Going with Druff's pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +155
Also got Kenta Maeda Under 6.0 SO (-105) He only had 5 SO's each game of the last 2 dbacks match ups. (Hope Daly approves)
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Going with Druff's pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +155
Also got Kenta Maeda Under 6.0 SO (-105) He only had 5 SO's each game of the last 2 dbacks match ups. (Hope Daly approves)
Look at the simpdog. Nice sweepQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
AL East gonna be wild. Anybody can take it down. Lots of heads up matches.
How empty it must be to follow NL West.
Time for Benjamin to do the picking!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Should have stuck to mlb getting owned pretty bad with FSU.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarLook at the simpdog. Nice sweepQuote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
AL East gonna be wild. Anybody can take it down. Lots of heads up matches.
How empty it must be to follow NL West.
AL East is awesome everyday is a playoff game right now.
I believe Greinke has won every time he was a dog this year until tonight. He got his ass raped tonight with no condom.Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assTime for Benjamin to do the picking!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I think the code is you just turn your head from a bad pick unless the fool claims a lockQuote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assI believe Greinke has won every time he was a dog this year until tonight. He got his ass raped tonight with no condom.Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass
I think an exception can be made here. Greinke lets up 5 home runs. Then the Dodgers fans boo him as he leaves the mound. Drexel better call Greinke next cause the guy does suffer depression and anxiety.
Druff calling out Greinke's success in LA last year as somehow relevant. This guy isn't that guy. That guy retired.
Dreadful.
Daly must be on the Noles 2nd half
Sanlmar you should have been on them in game
nice.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacI'm on this as well although I have a slightly worse lineQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Also played
Kelly under 24.5
Adeboyejo under 80.5
Adeboyejo under 5
Cook over 2
Rudolph over 4.5
Thks and I would have totally had crushed had my sides not went up in flames with a 2-7 Saturday. However here was a breakdown of the props from week 1.Quote:
Originally Posted by handicapmenice.Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
6-0 tonight
1-0 Yesterday
14-2 Saturday (sorry I didn't get these to the board)
1-0 on one of Dalys picks thrs or friday
All in all 22-2 on college props and now will have to terrorize some locals because my current book just cut me down to $50 limits. Going back to the Super Bowl just on Props I am on like a 34-6 run or something crazy like that.
Probably right up there with 2 of the other better runs I have gone on.
Edit: Also looking for a bunch of BTC if anyone has any.
thks
I think simpdog is onto something.
Those -1.5 picks on big favorites seem like a good buy at this time of year. You just aren't seeing that many big dogs come through in September.
I haven't paid attention to the -1.5s for some months now, but I think I will now. I had been focusing on the dogs, but it's getting harder and harder to find ones of value that I like, and of course when you find them, they often blow up in your face anyway (like today).
The one team I might avoid doing that with is the Braves, as they seem to be playing a lot better recently, and in fact there might be some value there in their dog lines this month.
I haven't watched a minute of football yet, Simp. There will be time for that. I bet a Daly pick in game blind but that was just love.
I reevaluated my life after my last wimpy in game Cubs hedge.
They were down 1-0 to Brewers and Brewers had a runner on 1st. At that moment I got +120 when the game was -183 to -200 before first pitch.
Final Cubs 7-2 Winning tilted me into clarity of purpose.
Cubs live has been the ATM for me that the Sawks overs were first half of season. I just don't pound the spots like one should when you find these spots.
In that spirit:
PARLAY (2 TEAMS) 09/06/16 16:23 EDT
Bet $ 1020.00 to win $ 1228.00 Result: Pending
Atlanta Braves W Perez vs Washington Nationals G Gonzalez 09/06/16 19:05 EDT Washington Nationals -240 Listed
Chicago Cubs J Hammel vs Milwaukee Brewers W Peralta 09/06/16 20:10 EDT Chicago Cubs -180 Listed
This from a guy whose base bet is $100.
There really is no earthly reason why I didn't parlay the run lines now that I read these posts but at my core I am still soft.
Jays will be back on the horse tonight. Regular lineup back and dirty Sanchez on the mound.
Also like the Indians-1.5 and Washington-1.5
Wash -1.5 -120
San Francisco +128
Blue Jays-1.5 +105
Indians -1.5 -105
Boston over 8.5 -105
Apologies regarding last night's debacle.
Dodgers can hit in the second half. Five guys with 20+ HR now. They obliterated Greinke, and with a steady guy like Maeda on the mound, Arizona had no shot.
I'm going to make a Dodgers-related pick tonight, but not for or against them. This time it's a total.
Ross Stripling is not good. Great first start (no hits through 7+ innings before being lifted), but has been mediocre/bad ever since.
Shelby Miller.... well, his ERA is almost 7 this year in 75 IP. 'Nuff said. WHIP is almost 1.7. Okay. now really 'nuff said.
Both offenses can hit.
I realize the Dodgers are at home at night in a pitchers' park, on an unseasonably cool night in early September (usually the hottest time of the year in LA).
However, I have to go with the over.
Also I like Sawks -1.5 +100, even though it's Buchholz pitching. Padres have been awful, and even some of their unheralded hot hitters have cooled down. They squeaked out a 2-1 win last night, but it's not happening again.
---------------
Boston -1.5 +100 (Buchholz) at San Diego (Clemens)
Dodgers (Stripling) vs. Arizona (Miller) - Over 8 -110
Yikes you should have consulted the Cubs season ticket holder.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Hammel is terrible in September has been three years in a row now.
Value play here. Houston is a win at home vs Louisville away from making the final 4.
Houston +2500 now could open up some nice hedging opertunities for some serious cake this winter.
Mets/Reds under 8 -110
Mets -148
Mid week update:
Bama moved to 28.5, as it should. Terps moved to the other side of 14 as they should. Happy I bet them both early.
I see a lot of bait games on the list this week and you can tell because they aren't moving the number off the hook and "they" are happy to leave the line steady and collect more juice. I think it's clear to me that the books are begging for money on....
Cuse +14.5
App St -20.5
Tulsa +28.5
Ark +7.5 (this one reeeeealy stinks like 3 day fish)
Miss St -6.5
BYU +3.5
Cal +7.5 (four day old fish here)
I'm fairly sure you could blind bet the other side of all of these and do better than .500 this week. Be careful of teams on sale in Vegas. It's too early in the week to dive I'm fairly sure I'll be on the opposite side of most of these games.
Obviously it was a good week for money line upsets. Let me be clear I'm in no way shape or form promising to hit these at a rate close to 50%.... But it was nice to start 3-0. I'll be looking for betting line strength on the following dogs.....
Penn St
Purdue (yeah they stink but so does Cinci)
ECU
Wake
MTSU
South Carolina (this is set up to be the ML POTW potentially)
*** Keep Focused ***
You bet sides and totals for fun and it's posible to make some $$ when you know what to look for..... BUT.... It's props where you make the $$.
you waiting on FAU and SMU since the lines seem to be moving in the favor of the side you want to bet on...
seeing SMU at 32 and FAU 24.5...
I don't want to bet on either at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
I made Miami a bigger favorite then the 22 it came out on and I was right. Would have loved to go back in time on that one.
SMU plus the points I sprinkled a little bit on +31 but it came out that Davis (SMU QB) is banged up.
Maybe I don't know shit about baseball but it seems to me Betts total bases vs Myers tonight is a great bet -120
Daly, I love reading the macro observations and thoughts almost more than the picks themselves.
Your touch of immortality echoes in my head every time I look at a run line.
You offer a lot of wisdom but I am a sucker for the lingo too.
Just a quick example.Quote:
because they aren't moving the number off the hook and "they" are happy to leave the line steady and collect more juice
Poetry. Chaps should lay down some beats behind your posts.
Picks are like assholes and the assholes that offer them. It is rare that someone expresses some thought. Druff is getting better with this.
My unit is sore today so for me to be positive and complimentary about anything in this thread is the highest of praise.
Thanks for keeping up the work.
Think we got a good one here folks.
Strasburg under 7 -105
7 vs the braves is a decent number on a regular circumstance. When he is coming off the DL with elbow issues with his team 8 games up 3 weeks before the playoffs....... I can't say for sure but if think he has to be on a pitch count.
Got screwed on the Dodgers/Dbacks over yesterday. 5-2 in the 4th, needing just 1 more run to guarantee a tie. Nobody scored after that.
Won the Boston -1.5 pretty easily.
I have nothing for today.
Prop betting 201
If you can't be good you better be lucky.
Navy -3.5 vs UCONN....love navy here big time.
Tell me more. What is it you like?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tegnation22
Ok if it's good enough for Phil Steele it's good enough for me.
Penn St Nittny Child Rapist +200
I love Navys ground and pound. UCONN barely squeezed a win off against FCS Maine (lol).....Navy is 6-2 ATS in last 8 games.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyTell me more. What is it you like?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tegnation22
They are at home and they beat UCONN last year and they know how to put it in the endzone.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I got it at +190
Penn State Stirs Outcry With Plans to Honor Joe Paterno
OK and what about this?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tegnation22I love Navys ground and pound. UCONN barely squeezed a win off against FCS Maine (lol).....Navy is 6-2 ATS in last 8 games.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
They are at home and they beat UCONN last year and they know how to put it in the endzone.
Navy starting quarterback Tago Smith out for season with torn ACL ow.ly/M7Hb303X
These bets are stupid. Next time I post one of these someone red rep meQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Next man up mentality, they are future Navy Officers afterall.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyOK and what about this?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tegnation22
Navy starting quarterback Tago Smith out for season with torn ACL ow.ly/M7Hb303X
Will Worth can get the job done.
Cash out the 401k, sell any and all assets and pound Navy hard. Money Talks!!3
An unhealthy Strasburg bodes well for the Dodgers' chances to at least make the NLCS this year.
They're definitely winning the NL West and facing the Nationals in the NLDS.
If they can get Kershaw in playoff shape over the next month, the Dodgers will be pretty tough with a Kershaw-Maeda-Hill rotation, with perhaps Urias thrown in for good measure.
Anything can happen in the MLB playoffs, but I think we are going to see an epic Cubs/Dodgers NLCS.
Ok I'm starting to see 15's tomorrow on Louisville. I think it's clear we aren't going to see 14 flat. If you are going to jump on I think now is the time. I don't think there is a big diff between 14.5 and 15 but if one of the services tout them it's not impossible that we won't see 17
Three dogs:
Yankees (Sabathia) -1.5 +155 vs. Tampa Bay (Cobb)
Milwaukee (Guerra) +140 at St. Louis (Garcia)
Colorado (Hoffman) +123 at San Diego (Richard)
For tonight I like
D. Thomas under 67.5 -115
Adding:Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
Over 3.5 field goals (currently listed at +125 on Bovada)
Under 4.5 TDs EVEN
Both bets I like but if the field goal one only wins I make a few bucks or if the TD one only does then I break even.
If you want to go straight contrarian tonight...As in it's the only reason To do it is because everyone else in the world is on Carolina.... Take Denver +140 ML.
Thrown it in a parlay with a game you really like this weekend and juice up the fun. $200 will get you $710
I am on Texas tonight. Seattle rookie pitcher may blow up again. Short term records clearly favor Texas. Texas coming off a one game loss. They will be looking to pound em.
BTW do you feel like some football!! I am getting excited. Let's face it, it's the best time of the year.