*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

This is insane. I have Mich. St -10.5. I took it early in the week and got a bad number. I thought it would go one way and went the other way.

It is tied 21-21 going into 4th. And then Nebraska scores 17 unanswered points in 4th with a couple big plays and a couple short fields when Mich St goes for it on 4th down on their side of the field and doesn't convert.

Anyways, I get the backdoor TD at end of game to make it go to 11, and they go for 2. Literally no strategic reason to do this. None. Zero. Zilch.

And it is a bullshit fade that has 0.0% chance of working. The ball was placed so bad it wouldn't have worked if the QB and receiver were the only 2 players on the entire field. And I lose because of my shit number and a shit play that makes no sense. Insane. How am I always on the wrong side of these?

NFL today:

6:30am PT game:

Cleveland +161 vs Minnesota (London)
Cleveland/Minnesota - Under 35.5 -110

Other games:
Baltimore vs Houston - Under 40.5 -110
NY Jets +100 vs Dallas (+1 -110 ok)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

NFL today:

6:30am PT game:

Cleveland +161 vs Minnesota (London)
Cleveland/Minnesota - Under 35.5 -110

Other games:
Baltimore vs Houston - Under 40.5 -110
NY Jets +100 vs Dallas (+1 -110 ok)

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I’d love to bet the Browns. Scares me that Minnesota Sat over there for a week and acclimated. But I still might ride this. Backups are good for that new car smell sometimes for a week or two.

Got a few texts yesterday - had some family stuff cooking and I couldn't give ncaa enough attention. I reviewed numbers and I would have likely gone 8-7 so nobody missed anything.

Im with Todd on the early game and I think its well correlated. I took a rate parlay of +3.5 and Under to start the day.

Saints -2
Den +3.5
Mia -1.5
Sea -3.5
Was +3
Jets U47.5
Den U44.5
Ten O42
Sea O44.5
Det U49.5

Remember NFL toughest market.... dont go crazy with any of these

I took Minn -3 -115. Something about Minn being in England for one week after a loss being very focused, and Brian Flores defense against a rookie making his first NFL start.

But who are we kidding? The team that turns the ball over less will probably win.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Kalam

I took Minn -3 -115. Something about Minn being in England for one week after a loss being very focused, and Brian Flores defense against a rookie making his first NFL start.

But who are we kidding? The team that turns the ball over less will probably win.

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And just like clockwork Vikings turn it over on their first possession.

Awful playcalling by Cleveland, that and stupid penalties cost them dearly

Plays so far. Some of these were made days ago so lines probably moved, and likely in wrong direction:

Cowboy/Jets O47

Giants/Bucs teaser

Panther/Jets teaser

Giants/Broncos teaser

Patriots/Bils O48.5

Raiders +7.5

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Kalam

Plays so far. Some of these were made days ago so lines probably moved, and likely in wrong direction:

Cowboy/Jets O47

Giants/Bucs teaser

Panther/Jets teaser

Giants/Broncos teaser

Patriots/Bils O48.5

Raiders +7.5

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On pace to lose every bet. On the wrong side of multiple red zone turnovers. Glad to know I still got “it” when I post plays on this thread ahead of time.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by BCR

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

NFL today:

6:30am PT game:

Cleveland +161 vs Minnesota (London)
Cleveland/Minnesota - Under 35.5 -110

Other games:
Baltimore vs Houston - Under 40.5 -110
NY Jets +100 vs Dallas (+1 -110 ok)

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I’d love to bet the Browns. Scares me that Minnesota Sat over there for a week and acclimated. But I still might ride this. Backups are good for that new car smell sometimes for a week or two.

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:gay

25s left TD kills both bets (though a FG kills the under most likely, anyway), and now the other two look shitty.

Who knew the Texans had the ability to put up 24 in one half?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Quote:

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Originally Posted by BCR

I’d love to bet the Browns. Scares me that Minnesota Sat over there for a week and acclimated. But I still might ride this. Backups are good for that new car smell sometimes for a week or two.

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:gay

25s left TD kills both bets (though a FG kills the under most likely, anyway), and now the other two look shitty.

Who knew the Texans had the ability to put up 24 in one half?

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My bets look shitty. Yours are a flaming pile of elephant shit.

Giants start 3rd W with their 2nd turnover of game in scoring position. M


I am losing turnover battle on all my bets, and spectacularly losing them all.

Giants 3rd turnover in red zone. This one taken back for a defensive TD.

Giants 4th turnover, again in scoring position, for those keeping track.

5th turnover.

Giants losing the turnover battle 5-0 including a defensive TD and I still have a small chance to cover the teaser. Amazing.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket

Awful playcalling by Cleveland, that and stupid penalties cost them dearly

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Yeah the later 2 picks were just shit.

I feel like I should have won the first 2 on the Cleveland game. Well, there goes my winning NFL record for this year.

At least my Indy Survivor pick was gold.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket

Awful playcalling by Cleveland, that and stupid penalties cost them dearly

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Yeah the later 2 picks were just shit.

I feel like I should have won the first 2 on the Cleveland game. Well, there goes my winning NFL record for this year.

At least my Indy Survivor pick was gold.

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That Indy pick looks even better now after Tenn.

Yes, I had Az teased down to 0.5 in 2 separate teasers that other ends had already hit. This isn't even fun anymore. Even after the ridiculous fumble through the end zone and fumbled interception, Cardinals are still up 2 with 3 minutes left and go run, run, run, get no yards, punt and lose to FG when their defense gives little resistance to Titans who easily march down field to FG range.

Any team can go 40 yards and kick a game winning FG. We see it 10 times every week. The idea that any team up 2 points should run 3 times against a stacked box and then punt when the other team still has over 2 minute left is just absurd. If I was owner I would just fire this whole coaching staff.

I really feel like just calling it a football season. See you all for NBA season in a couple weeks.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Daly

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Yeah the later 2 picks were just shit.

I feel like I should have won the first 2 on the Cleveland game. Well, there goes my winning NFL record for this year.

At least my Indy Survivor pick was gold.

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That Indy pick looks even better now after Tenn.

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I feel a little better about those 5 tickets I lost in week 3. Some of them would have likely been on AZ, and perhaps 1 on Rams. I did have AZ for 3 of my 6 early, so I couldn't have used those, but I'm guessing 2 tickets would've gone with AZ, so even if I didn't blow as many on Atlanta, I would've lost two here.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Kalam

Yes, I had Az teased down to 0.5 in 2 separate teasers that other ends had already hit. This isn't even fun anymore. Even after the ridiculous fumble through the end zone and fumbled interception, Cardinals are still up 2 with 3 minutes left and go run, run, run, get no yards, punt and lose to FG when their defense gives little resistance to Titans who easily march down field to FG range.

Any team can go 40 yards and kick a game winning FG. We see it 10 times every week. The idea that any team up 2 points should run 3 times against a stacked box and then punt when the other team still has over 2 minute left is just absurd. If I was owner I would just fire this whole coaching staff.

I really feel like just calling it a football season. See you all for NBA season in a couple weeks.

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me too. i kept thinking if i was AZ owner i would lock the coach out of the building and had him call uber to get home. that was an abortion in every fucking sense of the word.


here is a piece of how my sunday generally went. suffice it to say, had they won they would have paid for a nice, new car. i did not include all of the ones that went 3/4 or 4/5, just the tougher ones to swallow.




Sunday (10/5)
Amount
Teaser - 5 Teams 6Pts Football
Denver Broncos-1½W
New York Jets+8½W
Jets / DolphinsO 38½W
Arizona Cardinals-1½L
Vikings / BrownsU 41½W



Teaser - 5 Teams 7Pts Football
Cowboys / JetsO 40½W
Bengals / BroncosU 51½W
Buffalo Bills-½
Arizona Cardinals-1½L
Denver Broncos+10½W



Teaser - 5 Teams 6Pts Football
San Francisco 49ers+11½W
Arizona Cardinals-2½L
Buffalo Bills-1½
Titans / CardinalsU 47½W
Vikings / BrownsO 30½W



Teaser - 5 Teams 7Pts Football
Texans / RavensO 33½W
Broncos / EaglesO 36½W
Titans / CardinalsU 48½W
Arizona Cardinals-½L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10½W



Parlay - 5 Teams
Detroit Lions-9½ -130W
Indianapolis Colts-5½ -135W
Arizona Cardinals-5½ -155L
Buccaneers / SeahawksO 42½ -150W
Buffalo Bills-5½ -160



Parlay - 4 Teams
Miami DolphinsML -110 - 1st Half W
New Orleans SaintsML -130 - 1st Half W
Denver BroncosML +155 - 1st Half L
Indianapolis ColtsML -275 - 1st Half W



Parlay - 5 Teams
Denver BroncosML +185W
New Orleans SaintsML -135W
Dallas Cowboys+2 -110W
Seattle Seahawks-3 +100 - 1st Half L
Indianapolis Colts-4½ -120 - 1st Half W


Parlay - 5 Teams
Miami DolphinsML -110 - 1st Half W
Seattle SeahawksML -170 - 1st Half L
Buffalo Bills-4½ -110 - 1st Half
Dallas Cowboys+½ -125 - 1st Half W
Indianapolis Colts-5½ -155W


Parlay - 5 Teams
Minnesota VikingsML -190W
Dallas CowboysML -120W
Denver BroncosML +180W
Seattle SeahawksML -190L
Chiefs / JaguarsO 45½ -110


Parlay - 5 Teams
Dolphins / PanthersO 42½ -140W
Miami Dolphins-½ +100 - 1st Half W
Titans / CardinalsO 40½ -120W
Denver Broncos+4 -110W
Seattle SeahawksML -165 - 1st Half L


Parlay - 5 Teams
Toronto Blue JaysML -126W
Los Angeles DodgersML +103W
Denver Broncos+4 -110W
Baltimore Ravens+1½ -110L
Detroit Lions-9½ -130W


Parlay - 5 Teams
Cleveland Browns+4½ -130W
Detroit Lions-9½ -130W
Kansas City Chiefs-3½ -110
New Orleans SaintsML -130W
Los Angeles ChargersML -155L


Parlay - 5 Teams
Detroit Lions-10 -120W
Tampa Bay BuccaneersML +160W
Miami DolphinsPK -110L
Indianapolis Colts-5½ -135W
Denver Broncos+4½ -130W


Parlay - 5 Teams
San Francisco 49ersML +235W
Denver BroncosML +175W
Tampa Bay BuccaneersML +160W
Los Angeles ChargersML -160L
Kansas City ChiefsML -185


Parlay - 3 Teams
San Francisco 49ersML +235W
Cleveland BrownsML +160L
Denver BroncosML +175W


Teaser - 5 Teams 6.5Pts Football
Indianapolis Colts-½W
49ers / RamsU 53½W
Los Angeles Chargers+3½L
Raiders / ColtsU 54½W
Giants / SaintsU 48½W