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DRUFF IS THE STUFF
CLEAN SWEEP
Sorry for scaring you guys with doubting my own Sac/OKC under pick. To be fair, I was at the greatest level of doubt when the line jumped way up to 208. It fell to like 206.5 around game time, which made me feel a bit better.
Went 3-0 today. Could have been 4-0 if I went with the -8.5 OKC line on Bovada, but it was 7.5 in Vegas and I wasn't having that.
Doing well with the halftime bets.
This is the second time I bet against Utah when they were ahead on the road, and both times it's worked out.
Wish I fired on the Minnesota/Washington over 100 2nd half, but I backed out at the last second.
That's something else I'm going to start considering -- firing on the over 2nd half when there's an unexpectedly low scoring first half.
Current betting record is 33-24-3.
I'm also 24-13-1 in my last 38 bets.
Here are my picks:
Phoenix -2 at Charlotte: These are two struggling teams. Phoenix has dropped 6 straight, Charlotte has dropped 3 straight and 13 of their last 16. Phoenix is getting back Goran Dragic, and I believe this will be the game where they finally (at least temporarily) right the ship. Phoenix lost to Charlotte on their home floor, so they will be out for revenge here. In the past 34 days, Charlotte's only wins have come against lowly New York and Boston. The public money has been on this one, as it went from +1 to -2, perhaps because of Dragic's status now as "probable" instead of "questionable".
Brooklyn at Toronto - Under 197.5: I've been avoiding games involving Brooklyn because they were very unpredictable at the beginning of the season, but now I'm seeing a trend. Here are their totals in regulation for the last 7 games: 86, 75, 88, 80, 88, 114, 91. Other than that one outlier, those other 6 games averaged 84.67 points! That's amazingly bad, and indicative of a severe offensive problem. Toronto scores a lot (average 107), but they also play good defense, and I see Brooklyn putting up a low enough total to where the under will cover, even if Toronto has a nice offensive output.
I'll try to watch for halftime bets, as well.
Bovada has -2.5 for Phoenix now.
Ugh.
I'll wait to see what happens.
Put 840 to win 800 on Under 197 -105 for Bkn/Tor
My NCAAB guy has a two unit play tonight Under SDSU/Cin 109
Druff, wouldn't it be great to approach Haralabob for a radio interview using your NBA "system" as a fun excuse to discuss sports betting & his take on poker today?
Promise to keep it light & short.
Makeithappen
now it moved to -3Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
It's 2.5 in Vegas.Quote:
Originally Posted by Gordmannow it moved to -3Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Bovada has -2.5 -115.
Public money big time on Phoenix here. I might take it at -2.5 -115 anyway, though I hate paying that extra juice.
Well now it's -3 -105 on Bovada. Sucks.
I might just fire now. I don't think it's going to get any better.
Edit: Fired 840 to win 800.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
0.0 chance
I pulled the trigger as well; mine was $110 to win $100 though. Looks like I paid more juice in ratio compared to your betQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Gordman you got -110 and I got -105.
Late pick is Miami -3 -115 vs Utah
DWade is now "probable".
Utah is awful and is back to back on the road. Stayed away because of Wade, but like it now that he's playing.
Bet 880 to win 800 on -3.5 on Bovada.
This doesn't exactly bolster my "tons of public money means something" argument.
Phoenix down 42-28 in the 2nd. Still early but not good.
Al Jefferson is killing them.
Not off to the best start here.
Utah somehow clobbering the Heat (21-12) early on, and Charlotte is raining a ton of points down upon Phoenix, 56-46 late in the 2nd.
As both Charlotte and Utah are crap teams, they can easily shit the bed and blow these leads, but obviously not what I wanted to see.
BTW if Utah is beating down Miami by the end of the first half (right now it's a lolbad 28-14), I would suggest firing on Miami for the 2nd half.
Tailing your Brooklyn at Toronto pick at ACR... TOTAL u198½-110
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
If you can find this price lock it in now:
Detroit Lions -7 @ Chicago Bears.
Cutler sucks but wtf is this pickle they are starting on Sunday going to do?
So I like the Miami -5.5 halftime bet a LOT.
They are down 55-41 at home against this terrible Jazz team, which is back-to-back on the road.
Utah has had several games recently where they do well in the first half (though not quite this well) and then shit the bed in the 2nd.
The nice thing about this pick is that Miami doesn't have to outright win the game -- or even come close. All they need to do is lose by 8 or fewer.
I think Miami is going to adjust at halftime and at least make this closer.
I fired $1050 to win $1000 on it at -105. Somehow Bovada doesn't have as strict of limits on halftime bets.
It's right around on pace for this. 75 points at mid-2nd half.Quote:
Originally Posted by Reno
Brooklyn looking surprisingly good so far, which is disappointing. Where is the team averaging 84 points per game recently?
My Phoenix/Charlotte game, looking awful at one point, has some hope. Phoenix down by 5 with 10 min left.
Druff do you know that Bosh is out for the heat?
Holy Shit. I just saw that Erin Rynning released that okc vs. sac game over the total as his total GOY. At least I don't feel dumb now that I came up with the same exact analysis as him since he never has a losing season. I've never seen them cheese it up on that site with titals like game of the year. He's obviously embarrassed about it on todays podcast. How sick that would be because that was like a lock at hitting the over at halftime and it doesn't even get close.
Tailing druffs under take on Brooklyn. I just got second half under 99.
Great, so not only are the teams not doing well, but since my cable provider wasn't apparently showing the game, I somehow inadvertently downloaded some horseshit while trying to view a stream. Now my computer is all fucked up with spam. What in the flying fuck is Vosteran.
This is all your fault Druff!
Obv Kidding
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gordman
OMG!
I thought you were cereal.
the suns with the comeback win...
Yes.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
But I figured with Wade at home, and against the awful Jazz (who was back to back on the road), this looked good.
No idea how Utah is playing so well here.
Anyway at least the Phoenix one came through at the last minute.
Hoping at least the halftime Heat bet will come through, but honestly they are just looking terrible all around today.
Brooklyn/Tor under not looking great either. 105 at halftime, but obviously that still has a shot.
anybody do the live betting on bovada? giving it a shot tonight...trying to middle some O/Us....
I don't know what the hell I was looking at, but it was obv looking wrong. I came in from being at my sons Christmas program, go look at the computer, and im thinking my bets are all fucked up. Obv I was wrong and nailed the Suns -3 per druffs pick
TODD IS GOD!
in tribute, Ill be making a donating to a freeroll soon, that is, if Bovada doesn't fuck me and keep any more of my money
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYes.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
But I figured with Wade at home, and against the awful Jazz (who was back to back on the road), this looked good.
No idea how Utah is playing so well here.
Anyway at least the Phoenix one came through at the last minute.
Hoping at least the halftime Heat bet will come through, but honestly they are just looking terrible all around today.
Brooklyn/Tor under not looking great either. 105 at halftime, but obviously that still has a shot.
Not every team is going to play back to backs and have the effect you're going to be looking for. Really young teams like Utah, Boston, even the 6ers aren't pushed back by back to backs. It's the San Antonio's and the Miami's you want to really push those back to backs hard.
Just my opinion. I have never bet like that, but just thinking about what your thought process was and thought I'd throw it out there.
I am also a money burning idiot.
Brooklyn under came through, though close.
2-2 day. Miami ate $1930 of mine. Yuck.
Houston vs. Denver. Over 102.5 first half.
Druff two nights in a row where you were looking extremely horrible on your under pick at halftime and they both hit. And both weren't even a sweat down the stretch.
Druff, I was going to +1 your rep for the Brooklyn pick but you rep number is perfect.
This happens a lot especially when you download free materials from the web. vosteran is identified to be a browser hijacker. So, the search results from it may not be reliable. Delete it from browser add-on manager, empty browser cookies and temp file folder. If it won't go away, browser reset is an option. Quoted from: http://blog.doohelp.com/how-to-get-r...firefoxchrome/
Quote:
Originally Posted by cubeee
wat
Houston vs. Denver 2nd half
Denver +4 (-105)
(push if Denver wins by 1 win if Denver wins by 2)
And for sure going to be looking at New Orleans tomorrow night in Houston. Anything pickem or better. No line at all yet but I'd guess like Houston one to two point favorites.
Hearns under 48.5
Shorts under 45.5
Wait, you like NO here?Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
Line is Houston -4.5.
I like Houston here. If you really like NO, let me know and we can bet without juice.
My NBA guy likes NO tonight. I'll give you $100 of action if you want it at +4.5.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWait, you like NO here?Quote:
Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit
Line is Houston -4.5.
I like Houston here. If you really like NO, let me know and we can bet without juice.