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I had over in the Alabama game. The way the last 1.5 quarters went scoreless was insane. Georgia receiver dropped a TD in 3rd, and even in 4th Georgia went for it on 4th and 1 in red zone and get stuffed, where if they kick FG it is tie game, and almost impossible for game to go under.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Forgot about this garbageQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
7-4
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
When you find yourself about to place a bet on Big Game James Franklin against a top 10 team, you need to install some device that sends 1000 volts through you when you touch the place bet button.
I have Washington ML +106 today.
Pats -5.5
I’m leaning towards Lions laying 10, but hoping it moves down as it seems to be trending that way.
And I’ll have to look at this Colts game since Daly loves it so much.
Added some more $ on Washington +118 and +2.5.
Also threw a little at Arsenal +125
Backed way off colts / if fact would play rams -3.5 nowQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I'll give the NFL a look in the morning. I did put in Degen $$ on the under 1h so I can have a gambol with my toast.
My shopping menu.
Colts play of day +3.5 and +155
Pats under 43 as said above
Lions Under
Jags +3.5
Kincade first TD in Bills game +1200
Also had atlanta under 45 midweek but thats long gone so ill relook at it.
add:
Atl -2.5
Eagles -3 -120
Raiders -1.5
Under Tampa 1h U21.5
Cantlay over Aberg
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyBacked way off colts / if fact would play rams -3.5 nowQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
add:
Atl -2.5
Eagles -3 -120
Raiders -1.5
Under Tampa 1h U21.5
Sigh. Always annoying when Patrick comes out and tells me I’m on the very public side of Washington. Oh well. Sometimes the public is right. I was on Buckeyes yesterday/
Played live poker all night, but here are some last minute picks on NFL today.
BTW I have Texans on Survivor.
Atlanta -3 +100 vs Washington (I'm annoyed I didn't get 2.5 like Daly because I meant to post/bet this 2 days ago)
New England -5.5 -107 vs Carolina
In So Cal or Vegas?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Yep. Was definitely the wrong play, but if they make a stop on 4th and 1 in OT would have hit.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
We may be in business hereQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
:uhhuhQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff:uhhuhQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Well done sir
There was a minute or three where saints looked like they might pull it off along with the giants (who did). Would have taken a lot of squares out.
I have to try and remember my best work is done day of. Cant use $$ flow to measure market and Bookmaker bias with only a .%% of the money down.
Classic case here. I had GB -6.5 as a full on play for tonight on Thur/Fri. Its barely a play now. Had nothing on the total. Now the Under looks good enough to play tonight.
I have a good beat story from today. Had Rams -3.5. The way game flow was going, it seemed like 95% that either Rams would win by 3 or lose. But at end of game when they get the ball at their own 12 in tie game and you are really just driving to get an end of game FG position at best, they have an 88 yard TD play.
And obviously a Colt receiver dropping a TD through the end zone for a touchback in the first half when he started celebrating too early helped keep Rams in the game.
Might have spoke too soon. I have Packers in a tease, that I teased down to -0.5. And this game is looking a lot like it is going to be a tie, so that extra 0.5 is going to kill me.
Packers played that last possession of OT very strange. They got the ball with 4:40 left and played it like they were going for a tie. They played so slow running clock that they barely even got a tie.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
now i know why i lost my tease, god damned it verm, i told you if you want to keep your posting privileges in this thread we need your plays well in advance.
you have been warned.
My bad. Was a last second impulse play. Wouldn't have even made it but I won the Rams bet, so wanted to ride the wave. I also had Dax passing yards prop over. He went way over, but almost all the yardage was in 4th Q and OT, so more of a sweat than you would assume looking at the final box score. Halfway through the 2nd quarter he had 15 yards passing.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
now i know why i lost my tease, god damned it verm, i told you if you want to keep your posting privileges in this thread we need your plays well in advance.
you have been warned.
Daly --
you condone a wong teaser with the double MNF ? jets +8.5 / broncos -1.5
its -120 juice at my book which is gay but whatever i guess
I'm not Daly, but I'll answer.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
The good:
- You stuck to the Wong formula
- The Dolphins are shitty and may have a hard time beating the Jets by 9
- The Bengals are without Burrow, and again may have a hard time staying within 2 points
The bad:
- The -120 line
- Both totals are middle/high, which isn't ideal
- Jets are on the road
My conclusion: It's not awful, but I'd skip it.
Why would you tease down to -0.5?Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Any teaser which doesn't cross both the 3 and 7 lines has a big house edge. I'm sure you know this, so I'm wondering why you did it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI'm not Daly, but I'll answer.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
The good:
- You stuck to the Wong formula
- The Dolphins are shitty and may have a hard time beating the Jets by 9
- The Bengals are without Burrow, and again may have a hard time staying within 2 points
The bad:
- The -120 line
- Both totals are middle/high, which isn't ideal
- Jets are on the road
My conclusion: It's not awful, but I'd skip it.
im aware of the rule about high totals but both games are around 44 which to me didnt seem high whatsoever.... if ur waiting around to tease games with totals in the 30's i dont think ur ever gonna get a bet in
aside from the jets being on the road this to me is about as classic as a tease spot as u can get
who knows tho lol maybe its a trap and they set the spreads like this tryin to reel in a wong teasing donk