we got another christopher mitchell over here, i won all my bets but didn’t post any picks till after the games were over, gtfo fagQuote:
Originally Posted by tgull
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we got another christopher mitchell over here, i won all my bets but didn’t post any picks till after the games were over, gtfo fagQuote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Happy Holidays everyone. I still made some money but Cam Smith really fucked me last week. He was up 2 going into Sunday and shit bed. Still have been close and surviving. I’ll try and put up my picks for this weekend later today. Looks chalky again this week to me. I’ll try to find some value somewhere. May be tough.
Near salvation. Maybe his excellency could chip me off the 20 grand if anyone’s got his number.
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Originally Posted by OK2Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
rebounded
Many of you lead such unsatisfying lives in the NBA streets.
The holiday season is fast approaching. Let us consider how NHL degeneracy has evolved since Simpdog’s 1P overs in days gone by.
Let us look at Rangers at Vancouver. Santa is keeping a list
GIFF +190
GIFT -154 (be a grownup and find your own chalk to reduce da juice - drink it straight)
1P over -135
The full Santa experience is +226 (FD)
Score 2-2 after 1st Period
Everything cashed.
Math is math
Ohio at Toledo tonight. Forecast calls for nasty and windy.
Ohio is 2nd in league in rushing with a QB who runs and good RB. They are first in rush defense in the league.
These two teams have identical records and the line is Ohio +1, but Ohio has handled common opponents by larger margin. I was looking at them as play before weather added to allure.
Ohio ML is right at +100 now. Pretty good size play for me, but take a look at it and do your own homework if you like it. It’s hard to get detailed injury reports and subtlety with the small schools. You’re left to look at previous game stats and a lot of Twitter.
Rockets -6.5 -105Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
The Suns, of the 4 game losing streak, is facing the Knicks in Phoenix.
This will be the night they win. Don't be scared by the streak, and don't be worried that the Knicks have won 3 straight.
Phoenix +165 vs New York (+4.5 ok)
Browns +160 tmrw night.
Ugly weather, ugly teams, i'm taking the number.
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Originally Posted by BCRRockets -6.5 -105Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Hopefully didn’t confuse anyone here. Obviously I was adding Houston Rockets onto earlier bet who were -6.5. Toledo at -6.5 would have been like +150 with the game at -1. I wasn’t playing some weird middle. Just noticed when reading over it I happened to bet two games involving teams named Rockets.
Ohio game went pretty well to script despite being a sweat until third before they starting wearing them down.
Good job BCR on the two picks.
I airballed it with my Phoenix one, which was immediately behind 14-3, and never got within 2 digits. They did have a brief 19-7 run in the 3rd where they had the ball and took a 3 to bring it down to 8, but missed, and then fell apart.
Sadly I considered the over and didn't bet it. Went with the ML instead, and lost. My 7-2 NBA start has now become 7-5, an I'm 0-2 in moneyline picks.
I would've bet your Ohio pick but I barely missed it.
Yeah I had yours on and switching back and forth between that and GS looking for live bets but they were almost identical games with the favorites jumping out to almost 20 point first quarter leads. Was hoping GS got down and I could scoop them for a bargain.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
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Originally Posted by gut
The action suggests this is the bet, at least the 3.5 is, but fuck me I hate betting them in this spot. Jameis is so inaccurate and almost throws 3 picks every game in 80 degree weather or in a dome. The idea of him out there slinging it in shitty windy weather is frightening to back against an opportunistic team like Pittsburgh.
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Originally Posted by gut
Someone here is paying attention.
You cant bet the steelers tonight and expect to win over the long term.
Trust. I won’t bet Cleveland as they cause me too much pain, but I’m 100% on Pittsburgh here normally and I’ll lay off. Everything is screaming to bet Pittsburgh. Jameis has never played in game under 40 degrees. Small hands by NFL standards. They are even lowering the vig on Pittsburgh despite all the money flooding in.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by gut
Someone here is paying attention.
You cant bet the steelers tonight and expect to win over the long term.
Full on blizzard would up my bet for Jameis! Let Chubb cook.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRTrust. I won’t bet Cleveland as they cause me too much pain, but I’m 100% on Pittsburgh here normally and I’ll lay off. Everything is screaming to bet Pittsburgh. Jameis has never played in game under 40 degrees. Small hands by NFL standards. They are even lowering the vig on Pittsburgh despite all the money flooding in.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I do feel those teams are much closer in talent than the records suggest, and with weather really is very close to a pickem in my head. Thus just taking the number.
I would expect whoever gets a defensive touchdown wins.
Doubling up Detroit:
Detroit -2 -110 at Charlotte
Detroit/Charlotte - Over 222 -110
I actually thought about defensive TD. Defense/special teams TD is +255.Quote:
Originally Posted by gutFull on blizzard would up my bet for Jameis! Let Chubb cook.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I do feel those teams are much closer in talent than the records suggest, and with weather really is very close to a pickem in my head. Thus just taking the number.
I would expect whoever gets a defensive touchdown wins.
Just looked. Not 255, +225
I also might do Jaylen Warren o/51:5 yards rushing and receiving. Steelers been using him more every game and seems like a dump short pass off to RB game.
Chubb has a moment every game where he almost looks back, but he isn’t the same yet. Hopefully tonight for you.
I still feel like going full ploppy and Steelers -6 for +150. I guess it’s PTSD after losing 95% of Steelers game in my 50 plus years.
I’m in Western Pa right now. It’s not full on blizzard. Just cold with scattered flurries. Pittsburgh is south of me, so maybe not even flurries there .
the game is in CLE... not PIT....^^^^