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TYQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Always a better thread when Daly is around, actually.
Depressing to go up 3-0 and lose on my very first bet of the season. But I'll exit today happy if the Cards hold and Angels win.
Public loved my A's pic btw. LOL
How do two 3-0 leads turn into blowout losses?
Talk about a stiff welcome to my betting season.
Hopefully Angels at least take me to 1-2.
That's karma for betting against our beloved Dodgers.
If angels blow this 9-2 lead, it's time to pack it in for me.
Angels blew out Atlanta, as I thought would happen.
Kinda felt like I got robbed today. I realize 3-0 leads are not insurmountable, but when you have TWO 3-0 leads, you should win both most of the time, and at least 1 of 2 almost all the time.
Fade Colon in every start where the line is reasonable. He's toast.
The Dodgers are in 1st place with the 2nd best record in baseball.
This is a perversion of the game I love.
I try to write it off to variance but it doesn't help
Get used to it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
They should stay there, though the Rockies might keep it interesting. Maybe the Diamondbacks will even hang on, if their starting pitching continues to hold up. But the Dodgers are the best in the NL West, and surely look a hell of a lot better than everyone else right now, save for perhaps the Nationals (who are essentially their equal at the moment).
Plays for 5/31:
Arizona (Godley) +101 at Pittsburgh (Kuhl) - Two pitchers and teams going in opposite directions. The Pirates are a weak offensive club and sit with a 24-29 record, while the Dbacks are surprisingly good at 32-22, and hit the ball well. Zack Godley was a bad pitcher in 2016 who added 4 MPH to his fastball, and now looks really good. Chad Kuhl has been a disaster in 2017. I'll take the even money bet on Arizona here. This game begins at 9:35am Pacific, so bet early!
Baltimore (Gausman) vs. NY Yankees (Tanaka) - Over 9 -110 - Gausman has allowed 8 or more hits in 80% of his starts this year. Tanaka has looked awful in 2017, save for his last game against light-hitting Oakland. Each has an ERA of around 6. I believe this should be another high scoring affair.
Colorado (Senzatela) +166 at Seattle (Paxton) - Paxton was dominating with a 1.43 ERA through early May, but he's been out for almost a month with a strained forearm. This will be his first start back. Senzatela has been a surprise for the Rockies, going 7-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.145 WHIP. Colorado has proven they can win on the road this year, with an 18-8 record thus far. I'll take the +166 against a guy who isn't likely to be 100%.
Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 951 Arizona Diamondbacks -101 for Game
If you are watching this on MLB channel with these Pittsburgh announcers you are earning your money. Sleepy & awful
Patrick Reed ML (+100)
The Memorial Tournament Matchups - Justin Thomas vs Patrick Reed
Emiliano Grillo ML (-130)
The Memorial Tournament Matchups - Emiliano Grillo vs Charl Schwartzel
Marc Leishman ML (-130)
The Memorial Tournament Matchups - Marc Leishman vs Bud Cauley
Sometimes you need to not out think yourself. Took a look at that Bluejays lineup today and thought to myself it's time to fire on the reds.
Then I remembered it's the reds.
Sometimes it's the bets you don't make.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Damn, they are making you boys sweat for this one....
:facepalm2
Jays are heating up.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Hitting finally catching up to pitching. Eerily similar to last year.
Could blindly fire on them every game for the next month and work out +ve.
So Arizona blows a 4-3 lead in the 9th and a 5-4 lead in the 11th.
Then a rain delay.
:sfstandard
BTW you can get 8.5 -115 on the Yankees over now.
Stout call on the Yankees over druff! <applause>Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Yankees over hits in the 5th.
2-0 so far today
Sadly I almost went with Milwaukee today, too, but deGrom's last outing was so good that I chickened out.
We took a massive $460k bet on Cubs money line today vs San Diego. Only 2nd MLB bet more than 400k this year.
@cantorgaming
Ok, question: why would someone bet so much on this particular game? Would it be one person, a group? Do they think they have some inside info or just rich folk balling? If the former, why would cantor allow it and even publicize it ? TIAQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Fuck cantor gaming. They wouldn't take 10-15k bets on college football. Only way I will believe it is if I see the ticket being printed out in person. And who is dumb enough to back Arrieta for half a million?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Only one play for today:
Boston (E. Rodriguez) -121 at Baltimore (Miley) - I think this game is going to be the one where Miley finally blows up, after dancing out of trouble repeatedly throughout most of his starts this season. Rodriguez has looked solid all year.
Considered taking Greinke and the -125 today against the Marlins. On the surface, it looked good. Greinke has pitched much better in 2017 than he did last year. Arizona is a much better team than Miami. Giancarlo Stanton may not play. Jeff Locke is coming off the DL to make his first start for Miami, and he hasn't been any good in years.
So why not? Greinke didn't look good at all last time out, and Locke was unexpectedly dominating in his rehab starts. I'm going to pass.
OopsQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Can't be any worse than the "sharp" guy who posted a golf matchup play and is down 10 strokes after 9 holes.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerOopsQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
That's hard to do.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlunderMaker
Wtf is up with Pat reed? guy is eating dicks left and right. I tailed you btwQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyCan't be any worse than the "sharp" guy who posted a golf matchup play and is down 10 strokes after 9 holes.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
That's hard to do.
He must be hurt or something. There is nothing in his record that would have shown this level of cock sucking at this course.Quote:
Originally Posted by SpookygookWtf is up with Pat reed? guy is eating dicks left and right. I tailed you btwQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyCan't be any worse than the "sharp" guy who posted a golf matchup play and is down 10 strokes after 9 holes.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
That's hard to do.
In 474 pages this may be the worst play I've ever posted.
I'm going to tail Druff on the Sawks
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 909 Boston Red Sox -122 for Game
Sawks ERod has been on the rise. The Sawks generally are on a nice run
Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 910 Boston Red Sox/Baltimore Orioles under 9 -108 for Game
This is not the Sawks offense of a year ago. Infield except SS is all second tier players. Pedroia out. No Ortiz.
Even 4-1 win last night resulted from week opponent defense and bloop hits
Oriole's are gonna have a rough time with ERod and Kimbral.
I'm tailing both of you. Rough start. But maybe it will pan out.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
No worries
BOSTON RED SOX at BALTIMORE ORIOLES [BATTER PROPS] Total UNDER 10.5 +110
Took it with Sawks on 1st & 3rd 2 out a while ago
Victimized by the Trumbo long ball. It happens.
Miley not looking good (54 pitches in 3 IP), so I'm not feeling that bad, despite the 2-1 Baltimore lead at the moment.
Also, Dbacks down 2-0, and being no-hit by Jeff Locke through 3 1/3.
I swear, I almost posted the Dbacks pick, then took a closer look at Locke and saw how he just destroyed the minor league hitters during his rehab assignment. And I said, "You know what, I could totally see him putting up zeroes today."
Glad I steered clear.
How does Wade Miley do it?
Pitches poorly and allows countless baserunners outing after outing, yet somehow escapes with minimal damage.
In the meantime, we were popped with another longball (Chris Davis), and are now down 3-1.
Miley has thrown 72 pitches in 4 innings (lol), so the time to finally get him is now.
Hey Chico Loco first off you bet the 2 most public backed picks of the night and the marlins game had a reverse line movement.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You should of waited to place both of your bets because the line moved in your favor if you want to call it that??
Best you will do here is 1-1 so get the Yamaka out and crack open a Pepsi and start praying.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RijB8wnJCN0
My advice dont place bets so early in mlb unless you are sure of the movement and especially the lineup!
You also said Stanton wasnt playing and he has the hit that has fcked u so far in the Marlins game
Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Hey Chico Loco first off you bet the 2 most public backed picks of the night and the marlins game had a reverse line movement.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You should of waited to place both of your bets because the line moved in your favor if you want to call it that??
Best you will do here is 1-1 so get the Yamaka out and crack open a Pepsi and start praying.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RijB8wnJCN0
My advice dont place bets so early in mlb unless you are sure of the movement and especially the lineup!
You also said Stanton wasnt playing and he has the hit that has fcked u so far in the Marlins game
TK, you need to learn to read.
I did NOT bet the Dbacks. I said that I was considering it, but given how Locke kicked ass in his rehab starts, I stayed away. I also said that Stanton was QUESTIONABLE for the game, not out.
The line for the Sox was all over the place. I posted it as -122, it went down to -116, then all the way to -136, then back down to -121, which is when I bet it.
Sad thing is that Rodriguez is pitching better than Miley so far, but he got stung twice by HR, so he's down by 2.
Oh well.
Sanlmar, I like your under 10.5 a lot right now, and not just because it's on pace to win. Neither team can hit consistently today.
Oops my bad!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffQuote:
Originally Posted by badguy23
TK, you need to learn to read.
I did NOT bet the Dbacks. I said that I was considering it, but given how Locke kicked ass in his rehab starts, I stayed away. I also said that Stanton was QUESTIONABLE for the game, not out.
The line for the Sox was all over the place. I posted it as -122, it went down to -116, then all the way to -136, then back down to -121, which is when I bet it.
Thought you bet the Dbacks plus you no I cant read..
But one thing I can read is lines. Good Luck on the Redsox Pick Im against you so you have that in your favor..
it took everything in me to pull the trigger on this one but the line made 0 sense.
Everyone knows Miley is shit and dances through raindrops. If you dug further you would also see Rodriguez owns the Orioles even when he sucked especially in Camden Yards.
Yet the line drops?
Goodluck
I had faith in Boston coming back (provided Rodriguez pitched fairly well from that point forward), but now I don't feel good. Boston bats are asleep, and the game has only 4 innings left.
It's annoying because Miley and Rodriguez are both pitching like I expected, but I'm still losing 3-1, and I don't think it's going to change.
Well, this is pretty much over. Sorry, guys. Barring an unexpected comeback, I will fall to 3-4 for the season.
This will be the first favorite I lose. I was 3-0 in (small) favorites and 0-3 in underdogs thus far.
3rd HR for the O's and it's 4-1 now.
Fck being sorryQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Be a degen
Whats the pick on the NBA??
No NBA pick tonight
Sharp money is on GSW for the series.Quote:
Originally Posted by badguy23Fck being sorryQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Be a degen
Whats the pick on the NBA??
God fucking dam it I wanted to take Cavs moneyline. Hopefully GSW gets up early so I can or I just miss out from losing.