AGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
A 2-out wild pitch to tie the game???
Fuck
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AGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
A 2-out wild pitch to tie the game???
Fuck
I think this might be a sign from the gambling Gods that I shouldn't be sheeping any of your baseball picks.
Nothing personal, but when the gambling Gods speak, I listen.
Only happens when I bet on them. MFQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffAGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
A 2-out wild pitch to tie the game???
Fuck
Yeah, you know you're running bad when a ball which almost gets hit out and goes over the CF's head ends up as a single in the 10th.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
I probably shouldn't bet on baseball again.
Dodgers under will win, barring a shocking turn of events, so I will be 1-2 going into the final 2 games.
Really got fucked on that Braves one.
That reds team has fucked over more folks I know than any other team.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I had someone beg me to find them action on the Reds under 69.5. Wanted 11K worth. Thankfully (at this point) he was only able to get down $3K locally. Then he went on and hammered against them the first three weeks of the season. Know a few others that ha e faded the Reds as well.
Problem I see is that they are shitty but so is everyone else in the NL save 3-4 teams.
Badguy - really nice call on KC ! I'm listening.
Druff - <silence>
I couldn't bet this fast enough.
Dodgers Hill v Brewers Garza
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 908 Milwaukee Brewers +142 for Game
Kenley Jansen just threw 2 innnings / 33 pitches. Take a seat.
Unreal how bad I've run this week.
Lost two games in the bottom of the 9th.
Interesting angle. And Hill is no Kershaw, that's for sure.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
But Garza, after a surprisingly good first few starts, has hit the (expected) wall. So that's the problem here.
You're correct that Jansen won't be pitching tomorrow, though.
I got fucked in the brewers game. I will never understand why a manager will take a pitcher out of a game that is on cruise control and bring in some relief pitcher who has been sitting on his ass for 3 hours. Who cares about 100 pitches, 20 more won't kill anyone.
And then to make matters worse, I said please don't let Feliz pitch anytime during extra innings. He has fucked me several times this year. Sure enough, he gets the call and the 1st guy he faces puts one in the seats.
Not going to bet it yet, but am considering St. Louis tomorrow, who is currently +158 behind Leake versus Lester and the Cubs.
Can't bet on Garza, used to fade him a lot back in Cubs days. He is a loser. Seems like a lot of value on Cards, but Cubs at home not so sure. Sanlmar nailed it yesterday so I am not touching it for now.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffInteresting angle. And Hill is no Kershaw, that's for sure.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
But Garza, after a surprisingly good first few starts, has hit the (expected) wall. So that's the problem here.
You're correct that Jansen won't be pitching tomorrow, though.
Orioles look interesting, decent line. This is not the mighty Price they are facing. Sanlmar, you called Orioles yesterday, what you think?
I got excited about Houston on the road, until I saw the line -170. Pass.
I'll admit to a little late night alcohol fueled impulsiveness. My failing was not waiting for the Dodgers money to flow in. I coulda gotten a few extra points.Quote:
Originally Posted by CharhamCan't bet on Garza, used to fade him a lot back in Cubs days. He is a loser. Seems like a lot of value on Cards, but Cubs at home not so sure. Sanlmar nailed it yesterday so I am not touching it for now.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Orioles look interesting, decent line. This is not the mighty Price they are facing. Sanlmar, you called Orioles yesterday, what you think?
I got excited about Houston on the road, until I saw the line -170. Pass.
Rich Hill looked just alright last outing. He's the guy with the blister issues and needs a ton of pitches to get through 5 or so innings. They'll prolly have him on a short leash so as to not start up his blistering again. So we are into a depleted bullpen early
Garza ain't no prize either. We will see.
Price was never mighty. Always vastly over rated with Sawks. Price wasn't sharp his last outing and got a lucky double play in a pickle and generally dodged disaster. The guy is soft as a grape mentally. Makes more than Kershaw. Lot to hate
I will look at the other side in a bit
King Kong Bundy - Orioles. I like the kid. Give him the edge.
Price has a partial tear of his UCL & wanted surgery. Sawks want him to throw until it snaps. This is a Sawks team approach - Lackey pitched like this one year. Lackey was a warrior. Price gotta be living in constant fear. May affect his command but apparently not his velocity.
I'm in. Do what you will - this is a fun double header of hate for me: fading Sawks & Dodgers
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 924 Baltimore Orioles +108 for Game
Fading Fulmer was about the worst pick I have seen in awhile. Kid is GOD. If Dombrowski were still here he'd probably trade him/not sign him.
White Sox over 2 runs first 5
This feels like a troll, where in the hell are you getting this? ZimmerWOAT ? what bookie would be this stupid?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
EDIT: Chalk.
I got it at -130 early. It's as high as -170 now. That's pushing it for sure but I still think there is a very good chance they score at least 2.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfatherThis feels like a troll, where in the hell are you getting this? ZimmerWOAT ? what bookie would be this stupid?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
EDIT: Chalk.
I got it at -160, it's basically a lock. zimmerman is about as bad as it gets.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI got it at -130 early. It's as high as -170 now. That's pushing it for sure but I still think there is a very good chance they score at least 2.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfather
his contract tho
looooooooool fuck.
.... the one time I don't bet early...
Cards drop from +158 to +135. Wow.
Guess I'll have to pass on it now.
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 922 Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers over 5˝ -115 for 1st 5 InningsQuote:
Originally Posted by lewfatherI got it at -160, it's basically a lock. zimmerman is about as bad as it getsQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I'm gonna muck up the sure thing my way cuz value 'n stuff I don't understand really
So tilting.
Liked Cards +158 but went to sleep & didn't bet.
Woke up to +135 and said no way.
Of course Cards hammering Lester immediately.
The sad thing is if I was running better, I would have just fired last night.
I hate missing out on +158 type wins. Gotta hit your share of those if you have a shot in baseball.
ok I got baltimore and CWS over. i hesitated on lester and cleveland, grrr. NM just live bet Cards, risking bullpen here but if they beat up lester some more game may get away.
I bet the Cardinals again at +145 and they fucking gave it up after winning for most of the game. Just awful. Again.
And I hope Badguy hopped on KC again. Cleveland was -175 and they are getting their asses blistered.
I bet Colorado over 7.5 for a lot and i'm not liking it whatsoever right now.
da cubs
Dodgers trailing 8-5 going into the 9th. That $ was already spent
Dodgers score 5 runs.
10-8
Dodgers came from behind only 3x this year, I believe
Hill was dreadful - 100 pitches 4 in innings. Never thought I'd see Jansen. Guy is money & tough.
Hatcher is awful too
I binked Detroit first 5 so a push so far - feel free to take the victory lap, Druff
I am almost ready to concede.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
My feeling exactly yesterday, and today, with the Cardinals. A grandfucking slam. LOL.
Thankfully my big Colo over hit. But without it, I'm on Craig's list looking for a bike.
ok this one def belongs in the wagering thread:
somebody tell me if they think there is anything odd about the line for the last game tonight , Rays @ M's
M's at home for full game is a slight favorite , but if you go to first 5 inning lines the rays are actually slight favored on the ML, obv in first 5 bets u can push as to where you cant in a full game bet , so they make the -1/2 line and tonight the +1/2 is on the slightly favored Rays (Cobb going BTW)
so heres: what the line looks like
Rays +0.5 (-165) -115
Mariners -0.5 (+140) -105
why are the M's the -1/2 RUNLINE when they are the dog for first 5?
I lost with the Brewers yesterday and I wasn't dumb enough to take them today. I can't believe they choked again.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
ok ...... how bout this ... question open to anyone who thinks they know about MLb..
why ever bet a full game when ur basically basing ur decison on the pitching matchup 95% of the time ? way quicker sweat (when baseball isnt always all that great to watch anyway) and with RL still available too if u wanna go that route so u leave out the push aspect?
just want to hear a possible argument for taking full game , just so u can agonize into tge late bullpen hours when u coulda already cashed that winner (or loser) .... 2nd half of badeball games is also an interesting angle because if u know which bullpens are horrid u should be able to strategically place a last 4 inning bet ( i think a last 4 ining bet had to be done pregame tho).....,,, love aseball hate baseball , its kinda all we got , ive made almost 20k in one day a couple time hitting perfect everyrhjng parlayed , im also probably down lifetime on the bases , not sure exactly , just wanna hear some opt cuz ya gotta love it
#tightnovel
#didntedit
Happy this worked out for you. I had three sites where the CWS TT wasn't offered so I broke even on it.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarMobile - Baseball - MLB - 922 Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers over 5˝ -115 for 1st 5 InningsQuote:
Originally Posted by lewfather
I'm gonna muck up the sure thing my way cuz value 'n stuff I don't understand really
One of those better lucky than good moments.
I have a raging headache and I am not fully awake but I'll take a shot.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
The public doesn't bet first 5 innings.
There really are teams that get huge love beyond any logic. Of course, Chicago is was the poster child for this especially earlier this year.
This is so gay but witness Dancing With The Stars. David Ross (ex Cubs catcher) was on. He ain't handsome and wasn't Fred Astaire. Part of the decision who makes next round is public voting. With three left Ross won again through public vote. There is a story that when the results were announced the judges looked shocked & appalled. That my friends was the power of the Chicago Cubs public. I loved that
You may not give a shit about baseball but others do. Kinda passionately & beyond reason.
There are teams that nobody cares about (bad teams?) that are better in a certain spot than the public gives them credit for.
The lines are offered to the public like a restauranteur offers a salty dish with a high fat content to his customers. It's wrong and it's unhealthy but they seem to like it.
That's the fun. You look at a line that was created for the public and you don't give a shit about the Dodgers and their little phenom Urias. LA is all excited ... they are playing the Miami Marlins - the retirees don't care and don't bet. It's all Todger money and it's soooo wrong.
The Dodger Miami line is skewed beyond reason. That never happens first 5
Edit:
The Dodgers are one instance that hasn't been working though. They are a public darling with bad lines yet they still win. They are pretty good but it's all a waste.
It's hard to fight the urge to fade the dumb money in that instance. It's been a slow suicide.
White Sox seem tempting today at +223. I don't recognize the pitcher and I am sure he sucks, but Detroit is playing Verlander, who I know is bad now, so I am not sure he should ever be +223 for any reason. Seems like value.
Also, took Warriors -8.5. No strong feelings either way, but I like to have some kind of action on any basketball or football game I am going to try to watch anyways.
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
GL
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 965 New York Yankees +106 for Game
Two bad teams - just putting my faith in Teherán
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 951 Atlanta Braves +107 for Game
Freddie Freeman out so I have no idea why I am going here. More Teherán love
Mobile - Baseball - Alt Run Line - 3951 Atlanta Braves -1˝ +160 for Game
Now you tell me.Quote:
Originally Posted by lewfatherQuote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
GL
:(
I Also took the nyy. Can't stomach the braves.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
GL
Good luck to us on NYY. 2-2 top 7.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendI Also took the nyy. Can't stomach the braves.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
GL
I felt better about the Braves shit show. I bet live down 2-1 early
6/4/2017 1:32:23 PM
Description:
ATLANTA BRAVES at CINCINNATI REDS Moneyline BRAVES +220
Reds simply have zero pitching. Nada
Tehran not great but he is functional where Reds are not
Lol 11-7 5th. I was 9-3
Rough draft Larry-like suicide thread ready to drop
Sorry Tellafriend. If it's any consolation I know I'm gonna get fucked on Braves. I tried to book 21.5 over as a hedge big (a first - you ever take a 21.5 total?). Got rejected and everything got removed live.
ATLANTA BRAVES at CINCINNATI REDS Win the Rest - (REDS 8 : BRAVES 11) REDS