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Sadly when I finally fire on these high total overs in NBA, of course it's not going that great. Excellent start, but then scoring slowed, and it's on pace for 235 in a blowout game. Game line was -3.5 so wasn't supposed to be a blowout but Bullets (yes, the Bullets) have been awful.
Was was a sweat but it won.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
So did Philly Flyers +195.
Lakers over on pace to win at the half, too.
133 point first half, and can't hit o235.5
Final score 125-110
Painful.
End up 1-1 on nba overs, 1-0 in the +195 dog hockey pick
There has long been a discussion this season that the Bengals are overrated, even with Burrow recovering from his earlier calf injury.
Now there's talk that they are covering up something being wrong with his right hand: https://nypost.com/2023/11/16/sports...thing-on-hand/
Both the Bengals and Ravens are coming off disappointing losses as favorites on Sunday, with the Texans beating the Bengals (and eliminating us from the Circa Survivor contest), and the Browns slipping by the Ravens. Both teams were at home, and both games ended up close.
Bad right hand or not, I think this one goes to Baltimore.
Baltimore -3.5 -110 vs Cincinnati
Glad to see Druff is also on RAVENS
RAVENS -3.5 not that I love laying points to Joe Cool Burrows
However I was happy to see Dr Peters also bet Jets on Sunday and that was just a regret. I had planned to bet Raiders all day, but then I read some stat about Rookie O Connells pass game being mostly short, underneath stuff and how well the Jets defend against that and I just thought that would be a tough spot for the rookie. I previously had made a joke about once betting money on Zach Wilson in an NFL game then I went and did it again. Trash QB.
Think this is a night where i can take under 2.5 sharks and feel ok about it.
Over 6.5 cal/van if you want to get spicy
losing andrews not great for the good guys
Could not be less worried only wish I bet more
starting to get slightly worried nicholas
HAS BURROW THROWN HIS LAST PASS OF THE SEASON?
Brother it’s football with 2 good teams I didn’t expect a cake walk
I don’t get nervous about games I bet
Hope Joe B is ok
Looks like he did indeed have issues with his wrist, and they got worse during the game.
Glad I jumped on this one.
Four NBA overs:
Sacramento vs San Antonio - Over 238 -110
Atlanta vs Philadelphia - Over 236 -110
Milwaukee vs Charlotte - Over 240.5 -110
Utah vs Phoenix - Over 237 -110
Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ_Chaps
JESUS CHRIST. HE HAS.
I bet this with druff
Utah vs Phoenix - Over 237
2-1 on these, but none were a foregone conclusion. Milwaukee had a low 2nd half, the other two games had a big second half.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
At some point we will see adjustment in the lines to where these are not +EV. "Systems" rarely work these days, except for very short periods of time when the game changes. For the most part, systems are for ploppies who are fooled by randomness.
Basically once the high totals creep up further, it won't be profitable to auto-fire these.
Funny enough, I liked Milwaukee MUCH better to cover the over than Atlanta (where I would have picked under, independent of this "system"), yet Atlanta covered by 6, and Milwaukee failed to cover by 11.5.
One "system" I wish I bet -- one which lasted a long time -- was mediocre or better AL teams at home versus NL teams. The AL was stomping on the NL at home for many years, due to the DH. The AL teams had mostly signed a strong hitter for the DH position, and the NL teams had to use some shitty reserve. Even the pitching was affected, as NL pitchers had grown accustomed to the pitcher's spot being a "break" in the lineup, and this did not exist in AL home games. Anyway, this evaporated once the universal DH came.
I feel like degen betting colorado ML here, should I?
2 and 0 on todge picks with phoenix pending and they are scoring nuuuuuummmmmbies todge i might be in love with you that philly game was close
3 and 0 todge you sonofa bitch
also in your infinite wisdom can you explain how clippers were laying 9 plus