Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.
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Its basically over apparently with 'in' being a heavy, heavy, heavy favorite at this point.
Or so say the boys in Whitehall.
There is a reason they call that trade a call stupid. No matter what happens, it is stupid.Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooh
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Betting markets have both remain and leave at 1.83 right now. Dead heat.
I've been SJW-style campaigning for "remain" on facebook for the past 3 months and it seems all my friends (young, educated) have voted in. Like almost 100%.
Here's the journal's running tally. Pretty good and you can actually access it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooh
http://graphics.wsj.com/brexit-uk-re...ults/?mod=e2tw
With 28% of the vote reporting, it appears only London wants to stay in the EU. Specifically, the vote tally graphic at the journal's site is showing leave winning all of the UK except forthe tiny dot that is London.
So yea, no sleep for me. Brexit, I need to be in at 430am....
Anyone who's saying Bremain is a lock at this point is a fucking idiot, however they are leaning in the right direction just not even close to lock. It can honestly swing either way.
Getting like 30 emails every 10min... shit is going insane.
I have a buddy in FX options, he's legit staying at his desk all night.
Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.
Current odds: Leave 1.66, Remain 2.10
Uh oh.
I would take odds at stay but at this point I need like +125 (note it was -400 this morning).... I'm legit scared, but so fucking excited!Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
Maybe! I wouldnt bet on that personally but maybe.
Also, hello 2.5% mortgage IR!!!!!
most of england is dumb as fuck and those areas that aren't were too lazy to turnout, so fuck it looks like brexit.
Well England, I hope your aids gets better before you're ruined.
real talk, you want to bet this, take the GBP at 1.4250+ long with a stop gap at ~1.38. If it is Bremain you will see it go above 1.50.... gamble anyone?
This seems a good place to monitor the vote
http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum
leave gaining traction
When I left the office tonight every screen had this as well as the bloomberg terminal live update screen (don't use the bloomberg.com one)Quote:
Originally Posted by cmoney
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
where are you getting this from? it has been neck in neck since start and now leave looks like it is winning
"Polling expert Prof John Curtice said at this stage Leave looked favourite to win the referendum. He estimates that the finishing post for one side to win is 16,813,000 votes."
10 mins ago
The "funny" thing is this is probably the most important non us vote in our lifetimes and more people care about the NBA draft.
sonatine has officially declared the brexit referendum donkdown
fuck now i'm afraid trump is going to win
zerohedge has it at 80% now for exit. i can't believe it. markets are tanking. going to lose a lot of money tmr. grrr. all because of the fking british voting on EU. sucks.Quote:
Originally Posted by cmoney
traders sending out emails asking us for approvals on hedges and large block trades :(....
they're saying 80% and comparing it to bloomberg who is saying 88%.
There is still a chance... but yeaaaa
lol so trueQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
£1=$1.3650
Wow
on the bright side, it will never be cheaper to visit the uk
I cashed out 75% my stock holdings on Monday this week.
:yes
Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck
I had absolutely no idea what the US market was doing today with the big run up.
I'll admit to not having a clue lately. I honestly felt like today was a huge head fake and a level we will not see for a long time and took a mental snapshot for the album.
We will see.
and interest rates won't be raised now. christ maybe even a cut coming, QE4.... and gold/bitcoin going to make some $Quote:
Originally Posted by blake
As a 21 year old Brit all I can say is fuck you UK
Assuming Leave does win, The UK just saved their country from becoming a migrant cesspool like Germany. Great victory for the common man and a tremendous win for common sense. This was a vote against the globalist elite. Hopefully the US does the right thing in six months and votes Trump in to office.
Umm, the adults are talking. Your thread is down the street.Quote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
Please stfu... you obviously have no clue wtf you are talking about.Quote:
Originally Posted by BiffCo99
Dow futures down nearly 500
blood bath tomorrow if this holds
Nigel Farage just said "we did it without a single shot being fired" just a week after Jo Cox was slain. Unbelievable. What a cretin.
British Pound plunges to lowest level against US Dollar since 1985
our traders just called it.... people are just dumping shit on the electronic market and we're hearing rumors that many banks won't open up to make markets in that start the AM, only client and other banks no algos allowed.
Also, they're saying Yellen may have to cut rates :D :D :D :D :D :D :D
I like this post.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapme
I like the following story and hold it dear. I am kinda certain your boys are playing this game wrong. Not old school.
Quote:
“That was how a ...trader thought: He forgot whatever it was that he wanted to do for a minute and put his finger on the pulse of the market. If the market felt fidgety, if people were scared or desperate, he herded them like sheep into a corner, then made them pay for their uncertainty. He sat on the market until it puked gold coins. Then he worried about what he wanted to do.”
Bollocks
Just lost 10% of my net worth in one bloody day.
I might have to redeem that free room waiting for me at Aria after all, because soon it will be all I can afford.
But what really gets my knickers in a knot is the fact that all the Yanks are going to start coming here as tourists.