LOL Jamie Gold "Can't Lose Presidential Betting Strategy":
http://video.foxnews.com/v/477993136...#sp=show-clips
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LOL Jamie Gold "Can't Lose Presidential Betting Strategy":
http://video.foxnews.com/v/477993136...#sp=show-clips
Rumor has it that The NY Times is sitting on a tape of Donald doubting his immigration policy or some shit. If you're not aware that Trump is totally full of shit then just sit this election out.
^ not exactly, its just an off the record comment where he said he understood that most of what he was saying was impossible to enforce and that he was 'flexible' on the subject.
Trump hates n-words.....Pooh hates n-words....Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooh
Trump got all his money from his dad.....Pooh murdered his dad for all his money...
Pooh Supports Trump.....
A vote for Trump is a vote against the the grand old party
TRUMP 2016
I love it when the news channels try to drum up controversy and get bit in the ass
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_c...&v=nolbmguzvGk
Trumps only saving grace for tomorrow is that Rubio, Cruz and Kasich haven't dropped out yet. If either Rubio or Cruz dropped out, I don't think that Trump would be faring so well.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
Now that's not a very nice thing to say about your PFA buddy is it? Only faggots still post about me killing my dad. You're not a faggot. You're better than a faggot.Quote:
Originally Posted by Muck FiconTrump hates n-words.....Pooh hates n-words....Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooh
Trump got all his money from his dad.....Pooh murdered his dad for all his money...
Pooh Supports Trump.....
I might have to put a good sized wager on Hillary, not cus I like her, but because I like money. At the end of the day and all is said and done I think she will be the president. Im gonna grab it @ -200
How those LNG LEAPs treating you?Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
I hate to jump on the Trump betting bandwagon (because that's what everyone is doing on PredictIt), but he is rapidly catching up in Texas.
Right now I can get Trump at +284 on there.
Not sure what to do.
Of the past 4 polls released since 2/26, Cruz is ahead by 11, 1, 3, and 11.
So if you believe the 11 polls, Trump has no shot. If you believe the 1 and 3, then the +284 is great value.
Hmmm...
In other news, polls show Bernie losing support rapidly in Mass (which I don't like to see), and Trump is strengthening in Oklahoma (which I also don't like to see).
So I'm probably losing those.
A recent Oklahoma poll shows Sanders now LEADING by 5 there, and he is now a favorite on PredictIt. Wish I grabbed that when he was a big dog yesterday.
Have you been paying any attention as of late, dumbass?
Lets see, in the past month:
AA is up 23.86%
LNG is up 22.10%
ETE is down 19.17% for the month and down 63% over the past 3
:lol2
My ETE break even is well below $7. 32k shares strong. Where's your break even? Touting LNG in the $70's.Quote:
Originally Posted by Krypt
:lol2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DnpO_RTSNmQ
I know 4Dragons already posted this, but now it's on YouTube, so it's easier to watch.
I have to say that I'm disappointed in Oliver here. While I often disagree with him, I respect his humor and presentation of the material. He usually makes a convincing argument.
This time he airballed it.
He attacked Trump for receiving $7 million worth of grassroots donations. Huh? Isn't that supposed to be a good thing? Isn't that the sort of campaign funding that Bernie Sanders is championing? Besides, $7 million is very little for a Presidential campaign, anyway.
He also spent a good few minutes on some petty Twitter argument as to whether or not Trump was really invited on the John Oliver show. Trump claims he was, and turned it down. Oliver claims he was never invited. Who gives a shit? And Oliver presents this as "proof" that Donald Trump lies, while at the same time failing to even prove that his people never called Trump. How can Oliver be certain that one of his people didn't make a hail-Mary attempt to get Trump on the show at some point, and is now denying it? In any case, if that's Oliver's best example of Trump lying, then he just proved that Trump IS an honest guy (which I don't even believe he is).
This more looked like an exercise in Oliver's people analyzing every word The Donald has ever uttered, and then finding any petty inconsistency to jump upon.
Which is too bad, because there's a lot to expose/lampoon/clarify regarding Trump, and Oliver dropped the ball by declining into pettiness.
Cruz wins Texas easily.
It's an absentee primary state. Organization wins, and Cruz obviously kills organization in Texas.
I would guess it is something like 42/28 Cruz/Trump
Anyone want some fun easy money on multi-way contests wait till the Sell Yes on 3 candidates gets to 112+.
Bet the same dollar amount on each candidate.
Just got some Minnesota at 115.
Easy 5%
Can you explain?Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Do you mean wait until the percentages for Sell Yes collectively add up to 112, and then Buy Yes the same amount for all 3?
Also if you deposit $ to do this, you also need to keep the 5% withdrawal fee in mind, though you can recover 2 of that 5% through a credit card with a 2% cashback bonus.
What i'm looking for is voter turnout numbers, democrat vs republican for the primaries.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
CNN poll shows Trump leading 49-16-15 nationally.
:what
You actually Buy No when Sell Yes is 112 or greater.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffCan you explain?Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Do you mean wait until the percentages for Sell Yes collectively add up to 112, and then Buy Yes the same amount for all 3?
Sorry major correction you buy the same number of shares not same dollar amount lulz.
Here's the math from a minute ago
Trump Sell Yes - 71
Rubio Sell Yes - 38
Cruz Sell Yes - 5
100 Shares of Trump = $29.00
100 Shares of Rubio = $62.00
100 Shares of Cruz = $95.00
Let's say Trump Wins
-$29.00 on Trump
+$38.00 on Rubio
+$5.00 on Cruz
$43.00 of Profit - $4.30 in Fees - $29.00 Loss = $9.70 WOOHOO
This actually happens fairly often in multi-way races.
Remember you can only bet $850 max per person per contract.
Also if you want an angle for Trump tomorrow.
Follow Texas results by county.
If first counties coming in are in the North, Trump will move up huge.
You can then bet against him for value.
Haven't seen anything like this.Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsWhat i'm looking for is voter turnout numbers, democrat vs republican for the primaries.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Turnout numbers are not really easy to bet on because lots of Caucus states don't release vote counts.
who is gonna be the president Abrown?
Abrown for thread mvp, everyone else has been good too though. #pfa2016 #trump2016Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
As far as my positions tomorrow.
I have positions on the following:
Trump No Texas (was a bit cheaper than Yes Cruz)
Yes Cruz Arkansas
Yes Rubio Minnesota
Could be ugly especially if Trump wins Texas but I just don't see how that's possible.
I really think Cruz in Arkansas another early voting state with big Tea Party ties should mean that Cruz has lots of absentee votes already in the bag.
My predictions today would be:Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Trump > Rubio > Hillary
I hate Trump with a passion, but I think he wins the Presidency by larger electoral margin than Obama 08.
Simply because I think he will bring into play Blue states that the Republicans never win.
Also I predict within the first year the following:
No Wall
No New Trade Deals
Goes against Republicans and Signs Fully Government Run Healthcare
Tries to Dissemble the 1st Amendment
Will support handgun legislation
Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83My predictions today would be:Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Trump > Rubio > Hillary
I hate Trump with a passion, but I think he wins the Presidency by larger electoral margin than Obama 08.
Simply because I think he will bring into play Blue states that the Republicans never win.
Also I predict within the first year the following:
No Wall
No New Trade Deals
Goes against Republicans and Signs Fully Government Run Healthcare
Tries to Dissemble the 1st Amendment
Will support handgun legislation
where were u when I was in the thread then? Know ill eat ur lunch?
You want me to dig through nearly 40 pages to find something you posted in this thread?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
where were u when I was in the thread then? Know ill eat ur lunch?
Why don't you just ask again like an adult would do?
Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83You want me to dig through nearly 40 pages to find something you posted in this thread?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Why don't you just ask again like an adult would do?
thought I made some good pro trump points and nobody refuted my claims and yet u are in this thread every day, must be smartly picking ur battles with ur own irrelevant nate silver data
Dish flew out of this thread when you asked that faster than if there were WWE tickets being given away in another thread.
wow dish FY
It's time for the Mass Republican Primary, and I have again decided to sell my vote tomorrow.
Before we get started, here are a few things to consider:
- I am doing this to give the PFA community a way to experience some of the excitement of Super Tuesday without actually bothering to leave your basement.
- Pretty much take the first reasonable offer. Prefer currency other than US fiat.
- Escrow with Druff
- Will take photo of completed ballot.
Lol, democracy.
Yeah dish is no joke in this thread. If you value your rep you'd best not bash Trump.
You do understand that he is lying right?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
thought I made some good pro trump points and nobody refuted my claims and yet u are in this thread every day, must be smartly picking ur battles with ur own irrelevant nate silver data
His campaign strategy is to think through everything he has stood for and done in his life and then say and do the exact opposite.
I could maybe, possibly support a Trump like candidate that held convictions, the problem is he is saying what he thinks will get him elected and then will do the exact opposite.
Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83You do understand that he is lying right?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
His campaign strategy is to think through everything he has stood for and done in his life and then say and do the exact opposite.
I could maybe, possibly support a Trump like candidate that held convictions, the problem is he is saying what he thinks will get him elected and then will do the exact opposite.
So in other words, Trump is nailing the game that is politics, on his first try?
I do think he has to build the wall at this point though. His entire candidacy has been based on this fucking wall.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83You do understand that he is lying right?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
His campaign strategy is to think through everything he has stood for and done in his life and then say and do the exact opposite.
I could maybe, possibly support a Trump like candidate that held convictions, the problem is he is saying what he thinks will get him elected and then will do the exact opposite.
Trump ran for Pres before, didn't gain traction, and dropped out very early in the cycle. Was either last cycle or the one before. Last I think.Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ_ChapsQuote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
So in other words, Trump is nailing the game that is politics, on his first try?
he has changed his mind cuz American politics has gone completely in the tank the last 10+ years which is why we are supporting Donald the clown trump. Everything is trash and we need to get our own house in order for 8+ years then we can go back to letting everybody else taking advantage of us again.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83You do understand that he is lying right?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
His campaign strategy is to think through everything he has stood for and done in his life and then say and do the exact opposite.
I could maybe, possibly support a Trump like candidate that held convictions, the problem is he is saying what he thinks will get him elected and then will do the exact opposite.
0.0% chance, doesn't care about the wall, doesn't care about illegal immigration (has employed them for decades).Quote:
Originally Posted by PoohI do think he has to build the wall at this point though. His entire candidacy has been based on this fucking wall.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83