15 and $16 calls on my VXX expiring tomorrow. If they leave that will be a very expensive mistake. I still don't see it happening though.

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There is a reason they call that trade a call stupid. No matter what happens, it is stupid.

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Originally Posted by sonatine

Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

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Betting markets have both remain and leave at 1.83 right now. Dead heat.

I've been SJW-style campaigning for "remain" on facebook for the past 3 months and it seems all my friends (young, educated) have voted in. Like almost 100%.

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Originally Posted by Pooh

For all you tards following along at home here's a good link.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-b...-eu-referendum

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Here's the journal's running tally. Pretty good and you can actually access it.


http://graphics.wsj.com/brexit-uk-re...ults/?mod=e2tw

With 28% of the vote reporting, it appears only London wants to stay in the EU. Specifically, the vote tally graphic at the journal's site is showing leave winning all of the UK except forthe tiny dot that is London.

So yea, no sleep for me. Brexit, I need to be in at 430am....

Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot, however they are leaning in the right direction just not even close to lock. It can honestly swing either way.

Getting like 30 emails every 10min... shit is going insane.

I have a buddy in FX options, he's legit staying at his desk all night.

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Originally Posted by handicapme

Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot

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Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.

Current odds: Leave 1.66, Remain 2.10

Uh oh.

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Originally Posted by sonatine

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Originally Posted by handicapme

Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot

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Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.

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I would take odds at stay but at this point I need like +125 (note it was -400 this morning).... I'm legit scared, but so fucking excited!

Also, hello 2.5% mortgage IR!!!!!

most of england is dumb as fuck and those areas that aren't were too lazy to turnout, so fuck it looks like brexit.

Well England, I hope your aids gets better before you're ruined.

real talk, you want to bet this, take the GBP at 1.4250+ long with a stop gap at ~1.38. If it is Bremain you will see it go above 1.50.... gamble anyone?

This seems a good place to monitor the vote

http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum

leave gaining traction

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Originally Posted by cmoney

This seems a good place to monitor the vote

http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum

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When I left the office tonight every screen had this as well as the bloomberg terminal live update screen (don't use the bloomberg.com one)

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Originally Posted by sonatine

Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.

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where are you getting this from? it has been neck in neck since start and now leave looks like it is winning

"Polling expert Prof John Curtice said at this stage Leave looked favourite to win the referendum. He estimates that the finishing post for one side to win is 16,813,000 votes."

10 mins ago

The "funny" thing is this is probably the most important non us vote in our lifetimes and more people care about the NBA draft.

sonatine has officially declared the brexit referendum donkdown