You shoulda bet my Raiders +174Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
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You shoulda bet my Raiders +174Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Also we had that Utah last night, who knew that fluke 41 point 4th was gonna happen?
last bb i followed i lost. in re lvs didn't see in time. neither of help now.
Lots of sharps on Pitt under but I’m seeing books want more under action so I’m just skipping whole game.
We got that one Telly
CONNOR HEYWARD - YES+1000
ANYTIME TD SCORER
Wager
$200.00
Won
$2000.00
Yup, would’ve been a bad beat if I took this, as 27 points in the 4th pushed it 8 points over.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
See, Tella? I could’ve degenned and picked under here, like all those wise guys, but I stayed away and saved us.
Like a bored ploppy I was roped into betting Derrick Henry ATG & (2) TD props with an eye on his possible records.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYup, would’ve been a bad beat if I took this, as 27 points in the 4th pushed it 8 points over.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
See, Tella? I could’ve degenned and picked under here, like all those wise guys, but I stayed away and saved us.
Ensconced in my recliner - clicker in hand. I haven’t seen a more random exhibition in ages. True NFL pachinko
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYup, would’ve been a bad beat if I took this, as 27 points in the 4th pushed it 8 points over.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
See, Tella? I could’ve degenned and picked under here, like all those wise guys, but I stayed away and saved us.
I was on under but my personal approach to game unders saved me. I split the bet 50/50 between 1h and game.
All football when scoring starts it just snowballs and never slows down. Its not often that a 1h goes over and game goes under. It happens but its usually in a blowout type situation. Unders more often than not start under and finish under.
That's a good observation. This can especially happen in the 4th when teams start making desperate moves which end up working out, which then forces the other teams to make desperate moves on their end.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I was on under but my personal approach to game unders saved me. I split the bet 50/50 between 1h and game.
All football when scoring starts it just snowballs and never slows down. Its not often that a 1h goes over and game goes under. It happens but its usually in a blowout type situation. Unders more often than not start under and finish under.
How many times have you had an under which looks good until the final 3 minutes, and then falls apart?
I'm sure that's baked into the overall line, but still... when leaning under, going 1H if it's a close matchup and entire game if it's likely to be a blowout might be the play. Next season I might try that.
where we at tonight since no nfl ?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
This got posted in the NFL thread by mistake
Lets see how well in tuned I am to the markets
NHL
Utah -110
Utah U5.5
Ottawa U6
LAK U5.5
NBA
Charlotte +15.5
Houston U114.5 1H
Utah U117.5
I agree with the general sentiment of Utah under, except I'm going full game.
Utah at Portland - Under 241.5 -110
This is NOT going well. 73 in the 2nd quarter.
Almost a lock to lose at this point.
Utah unders are hard. Need 106 in 2H. It's a blowout so that's my only hope.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sometimes you the hammer, sometimes the nail.
Public needs to win every now and again. Its ok.
Really fucking annoyed right now. I have been dabbling in NBA player props and had 2 unders that were winners turn into losers when the Den-Phil game went to overtime. (Embiid and Brown U rebounds, where Brown's last rebound to seal the deal happened with 4 seconds left in OT).
Just as annoying I have Clippers +3 and a couple props on Clipper game and cant watch it because it is exclusively on Peacock.
I took 2nd half U123.5. Basically just did it because I was pissed I lost 2 prop bets in OT of the Sixers game. Thought I was ok, but 9 points were scored in last minute of the 3rd Q; so not great.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
started off so strong
Went from near sweep to barely +$$ in 30 min.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
started off so strong
Oh well
Dallas at Sacramento - Over 232.5 -110
No rush on this one. Starts at 8pm PST.
First quarter went fine, but since then nobody can shoot. 51 points in the next 15:11. Horrible.