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It's a results oriented business so good for us.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I'd be remiss if I didn't repeat that betting over rushing yards is generally a bad decision. RB overs generally only hit 40 % of the time. Oddly enough when they do hit it tends to be when they have super high lines.
Yea UCF vs Navy can go either way, Navys time of possession is pretty sick, my logic is that navy will run the ball all day eating up the clock long enough to prevent UCF from going completely nuts.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardOf all these bets the only one I really like is TT vs Iowa St O71 (and that is assuming weather is OK, weather can get brutal in Iowa this time of year). Ala vs Tenn U I kind of like.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mintjewlips
The Navy vs UCF one really scares me. UCF could score 66 by themselves possibly. I will probably take the over this game, again if weather looks ok.
I haven't spent too much time looking at the college slate yet, and my O/U lines don't come out till later in the week. Only bets I have so far I like are Nevada +5.5 and Memphis +3 -110. I actually like Texas +7.5, but am gonna wait cause I could see this going to 9.5 or maybe 10.
Texas defense will hold OSU from going nuts, OSU's defense is good enough to stall Texas.
Alabamas Defense is consistent as hell, while Tennessees offense struggled against Florida's D, i cant see Tennessee scoring more than 10 points, and if Bama gets a good lead Saban will just run the clock out.
As far the Texas spread, i just see OSU getting a comfortable lead and Texas playing catch up and failing. Texas has shitty passing game even with buchelle.
Celtics/cavs O211
wind blowing out at Wrigley. 8pm start.
Home teams have nearly always won this post season.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
The favorite also has nearly always won too.
That being said, Jimmy Vaccaro claims Tuesdays & Wednesdays have been bad for the books without the easy football money. Public loves the baseball favorites and it's worked. As well, Dodgers losing the series would be big for them. His observation is there is always late Dodgers money each game so I will wait til the close and test that.
Despite home field, Sonny Gray concerns me. Gonna need Yankees offense again tonight.
Yu Darvish has limited his 10 pitch repertoire to just a few since joining Dodgers. It's worked. Does he fall back on his crummy slider crutch to Cubs left handers? What will he be like in a tough post season game? Not too worried about him. I want some more value before I fork over my money though.
Despite the wind, none of these 4 teams is reliable enough offensively to bait me into a totals bet either way.
Yankees & Cubs
Puig at bats are appointment television.
Don't bet the totals, just bet on the Yankees over...:yesQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarHome teams have nearly always won this post season.Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
The favorite also has nearly always won too.
That being said, Jimmy Vaccaro claims Tuesdays & Wednesdays have been bad for the books without the easy football money. Public loves the baseball favorites and it's worked. As well, Dodgers losing the series would be big for them. His observation is there is always late Dodgers money each game so I will wait til the close and test that.
Despite home field, Sonny Gray concerns me. Gonna need Yankees offense again tonight.
Yu Darvish has limited his 10 pitch repertoire to just a few since joining Dodgers. It's worked. Does he fall back on his crummy slider crutch to Cubs left handers? What will he be like in a tough post season game? Not too worried about him. I want some more value before I fork over my money though.
Despite the wind, none of these 4 teams is reliable enough offensively to bait me into a totals bet either way.
Yankees & Cubs
Puig at bats are appointment television.
What number did you buy at?Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
I'd love to see the slumping offense go on a run here on out. Need to see Altuve continue to struggle.
I'm -138 Yankees
I got a serious man crush on Gardy and his beady little eyes when he's at bat. Just an animal and a warrior at the plate.
Have you seen a more vacant look on an athlete than Bellinger. Remember biology class when you took a frogs leg and stuck an electrode in it to make it twitch? Guy looks all twitch and zero brains
Over 4 -135. Gardner reminds me of a Paul O'Neill kinda guy even though they play different positions. I can't talk shit about the Dodgers considering I would fuck half the starting lineup. Including BellingerQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWhat number did you buy at?Quote:
Originally Posted by OSA
I'd love to see the slumping offense go on a run here on out. Need to see Altuve continue to struggle.
I'm -138 Yankees
I got a serious man crush on Gardy and his beady little eyes when he's at bat. Just an animal and a warrior at the plate.
Have you seen a more vacant look on an athlete than Bellinger. Remember biology class when you took a frogs leg and stuck an electrode in it to make it twitch? Guy looks all twitch and zero brains
Okay, does the wind blowing out @ 8AM translate to the wind still blowing out @ 8PM?Quote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
Asking for a friend.
embiid already on a minutes restriction and isn't expected to play more than 20 minutes tonight...
good news for that 6ers win under...
With LeBron a game time decision, Thomas not playing and both teams going in expecting a brawl? No offense but I think U is the bet. On Bodog it's 213 but the U has more juice. I'm not betting this so good luck to you, hope you win.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
I think both teams are going to play fast with a lot of 3 point shooting. There is going to be so many possessions I think it will go over unless shooting very bad.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerWith LeBron a game time decision, Thomas not playing and both teams going in expecting a brawl? No offense but I think U is the bet. On Bodog it's 213 but the U has more juice. I'm not betting this so good luck to you, hope you win.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
But with rose and wade playing extended minutes probably that is exactly what may happen. So we shall see.
Bought more Yankees @ -115
I made a -138 long time ago.
I can only assume it was a sensitivity to Romine replacing Sanchez @ catcher. Sanchez moved to DH. It's all good.
Lol, Tiger breaks Spieth's nose in argument. I remember when golf & poker was popular in the early aughts.
Edit
Saw that on a scroll while checking prices. Don't know what da fuck that was about.
Lets fucking go. 6 runs by the Yankees after the 6th inning.
Hope you bet the under Heyward games played prop
Wow. Nice leggings, Boston. The feminization of western men knows no bounds.
Nice hit. Wish me luck with ChapmanQuote:
Originally Posted by OSAOver 4 -135. Gardner reminds me of a Paul O'Neill kinda guy even though they play different positions. I can't talk shit about the Dodgers considering I would fuck half the starting lineup. Including BellingerQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Had a couple DFS lineups with Hayward.
Lame.
those Celtics under 55.5s are looking mighty good at this point...
stevens wins over 50 with these guys he's a coaching god...
Roxkets +9
YOLO
Damn. Celtics had 2 tries to tie it and send to OT for the over.
Lame.
shit guys i did it again, sorry. forgot to post these before heading to work. but wanted to show folks I am still rolling. funny thing is i thought i hit over 6 on the pens game which hit with the pens trailing 4-3 late. i was wrong. so they do me a solid and tie it up with under a min left and ship the win in OT.
370100985 - 2 Oct 17, 2017 03:35 AM Money Line $49.99 $61.99 Win
Hockey - 55 Toronto Maple Leafs +124 for Game
370100985 - 1 Oct 17, 2017 03:35 AM Money Line $50.00 $45.45 Win
Hockey - 51 Pittsburgh Penguins -110 for Game
Sorry man, usually when I disagree with someone's pick it becomes a lock for them.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
Thu 11/7 951 Roy Moore wins Alabama special election
-720
9:00AM 952 Field wins Alabama special election
+440
Moore is a Bannon project, a hyper-divisive anti-Republican Republican. Alabama is about as red as you can get but the polls show that his moderate Democrat opponent is not only neck and neck with him, a lot of those votes are coming from staunch Republicans who have simply had enough of Bannon's brand of bullshit.
+440 is fucking insane here frankly, its a total valuetrain. I expect by sundown that line could be in the +280 range.
leafs game went under last night so....
Detroit Red Wings VS Toronto Maple Leafs
Over 6 -118
Risk 50.00 To Win 42.37
Ticket Number 370204192 accepted
Philadelphia 76ers VS Washington Wizards
Wizards -290
Miami Heat VS Orlando Magic
Heat -170
Brooklyn Nets VS Indiana Pacers
Pacers -150
Milwaukee Bucks VS Boston Celtics
Celtics -150
Risk 25.00 To Win 123.33
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Field wins Alabama special election
+425
Not quite the swing I was hoping for but its encouraging.
Edit:
Wowwwww ok so apparently the polls showing this as neck and neck were based on biased data, and are now being called outliers. Which explains why the line is now +525 I suppose.
Mea culpa.
anybody like the niners +6 this week? love to hear from the 49er whisperer on this one...don't think that the 49ers are a terribly bad team...obviously not super bowl contenders, but I don't think they're an 0-6 team either...on red zone, think scott hanson said this was the first time a team had had 5 straight losses by a FG or less...
You might be onto something. They've been competitive for 5 straight games.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisanybody like the niners +6 this week? love to hear from the 49er whisperer on this one...don't think that the 49ers are a terribly bad team...obviously not super bowl contenders, but I don't think they're an 0-6 team either...on red zone, think scott hanson said this was the first time a team had had 5 straight losses by a FG or less...
I might fire on this one.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYou might be onto something. They've been competitive for 5 straight games.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenisanybody like the niners +6 this week? love to hear from the 49er whisperer on this one...don't think that the 49ers are a terribly bad team...obviously not super bowl contenders, but I don't think they're an 0-6 team either...on red zone, think scott hanson said this was the first time a team had had 5 straight losses by a FG or less...
I might fire on this one.
IDK - Dallas has more talent than any of the teams they have already lost to. Just sayin.
So what do we like today? Anybody?
IM HEARING ON REDDIT THAT THE PUBLIC IS ON MEMPHIS TONIGHT? HOUSTON DOWN TO -2.5 LOOKS TEMPTING.
Memphis ML looking tempting
KC has gone 7-1 against OAK since 2013. The one game they lost, was by 4. Oakland trips over its own dick every week. I know this is at Oak, and its biggest rival, but they have disappointed me every f*cking time I have watched them. KC has won 5 straight. KC has injuries on offense, but OAK is ranked near the bottom in terms of sacks. Alex Smith has always played well in OAK, and doesnt seem phased by the circus there. Raiders lost their last 4, including sunday to LA Chargers. Raiders ranked 30th in yards, and 27th in passing yards. Marshawn and Carr are playing though. Im taking KC -3
EDIT: Raiders in all white tonight, and unfortunately KC in all red
OAK RG and FB are both listed as questionable for the game, and they dont have any depth there
http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/kansas-...19-2017-788433
Nashville Predators VS Philadelphia Flyers
Over 5½ -104
Risk 67.37 To Win 64.78
Ticket Number 370293300 accepted
Kansas City Chiefs VS Oakland Raiders
Chiefs -3 +105
Risk 50.00 To Win 52.50
Ticket Number 370293613 accepted
damn book and their +105 luring me.
Everyone and their mothers are on KCQuote:
Originally Posted by DRK Star
Oakland or pass for me.
DJ Traps is your new nickname.Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps
-3 +105 and everyone on KC. Smells fishy like the East coast.
not saying dallas is chopped liver, but they aren't the dominant cowboys they were last year...zeke has been very mediocre at best (think this whole case is fucking with him)...I think this year you can lump SEA/LAR/WSH/DAL into some mish mash of teams who are around the same level of "goodness"...not saying that they are equal, but think roughly they are on the same level...Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
IDK - Dallas has more talent than any of the teams they have already lost to. Just sayin.
would never think of taking this bet if san fran wasn't at home...if cmoney disagrees with me then I would never fire, guy knows his 49ers...
things that have me a little skiddish:
1. bethards first start...although we did get a long glimpse of him last week against Washington...was pretty good...only one pick and he almost brought them all the way back...
2. the line...if this was SF +3 or less I would have already slammed it thinking I found my 'this line smells like shit' line of the week...+6 doesn't really stand out to me as vegas offering you a big juicy worm that they're trying to get you to latch on to...gonna guess public money is gonna pour onto dallas, so it'll be interesting to see if it moves towards 7...unless somebody tells me otherwise, ill probably look to buy up to that and take my chances...
home dogs the GOAT
take oaktown or stay away imo
and i recommend you nogs wait for the wormhole to open up and see what c$ has to say about those 9ers