Somebody made a BIG mistake in Arkansas. The Republican traded down to 1%. You could've got 99 to 1 on a Republican winning, which is essentially a lock to happen. Oops
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...kansas-in-2020
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Somebody made a BIG mistake in Arkansas. The Republican traded down to 1%. You could've got 99 to 1 on a Republican winning, which is essentially a lock to happen. Oops
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...kansas-in-2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
im not sure if u are the new hongthonger or small dick
let me get trump >300 EVs @ +450, thongsky
Sure, that's fine. Want to just do like $500 or $1k on credit? Or what's on your mind?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
im not sure if u are the new hongthonger or small dick
let me get trump >300 EVs @ +450, thongsky
i've always thought it was a coin flip. still doQuote:
Originally Posted by VaughnPI was 70/30 Biden last week, but after doing a deeper dive on the polls and "social desirability", I'm back to a coin flip.Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
It's easy to look past the fact that he was in worse shape in the key swing states at this point in 2016 and that considerably less people believed that their neighbors were voting Trump then too than now in the same surveys. Social desirability has been the only reliable way to measure shy voters.
Listen to Robert Cahaly explain his take on the 2020 election in detail. People will trash him and his firm, but the dude called even the 306 electoral vote (outside of faithless electors) spread correctly. He's convinced from his data that Trump is a lock in Florida, will easily win Pennsylvania, likely win Minnesota and is a slight favorite in Wisconsin.
https://t.co/AaqOnW2GXl?amp=1
"Every election is a coin flip!" - Most pundits, unironically, every 4 years
2 simple explanations:Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
1)Payment--signs are available at local campaign headquarters for about $5: Trump supports pay, but Biden supports don't (they want them for free); thus more Trump signs are out there
--or--
2-Leiss was afraid to drive through neighborhoods where Biden signs are viewable
Simpler explanation: Demographics.Quote:
Originally Posted by GrenadaRogersimple explanation: signs are available at local campaign headquarters for about $5: Trump supports pay, but Biden supports don't (they want them for free)Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOL
This guy is driving by rural and exurban large-lot homes
even in metro Detroit, I'm seeing more Trump signs and flags than Biden signs, but zero chance Trump wins Detroit or even Michigan might be hard as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by PLOLSimpler explanation: Demographics.Quote:
Originally Posted by GrenadaRoger
This guy is driving by rural and exurban large-lot homes
Latest gaff from Biden, the one about any plans for supreme court packing: the people don't deserve to know [if there are any plans]
ranks right up there with railroad tycoon Cornelius Vanderbilt's quote circa 1880: "the public be damned"
history may not repeat, but it certainly rhymes!
Biden's campaign manager with a very cringey interview with Jake Tapper. If CNN wasn't fake news, they'd be able to use this against Biden.
I googled 'Flip a gif' and the first result was what I used. I didn't do the druff one, just the standard.
https://ezgif.com/
Made me laugh
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6687
Not quite sure how I want to play this market, but I'm pretty sure the dumb money is on Florida. Bet accordingly
Blue Texas. If you can still find +300 anywhere, remember to smash. Unfortunately down to +220 on Bovada. Yikes.
Unrelated, every Trumper's wet dream:
People from Kentucky are dumber than shit.
They like to fuck cows and horses.
some interesting takes in here.
https://perspectives.agf.com/five-re...ook-like-2016/
New Trump +12 poll in South Carolina. If you think a black Democrat will outperform Trump by 12 points in South Carolina, you must be on some crazy great weed and please share. Hope you got cheap shares while you could.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...rolina-in-2020
This should be an 80/20 market.
The market, as defined by sportsbooks, has really turned to shit if you a trump backer. I’m seeing As high as -275 on Biden now.
Devils advocate will say Hillary was -1250 morning of.
Interesting to not though.