He is morbidly obese.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyde
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He is morbidly obese.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyde
None of your 'possible outcomes' will occur. Know why? Because your analysis is dogshite.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
I had this wonderful dream that the Bernie supporters get their ultimate revenge and write him in. Any chance this could happen?
Nope
And greek food is garbage
Can't agree on Greek food. Greek food is god.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Greek food is good it's greeks that suck.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerCan't agree on Greek food. Greek food is god.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
(sorry I am greek)
is anyone else secretly disappointed that thesparten couldnt put down his crackpipe long enough to take this thread to the next level?
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Originally Posted by Gordman
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Originally Posted by Corrigan
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Originally Posted by Gordman
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Originally Posted by Corrigan
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Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass
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sonatine: if thats true, im impressed.
Thank you Thank you, Snake_in_the_ass.
Exactly the move I made, except I didn't make quite as much (only because I couldn't deposit more for some reason)
I saw it in the morning and wagered almost everything I had on Tradesports. I then went to one of my jobsites to finish up some bullshit, and by afternoon I headed back home and tried to deposit more so I could buy some more shares. Back then, it was normally pretty damn easy to use a regular credit card to make a deposit on a site like that; only this time it wasn't working...i called TS Customer service but i couldn't get a straight answer why it wasn't accepting my card all of the sudden. I called the CC company but I was afraid to divulge much info for fear they would cancel me or something if they found out what it was for. Turns out the CC company just put a standard hold on it because they thought it was suspicious activity, but by the time I got it resolved and unlocked, it was pretty much too late, otherwise I would have most definitely made a shit ton more.
I ended up making about $6200 with the shares I did have, so it was still not a bad day at all. I just kicked myself repeatedly for not being able to deposit more. What can ya do?
Anyway, maybe shut your fucking pie hole next time Corrigan until you have all of the information you fucktard
frickin DOOFUS
Oh, and drink a pint of bleach too if you can, k? thanks.
Is there a Tradesports-esque site open these days?
Trump absolutely, positively will not win in a landslide.
Those claiming this will happen are delusional.
If anyone might win in a landslide, it will be Hillary. If she takes Florida, NC, and perhaps even Ohio (though that one is likely going Trump), it will start to look landslide-ish.
But honestly, nobody is winning in a real landslide.
Remember when Reagan took 49 of 50 states in 1984? That's never happening again -- at least not for a very long time. The country is too divided and partisan now. There are too many states which are solidly one way or the other, and will just about never vote the other way.
Say what you will about "progress" in our modern times, but politically we seem to have regressed. People were more open-minded 30 years ago regarding which candidate they would vote for, and weren't as locked in to party loyalism. There was also a lot more emphasis on character regarding Presidential candidates in those days. Remember when Gary Hart had his political fortunes completely destroyed over a few silly photos in the Enquirer of him having an affair? That would never happen today.
Morallly questionable candidates like Hillary and Trump wouldn't have had a chance 30 years ago.
Anyway, Trump has made a few inroads in PA, but is probably losing there. If given another 2 months, he might be able to win over PA, but he's out of time.
He's also getting close in Colorado, but again I don't think it will be quite enough. He's got a better shot there than in PA, though.
I think Trump will take IA, OH, AZ, GA, and even Nevada is starting to look good for him.
New Hampshire has lurched into Trump territory, and he is now a favorite there.
He's also looking like the favorite in NC.
However, he's got a Florida problem. He's looking worse and worse there, and hasn't had an unbiased poll showing him leading in quite some time.
Trump can actually win now without Colorado, thanks to his turnaround in NH.
If he takes FL, OH, NC, IA, AZ, GA, NH, NV, and Maine district 2, then he wins VERY narrowly -- 270 to 268.
If the election goes exactly as current poll results show, Hillary wins 297-241.
However, if Trump flips Florida, he narrowly wins with 270 as described above.
The absolute maximum I see Trump finishing with is 299 -- if he flips FL, CO, and PA. Beyond that, pretty much everything is out of reach. I don't believe he has a shot in the so-called toss-up states of VA, MI, and WI.
Let me say this, though.
Florida is a strange animal. It's kinda hard to predict in some ways.
If Trump does manage to outdo the current polls and win there, which isn't out of the realm of possibility, then Hillary has real problems.
This is because she will need to win a state where she's currently polling behind. So if Trump wins Florida and can hold every state where he's polling ahead, Hillary loses by 2 electoral votes.
And James Comey will be found dead of an unexpected heart-related ailment.
AZ and GA in play... LOL
Trump is going to get smoked
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Originally Posted by sonatine
Not sure if I understand what you mean by a similar site like that. Briefly elaborate?
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Originally Posted by GordmanQuote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Not sure if I understand what you mean by a similar site like that. Briefly elaborate?
Tradesports is closed, no?
One more note:
Trump has suddenly moved ahead in New Hampshire, as I mentioned above.
This is significant because Bernie was REALLY popular there, due to the state's proximity to Vermont.
There is some talk that Trump's recent bump was due to the Wikileaks exposing the various shady ways Hillary achieved unfair edges over Bernie, such as obtaining debate questions in advance from CNN's Donna Brazile. It's said that some Bernie bots, who had conceded the necessity of voting for Hillary, are angry again and are refusing to support her now.
If Trump wins, and if NH's 4 electoral votes prove key to that win, it will be notable in a few ways:
1) Bernie Sanders will have done exactly what he was trying NOT to do -- cause Hillary to lose the general election, albeit indirectly.
2) Russia (provided they were the ones guilty) really will have swayed the Presidential election.
3) NH will have once again been key to a Republican winning, for the 2nd time in 5 election cycles. In 2000, Bush beat Gore in part due to Gore's fooilsh neglect of NH as a campaign stop. It is unclear why Gore ignored New Hampshire. Even fellow Democrats were irritated with him late in the campaign season when he refused to visit there. He ended up losing by just 7,211 votes, and that cost him the election. Hillary is attempting to make nice over in NH and avoid Al Gore's mistakes, but it looks like her unfair treatment of Bernie will burn her -- at least in that state.
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Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by Gordman
Tradesports is closed, no?
I think they were ultimately bought out by some other outfit several years ago, but right now i cant remember who. If my memory serves me, I tried researching who bought them/what happened to them several years ago, and i think i had figured out what happened, but for the life of me at this moment I cannot remember the results I came up with. Shit was changing around so much between poker sites/betting sites at the time, I just didn't keep up. I do remember that Tradesports was based in Ireland (At least that's what I think i remember)
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Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You misspelled FBI.
Not really.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Hillary hasn't polled ahead of Trump in those states in ANY recent poll, not even the Democrat-leaning polls.
She's not winning those, just as Trump isn't winning VA/MI/WI.
For some reason, the media likes to pretend that MI and WI are battleground states. They've done this for the last 4 election cycles, and every time the go Democrat. This will be no different.
FBI swayed it in Hillary's favor when they chose not to charge her and closed the investigation in July, despite a ton of chargeable offenses.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You misspelled FBI.
They swayed it back just recently.
I say that's breaking even.
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Originally Posted by Dan DruffFBI swayed it in Hillary's favor when they chose not to charge her and closed the investigation in July, despite a ton of chargeable offenses.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
They swayed it back just recently.
I say that's breaking even.
I dont know, she went from -400 to -260 in 10 hours after they fed Fox News that bullshit. And also the Comey decision was at least an actual departmental decision. What happened with Fox News was a violation of the Hatch Act and probably much, much worse.
Right but the fact that it's even that close in AZ and GA just proves what a shitty candidate Trump is
Obama was -190 or so on this date 2012.
She is -380
He's fucked latinos early voting is up 100%+
Romney didn't get many people excited. Trump has.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Hillary hasn't either, but she benefits from the hatred/fear many have for Trump.
Voting overall will be way up, so quoting early Latino voting numbers isn't as significant as you think it is.
They had some type of merger with intrade, but I think they went broke. I believe they stiffed me for a few bucks when it came crashing down. Been a while.Quote:
Originally Posted by GordmanQuote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
I think they were ultimately bought out by some other outfit several years ago, but right now i cant remember who. If my memory serves me, I tried researching who bought them/what happened to them several years ago, and i think i had figured out what happened, but for the life of me at this moment I cannot remember the results I came up with. Shit was changing around so much between poker sites/betting sites at the time, I just didn't keep up. I do remember that Tradesports was based in Ireland (At least that's what I think i remember)
Predictit still alive and well
I have like $2500 on there at the moment
Fees suck balls though
What about the n-wordS? I don't expect to see many n-wordS wearing "I Voted" stickers this election cycle.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffRomney didn't get many people excited. Trump has.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Hillary hasn't either, but she benefits from the hatred/fear many have for Trump.
Voting overall will be way up, so quoting early Latino voting numbers isn't as significant as you think it is.
Trump is in for a rude awakening if he thinks financial professionals all along the east coast are voting for him. He's going to get his shit pushed in.
This thread has now entered the coffee talk stage making it even more awful.
I'd be stocking up on canned goods and getting all the ammunition and fuel possible not to mention the best Mad Max ride available
Is voting going to be up by 100% ?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffRomney didn't get many people excited. Trump has.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Hillary hasn't either, but she benefits from the hatred/fear many have for Trump.
Voting overall will be way up, so quoting early Latino voting numbers isn't as significant as you think it is.
Typical Persian who thinks he knows everything. Start saving up for the $200,000 weddings and hairy wife. The only thing worse than an Armenian scumbag in Los Angeles is a fucking Persian. I have fucked a few Persian women and they sure do love to suck cock but why do they insist to get fucked in the ass? To preserve their virginity ?Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...no-longer-over
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016...r-clinton.html
I have to go with Charlie Cook. Basically, he says that Clinton is the favorite in any state that is polling within the margin of error because of the mighty Democratic ground game. The Republicans are possibly better at this than they were four years ago, but that's not saying much. This is pretty much what happened to Romney, though I like Trump in Iowa and maybe Ohio, but that's it for real battleground states (Arizona and Georgia are about two presidential cycles away from real battleground status). It's interesting that there is one American Indian Democratic elector in Washington state who will not vote for Clinton, but probably not decisive.
:lolQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It wasn't russia who did the leaks, should be common knowledge by now. Assange even had to go out of his way and finally say it wasnt cuz it was such stupid political propaganda by the Democrats. EVERY country hacked us cuz hillary is an incompetent boob, but couldve easily been a 400 lber sitting in his bed as well who actually turned in the leaks.
FFS, Druff! The FBI does NOT have the authority to charge people with crimes. It is like a national police force, not a prosecutor's office.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffFBI swayed it in Hillary's favor when they chose not to charge her and closed the investigation in July, despite a ton of chargeable offenses.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
They swayed it back just recently.
I say that's breaking even.
http://blog.constitutioncenter.org/2...ts-prosecuted/
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But the public may not always understand that the FBI does not have the job of deciding who should, or should not, be prosecuted for crime. It was created to do investigations – period. When it finishes one of its probes, it can and usually does make recommendations, but someone else has the job of deciding what to do with the results of those investigations – an actual prosecutor.
Back to -400 because people still think Russia did not do the leaks and literally cant distinguish fact from fiction.
I think that New Hampshire has become a new Republican "fools gold" state like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. They've won only once in NH since 1992 when Nader siphoned off 22K liberal votes and Gore lost by 7K in 2000.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
New Hampshire Republicans are moderate Eisenhower type Republicans and are comfortable with women in power--their incumbent Repiblican senator and her Democratic challenger are both women. Although its demographics aren't typical Clinton demographics, New Englanders are also not Trump people. No way Trump wins NH.Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnCommodeI think that New Hampshire has become a new Republican "fools gold" state like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. They've won only once in NH since 1992 when Nader siphoned off 22K liberal votes and Gore lost by 7K in 2000.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I think this election is a different situation for two reasons:Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerNew Hampshire Republicans are moderate Eisenhower type Republicans and are comfortable with women in power--their incumbent Repiblican senator and her Democratic challenger are both women. Although its demographics aren't typical Clinton demographics, New Englanders are also not Trump people. No way Trump wins NH.Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnCommode
1) NH leads the nation in percentage of "independent" voters, and many of these people consider themselves independent because they hate establishment politics. This clearly favors Trump.
2) There is plenty of bitterness there over the Bernie Sanders situation, and the e-mails have stoked that bitterness once again.
For those who care, here are the % chances for Trump to win in the various battleground states, according to the betting on PredictIt:
NH: 39%
AZ: 75%
WI: 17%
MI: 22%
IA: 79%
OH: 70%
FL: 37%
PA: 23%
NV: 23%
CO: 23%
GA: 84%
NC: 42%
So these people aren't very bullish on Trump's overall chances.
After further looking into Nevada, I agree he is probably screwed there: http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the...ly-voting-blog
I think there may be some value going with Trump in NH and perhaps NC.
There may be some additional value for Clinton in AZ, given what seems to be happening in NV, though I still don't think she's winning there.
Also might be some Hillary value in Iowa, given that one poll did show her ahead there.