The problem I see with that bet is that things that could disqualify him could also lose him his big payday, unless of course , it is rigged ahead of time. It is such a circus I guess anything could happen.
Printable View
I could see a DQ. I don't think McGregor kicks or takes him down or anything like that. He's composed enough to know better, I think.
Maybe the "dirty boxing" where he holds behind the head while punching (looked like he was doing a little of that in the clip with Paulie), or the rabbit punches. Something like where they take 3 points then DQ him.
I'd fucking hate to see that happen. I want this to just go down, however it's going to go down, and do so in a manner that it's just over with, and doesn't require a rematch.
I didn't bet that. It just seemed like if any bet would guarantee a sequel, that would bet the one. I'm not even sure if that is what OSA meant but that's how I read it. I don't think there will be a sequel. I do think there will be a lot of spin-offs though... unless the MMA guy wins this. The MMA winning this would make all of that irrelevant. The MMA guy winning this would make boxing drop below handball and Australian Rules Football in popularity. Barring the Sheboon Pickens Effect, Mayweather will KO this clown in round 1. Even if the outcome is completely left to chance it's still a pro boxer vs. a not pro boxer. I could never dream of a fight like that lasting any amount of time at all. No DQ, no TKO, no judges. Conor sleeping. Gone in 60 Seconds. My recommendation for you is to dwarf all your previously made bets with Mayweather early bets.
Or you can sit tight knowing that being on the opposite side of me is most likely not horrible.
I think round 1 is a feeling out round for sure. Mayweather has to see how Conor is going to come at him.
But who knows. Nate Jones (Mayweather's assistant trainer, who is probably actually his real trainer) said that without giving too much of the gameplan away, they intend to come out throwing a higher volume of punches, because they don't believe Conor will be able to handle it. And that they'll attack the body from round 1. Jones says it'll end before the 5th round.
Buuuuuut you know Mayweather. He says he's knocking everyone out. But if this is as serious a fight as they claim, he's stopping Conor. The question is how long he fucks around with him before doing it.
Also, in regards to prop bets per round, if there is a DQ in a given round is there still action ? I assuming so but cant seem to find an answer. For example, you have Mayweather in round 7 @ 15-1 and then Mcgregor kicks him in the face and gets DQed.
This fight spooks me, the odds are just all wrong. Normally I'd make an extra large bet if I think the odds are wrong.
Conor in my opinion needs to end this fight early, if it goes the distance he will lose.
He's bigger, he's stronger, he's younger. If Conor is not at least 10 pounds heavier then Mayweather when they step in the ring I will be very surprised.
On the other hand, I don't feel Mayweather has the power to hurt Conor, but his precision will. Floyd will be stepping in and hitting Conor with accurate punches, and disappear... while Conor is throwing punches into thin air.
I'm a staunch Conor fanboy, but I think he's going to sleep.
Think I will just place a small interest bet on this fight, Mayweather by KO @ 5/1
Hope I'm wrong, I don't like Mr Money, superb boxer but what a cunt.
It's funny I was listening to Rogan from a couple months back saying he would put the price at 20-1, and seeing where it is now (currently -455/+355) it is just such free money betting on Mayweather. Want more proof? Read this....
http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...egas-oddmakers
It is just a bunch of McGregor fanboys pounding him so hard that they have no choice to throw out this bullshit line. Even the large betters presumably on the other side, HARD can't stem then tide of the masses. Everyone hates Mayweather and wants to see him lose, they don't even give a shot about the price. I'm putting every penny I have in my account on Mayweather.Quote:
The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook first posted Mayweather as a -2500 favorite (and McGregor a +1100 underdog) in a hypothetical bout back on Feb. 16. Since the fight became official on June 14, sportsbooks have witnessed mind-boggling handle, driving the consensus price to Mayweather -475 (McGregor +375).
"This is like hanging -3 on the Super Bowl and seeing the line move to -8," Jay Rood, vice president of MGM Resorts race and sports, told ESPN, revealing his company's current ticket ratio of 25-1. Last month it was 50-1. "This could be the worst loss in the history of MGM Resorts."
"All I know is we're less than a week away from making a lot of money or getting [clobbered]," William Hill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich told ESPN over the weekend.
"If there were no market already established, I would've opened Mayweather at 100-1," Bogdanovich said.
"As we know, anything can happen," Vaccaro said. "But truthfully, this thing should be 50-1. To me, it's absurd."
Vaccaro just may be the de facto expert. Not only does the Vegas veteran have four decades of bookmaking experience, but he is the only known oddsmaker in the entire world to have posted a line for Buster Douglas' upset of Mike Tyson in 1990, which closed at Tyson -4200.
Aaaaaand I try to get to 5dimes to check the lines and its hard down.
Shit might get very real today.
disregard, was a hiccup.
This shit might go to -350 before the fight if this continues. We still have 5 full days left.
Badguy if you still know some people at betonline I will need a limit increase on short notice if that happens.
This seems to me to be the best bet that I can remember since I started betting. Am I wrong here? Hes -400 against an amateur fighter, when just two years ago when he fought Pacquiao he closed at -330 against the 2nd ranked pound for pound fighter in the world. Of course anything is possible, but there seems to be great value here.
Such a huge discrepancy in odds between the bookmakers. Those Westgate odds above are terrible... 10-13 Mayweather by KO is laughable when you can get 5-1+)
-330 on Betfair for Mayweather to win outright is available right now, think the odds have reached a plateau and will move the other way.
If you truly believe the fight isn't going the distance there are some massive +EV bets to be had.
Booked 10k of action today where if it doesn't go the distance I make 1600 or 2500.
Good point... I need to read the asterisk in future.
If you look at the round betting the differences are huge. Folks taking Conor to win in the early rounds could be leaving a lot on the table.
Sorry about the metric, I looked for a setting to change it and couldn't find one.