What year was it and who was it that refused the split then lost and then the winners split?
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What year was it and who was it that refused the split then lost and then the winners split?
i think it was that Sean Perry guy, i think it was last year or the year before...Quote:
Originally Posted by Texter
This is a shit game so far on both sides, just like my last survivor pick.
10-6 at halftime. Sucked that they couldn’t get it over at the end of the half against this terrible defense.
Rodgers looking anemic, but Flacco also looks like his sore shoulder might be an issue.
And yes it was Perry in 2023-24 who refused a chop and then lost, but I think he hedged and didn’t admit it.
Perry lost last week by stupidly putting all of his tickets on the lol Panthers.
Well
I complain about the ancient QB and... I get someone younger. The backup.
Be careful what you wish for, I guess!
:yes
34-12 score does NOT represent how this game went. Pittsburgh suddenly piled it on at the very end.
Unfortunately, Packers won a close one against the Giants, and the Texans squeaked by the Titans with a last second FG. I really didn't like that Texans pick after Stroud went down, but it got by because Tennessee is so bad.
Baltimore just getting going.
Carolina came back from down 21-10 to take the lead 27-24 with 1 minute left, but they might blow it, or more likely go to OT. Would be nice to see them win (or tie).
Anyway, nice to burn a useless team like Pittsburgh in Week 11. The people using NE, GB, BAL this week ate a good team they had left.
And my Jacksonville moneyline pick won, too.
that was a sweat for most of it. nice work.
need atl to lose. some dude put all 5 of his remaining tickets on them.
I think Sam Soverel is one of the Grandissimo 6. Sam and Sean are close friends, but that's an open secret.
I'm guessing nobody is going to chop at this point, given that they are only at 11.5x their money.
Even those who pooled together money for a Grandissimo entry probably aren't satisfied at this point.
Panthers are about to win. Only 43 entries on Falcons though. The guy with 5 tickets was stupid, but as I've said before... win by the lack of variety, die by the lack of variety. You don't still have 5+ tickets at this point by diversifying.
Seattle is the likely play this upcoming week, on the road against Tenn.
I've soured on taking road teams, especially since getting burned with 5 of my 6 tickets on road games.
But I'm going to have to take some, and next week is probably one of them. As you've seen, Tennessee is a pathetic team. Anything can happen in the NFL, but it's going to be an easier road than this week was.
Interesting how both Minnesota and Atlanta lost -- two "outside considerations" for me if I decided I really hated Pitt and didn't want to waste Balt. By going on this path, I don't have to use Minnesota, which is good because they are very unreliable.
I spent more time analyzing this week than any other week so far. I really didn't want to make a mistake here.
It's possible that Rodgers' injury was the positive turning point for me. If he stayed in, who knows what would've happened?
60 entries have fallen so far -- Atlanta (43), Minnesota (11), LA Chargers (6). Laughably those who trusted Miami ended up okay, though it was close.
The top 4 picks all made it through -- New England, Houston, Pittsburgh, and Green Bay. Those accounted for almost 80% of all picks, so there won't be major carnage this week.
The 88 on the Ravens are the main one to watch.
i'm glad Druff and the "2 new investors" won... WTG... rooting for you guys...
https://twitter.com/lastmenpod/statu...20588422713441
We have all 3 available.
Damn no Baltimore and no Detroit…not too many good choices on the holidays
Nice
https://x.com/TheRealMrACL/status/1990521478882996667
Quote:
The Chicago Bears are the worst 7-3 team in NFL history....Having an overall negative point differential (-6) and a 7-3 record is nearly impossible, but here we are:
They're 0-2 with a -45 point differential against .500 or better teams, and are +16 in turnover differential with the next closest team at +10.
Their 7 wins are against:
3-5-1 Cowboys
2-7 Raiders (by 1 point)
3-8 Commanders (by 1 point)
2-8 Saints
3-7 Bengals (without Burrow)
2-9 Giants
4-6 Vikings
These teams have a combined record of 19-50-1
He doesn't even mention that they should've lost to the Giants, who badly misplayed the 4th to allow the Bears to squeak by.
This could make Philly a better choice for Thanksgiving, as they are at home against Chicago.
Right now I am more leaning toward Baltimore at home versus Cincy, but if Burrow comes back that game, maybe Philly is a better choice.
The problem is that would make it to where I can't use Philly for week 16, which would then require using Buffalo that week against Cleveland. Which would then require my picking some shit team like Minnesota on Week 14, which scares me.
So I'm probably staying with Baltimore on Thanksgiving anyway.
Of course, all of this is moot if Seattle somehow chokes at Tennessee this Sunday. That will almost surely be my Week 12 pick.
Det for me this week, unless there is a Thanksgiving component.
Wait, you're still alive in your survivor contest?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
BTW Detroit should 100% be saved for Christmas in Circa. Not many have it left though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffWait, you're still alive in your survivor contest?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
BTW Detroit should 100% be saved for Christmas in Circa. Not many have it left though.
No - but I'm still following along so I can complain when "I would have won it".
That's what I did in 2023 until it got too depressing.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
No - but I'm still following along so I can complain when "I would have won it".
In 2024 I just pretended it no longer existed when I donked off 10 entries in week 3.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffThat's what I did in 2023 until it got too depressing.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
In 2024 I just pretended it no longer existed when I donked off 10 entries in week 3.
For the record Tella and I been talking offline - I think there may be an appetite to have a PFA set of entries next year.
For the record, I think I played every week this year well except #3.
That was the week Daly accused me of "fancy play syndrome", and he was right. Next year I won't make that mistake.
All of the other weeks, I felt I made the right play, even if I lost. I think with this last ticket, I have straddled the line very well between survival and future value. At the moment, I have one of the better paths among the final 5% remaining. Whether that translates into anything remains to be seen.
However, I can't regret week 3 too much, because I probably would have lost those 5 tickets by now anyway. Some weeks I would have diversified and also used my second favorite selection, which several times would have lost. So either way, I'm probably sitting with 1 ticket right now.
So far I've been good with this ticket at seeing fail coming, and staying away from those spots.
Regardless of what happens here, I look forward to next year, where I'll bring even more experience into it.
If a PFA effort is established and plays as well, that will be even more fun to sweat.
To be fair I did the exact same thing 5ish weeks later. It happensQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
https://x.com/CircaSports/status/1990842239095120159
Bills down 23-16 right now in Houston.
Probably not heavily taken (only -5, better spots down the line), but if they lose, it should wipe out some contrarian type pickers who assumed Bills wouldn't be heavily taken this week, and how their EV would improve bigly if they win and expected major selections (such as Seattle) lose.
Only 17.1% have Bills left, though, so it shouldn't be a large number. By definition, it can't be more than 161 entries, and I'm projecting that it will be around 20.