You have far more confidence than I do sir....and I am a Viking fan.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Printable View
You have far more confidence than I do sir....and I am a Viking fan.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
My read is that my Vikes will get pounded hard by the Pack this week and also carolina next week......maybe by then Bradford will be acclimated into the offense/already in there and getting used to his team.
No confidence in anything it's a literal what the fuck line. Seems like it should be +6 or +7, like Vegas is begging you to bet the Packers.Quote:
Originally Posted by gutYou have far more confidence than I do sir....and I am a Viking fan.Quote:
Originally Posted by abrown83
Kershaw -185/thread
Kershaw has thrown only 30 pitches for 9 outs but win or lose this is going to be a fail pick because I did not check the weather.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
It is now raining HARD and if this thing hits a rain delay then Kershaws value diminishes
Dodgers got em loaded with one out. Would like to see them squeeze in a run or more and get in ONE more inning FTW
Are you seriously trying to tell me we can't get ESPN to cut a small check to FIU and E Mich to move that POS game up to Wednesday night one time?
That game gets lost on a Saturday docket. Put it on ESPN2 tonight and it's the fucking super bowl for these two teams.
Agreed , I would like to see a game on Tuesday thru Friday EVERY weekQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Also this Dodgers game was just what I was expecting, 2 runs off Betances in the 9th for the lead which is just how I drew it up :)
:hof
Won both my picks today, provided Milwaukee doesn't blow a 7-0 lead in the final inning, which is unlikely even for someone who runs as bad as I do.
Only bet one of the two, though, because I couldn't get a line I liked for the Chicago under on Bovada. Annoying.
Hope you guys bet both.
Not sure why the line keeps undervaluing Guerra, who keeps pitching extremely well every time he goes out there.
TONS of money went onto Cincy today, to where the line went from -140 to -105 for Milwaukee. No idea why everyone loved Cincy so much today, because Milwaukee had a far superior pitcher going, and the two offenses are about equivalent, though honesty I still like Milwaukee's better. I think people got too obsessed with the Reds winning 5 in a row.
Kershaw didn't look good on his first outing coming off injury, so I wasn't ready to lay 185 on him on the road.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacKershaw has thrown only 30 pitches for 9 outs but win or lose this is going to be a fail pick because I did not check the weather.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
It is now raining HARD and if this thing hits a rain delay then Kershaws value diminishes
Dodgers got em loaded with one out. Would like to see them squeeze in a run or more and get in ONE more inning FTW
Turned out he was fine, except the Dodger bats were still asleep. They woke up just in time.
Ya I saw he didn't look good that first start but attributed it to rust, not the injury. I was thinking if he was hurt they would have shut him down so I was hoping for the type of outing he gave only for 7 innings. I also think Michael Pineda stinks which is another reason I fired. But he has pitched ok now past few starts.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffKershaw didn't look good on his first outing coming off injury, so I wasn't ready to lay 185 on him on the road.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Turned out he was fine, except the Dodger bats were still asleep. They woke up just in time.
Even though my picks over the last 3 days have gone 3-3, all six of them either won or were looking highly likely to win at some point.
Two plays for Thursday:
Phillies (Eickhoff) -110 vs. Pittsburgh (Kuhl)
Cleveland (Clevinger) at Chi White Sox (Shields) Over 10 -105
Eickhoff has been looking very good for awhile now, and Kuhl seems to be showing signs of fatigue (as are the Pirates in general).
Shields has just been dreadful with the Sox (7.30 ERA in 18 starts), and Clevinger is a rookie reliever with a 5.01 ERA/1.452 WHIP.
2 Team Parlay, Phillies ML, Cubs ML, +162
Public hates Baltimore today but I think they are going to win.
Throwing a late pick on them at -112ish. Was once -146.
With that win you could always go with this:Quote:
Originally Posted by Drexel
http://www.acespirits.com/the-macall...r-release.html
http://ep.yimg.com/ay/yhst-137288250...-scotch-22.jpg
Should have taken the over with the Orioles/Rays, which I was considering, but I was gun shy after being clobbered on the earlier White Sox over.
5 runs already in the first inning (3-2 Rays) and Orioles still batting.
Pirates are ahead 1-0 even though the public loved my Phillies play.
Edit: Make that 4-3 Orioles
Phillies getting no-hit.
Ugh.
Totally out of sync with them this series.
O's are tied 4-4 in the 3rd, in what looks like will be a back and forth slugfest.
At 40.5 game total for tonight the total indicates the odds makers predicting a bunch of running.
I'll take a shot here with this:
Matt Forte over 45 Total rushing and receiving yards first half -115 (bovada)
Louisville +1 over Florida St
If it covers will donate 20 to next freeroll
Embarrassing 0-3 day, my first in MLB in awhile.
2 blowout losses, but one heartbreaker with Baltimore, who had 1st and 3rd with 1 out in the bottom of the 9th, down 7-6. Then Trumbo and Chris Davis came up and each whiffed. I hate having low-average strikeout kings up in that spot. I knew I was fucked.
Getting BACK on the horse...
Baltimore (Jimenez) -105 vs. Tampa Bay (Archer)
Cincinnati (Stephenson) -105 vs. Pittsburgh (Vogelsong)
Seattle (Hernandez) -125 vs. Houston (McHugh)
Note that Baltimore is trending to a better line all morning, so you might want to wait before firing.
Seattle also moved from -160 to -125, but seems fairly stable right now. You may want to wait, as Altuve is questionable, and if he plays, the line may move even better for Seattle.
Cincy line seems fairly stable.
I'm an O's fan but Jimenez is HORRIBLE!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I said Utah St earlier this week and the betting action bet the spread down as people lined up to take the dog. I stick to my guns and it looks like it's going to pay off.Quote:
Originally Posted by larrylegend33
FSU opened at -4 and got fucking hammered. Seems like most of the action favors Louivile tomorrow. Fuck it.... I'm sticking to my guns. Remember last year when all Fournette had to do was show up in NY to collect his hiesman and he went into Bama and reality set in? I think that happens tomorrow to Lamar Jackson. I love the kid and I think he's a great player but he hasn't seen anything like this FSU team yet.
Maybe I'm wrong but I'm sticking with my read.
They shut him down on the ground last year. One of the few teams to do that so farQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyI said Utah St earlier this week and the betting action bet the spread down as people lined up to take the dog. I stick to my guns and it looks like it's going to pay off.Quote:
Originally Posted by larrylegend33
FSU opened at -4 and got fucking hammered. Seems like most of the action favors Louivile tomorrow. Fuck it.... I'm sticking to my guns. Remember last year when all Fournette had to do was show up in NY to collect his hiesman and he went into Bama and reality set in? I think that happens tomorrow to Lamar Jackson. I love the kid and I think he's a great player but he hasn't seen anything like this FSU team yet.
Maybe I'm wrong but I'm sticking with my read.
http://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/.../gamelog/2015/
Put a smallish bet on UT State. Was looking like a lock at halftime, but now super close.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI said Utah St earlier this week and the betting action bet the spread down as people lined up to take the dog. I stick to my guns and it looks like it's going to pay off.Quote:
Originally Posted by larrylegend33
FSU opened at -4 and got fucking hammered. Seems like most of the action favors Louivile tomorrow. Fuck it.... I'm sticking to my guns. Remember last year when all Fournette had to do was show up in NY to collect his hiesman and he went into Bama and reality set in? I think that happens tomorrow to Lamar Jackson. I love the kid and I think he's a great player but he hasn't seen anything like this FSU team yet.
Maybe I'm wrong but I'm sticking with my read.
Would be nice to hit after 1-5 in the past 2 days in MLB.
Wow. I am running like Druff did yesterday. I just got backdoor-ed in the Ark State game. And lost the Brewers up 2 in the 9th, lost padres up 2 in the 9th, and lost oakland up 1 in the 9th.
Wow HOF cover by Utah ST when they could have just kneeled
Yup, I thought I was fucked, even though my bet wasn't too large.Quote:
Originally Posted by ThreeBet
Bottom line is that if Daly picks it, the game often finds a way to win.
Good news is I've had a great run and I promised the wife I'd take the family to Disney.
Bad news is here I lay in Orlando on a college football Saturday.
Better news is I had a come to Jesus meeting with the wife about how the props have been running and I got her to agree that a trip to the Westgate is in order as rumor has it they are offering props.
Anyway I'm going to try and post few things but my worst week last season was the Saturday I was capping games from the lunch table at space mountain.
This is a sharp man folks.... I'll be very interested to see what his rushing yards prop is.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacThey shut him down on the ground last year. One of the few teams to do that so farQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
http://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/.../gamelog/2015/
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI said Utah St earlier this week and the betting action bet the spread down as people lined up to take the dog. I stick to my guns and it looks like it's going to pay off.Quote:
Originally Posted by larrylegend33
FSU opened at -4 and got fucking hammered. Seems like most of the action favors Louivile tomorrow. Fuck it.... I'm sticking to my guns. Remember last year when all Fournette had to do was show up in NY to collect his hiesman and he went into Bama and reality set in? I think that happens tomorrow to Lamar Jackson. I love the kid and I think he's a great player but he hasn't seen anything like this FSU team yet.
Maybe I'm wrong but I'm sticking with my read.
i am going with the over 63 in this game and over 45 in both the UGA and bama games. very small wagers. someone parlay these 3. my local guy only takes strait wagers.
MTSU over 72
It ma not go over, but I guarantee it won't be a 21-17 game
Yup - Jackson under 108.5 rushing
:lol2Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Sounds familiar!! I capped about 30 games last week from the stands in Burlington for a high school football game as it was pooring!!!
got one book that has the line all the way down to FSU PK and another that has it FSU -3...interesting to say the least...
The two games I want to watch the most are first on the ESPN's. David vs. Goliath shit.
Miami at App St. Miami only 4 point favorites. If I had to bet I'd take Miami here but that would ruin the fun of watching this. People are really gonna be going nuts in Boone N.C. Great atmosphere there. (took over 52 for a sweat)
NDSU at Iowa. Iowa 15 point favorites. The line just came out. All yesterday I planned on taking Iowa. Thinking that NDSU's luck was up playing against the big boys. Then the line comes out at 15 and I'm like fuck that shit. (took NDSU +15)
Louivile now the chalk..... Starting to think I'm very wrong about this game
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
take the over. thank me later
Anyone else like Oregon +3?
Everyone on the game day setQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Ouch ok not touchingQuote:
Originally Posted by DalyEveryone on the game day setQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog