People stop dying on the weekend? I had no idea.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
They always stop counting on the weekend. It will jump back up again by Tuesday.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
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People stop dying on the weekend? I had no idea.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardThey always stop counting on the weekend. It will jump back up again by Tuesday.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardThey always stop counting on the weekend. It will jump back up again by Tuesday.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
i dont know man tgull seems pretty confident here
You’ve been right on your Tuesday-Wed spikes for a month now. Clearly you understand lab tabulation. Too bad there isn’t a line to bet it.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaardThey always stop counting on the weekend. It will jump back up again by Tuesday.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
If we can ever get through a Tuesday/Wed at 1200 I’d believe we are on the decline.
He is basing his hypothesis on April 14th, it's old news. A lot has changed with reporting since then. It's not a Nostradamic prediction, much more information is coming in real time now, but we will see early next week. If the cases go back to 2,500 and taper off again you need to amortize them numbers over the period before. But since none of us have those actual numbers its a bunch of people on a poker message board speculating.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRYou’ve been right on your Tuesday-Wed spikes for a month now. Clearly you understand lab tabulation. Too bad there isn’t a line to bet it.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
If we can ever get through a Tuesday/Wed at 1200 I’d believe we are on the decline.
See, I's smart, not like everyone says.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PC-DqeW_ug0
Yeah I remember a few weeks ago (didn't keep track which day of the week) there had been 2 consecutive big declines, with the low being around 1200, then it popped back up to 2000 again.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRYou’ve been right on your Tuesday-Wed spikes for a month now. Clearly you understand lab tabulation. Too bad there isn’t a line to bet it.Quote:
Originally Posted by verminaard
If we can ever get through a Tuesday/Wed at 1200 I’d believe we are on the decline.
Hopefully tomorrow will again be close to 1000 instead of 2000.
It has been strange to me that the number of deaths has held steady around 2k/day despite all the social distancing.
However, even if it went down, we will probably be right back up again after the reopenings.
Tuesday is coming.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYeah I remember a few weeks ago (didn't keep track which day of the week) there had been 2 consecutive big declines, with the low being around 1200, then it popped back up to 2000 again.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Hopefully tomorrow will again be close to 1000 instead of 2000.
It has been strange to me that the number of deaths has held steady around 2k/day despite all the social distancing.
However, even if it went down, we will probably be right back up again after the reopenings.
If people with 500 Type 2 diabetic scores and morbidly obese go out then yes, it will jump. If relatively healthy people go out it will not even be a rounding error. As SPIT THIS said correctly this is simply finishing people off who were in the overtime of life or were walking time bombs. But don't let one story of a marathoner who dies from this cloud your judgement.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYeah I remember a few weeks ago (didn't keep track which day of the week) there had been 2 consecutive big declines, with the low being around 1200, then it popped back up to 2000 again.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Hopefully tomorrow will again be close to 1000 instead of 2000.
It has been strange to me that the number of deaths has held steady around 2k/day despite all the social distancing.
However, even if it went down, we will probably be right back up again after the reopenings.
wash state < 100 a day dead for first time in a month.
sorry, " < " is a math symbol for "less than", trump voters.
Did you mean new cases? I had noticed the other day they are way down the list and have a death total of 837. I figured it was the weaker west coast version considering they were in really early.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
How would that work at 100/day for a month?
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRDid you mean new cases? I had noticed the other day they are way down the list and have a death total of 837. I figured it was the weaker west coast version considering they were in really early.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
How would that work at 100/day for a month?
ty, meant week:
https://www.geekwire.com/2020/new-da...st-time-month/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_c...ture=emb_title
Stanford, let me guess he doesn't count either right ... lols
Such unhinged, batshit insanity that the GOP has become.
That looks horrible. I don't want to play 4 handed poker and I don't want to play with that contraption. I guess I'll wait until this virus is really over.Quote:
Originally Posted by Shizzmoney
0 new cases in NZ today.
And they pass the chips and cards around to everyone...Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter SobchakThat looks horrible. I don't want to play 4 handed poker and I don't want to play with that contraption. I guess I'll wait until this virus is really over.Quote:
Originally Posted by Shizzmoney
And you're sitting in a seat someone else just left.Quote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritanAnd they pass the chips and cards around to everyone...Quote:
Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak
They can disinfect but they'd really need to do it well.
They would need more of an "Eichmann" style setup for each player before I would consider playing poker in a casino.Quote:
Originally Posted by Shizzmoney
It's one of those things that's so simple, it defies explanation why any country doesn't follow this path:Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTickle
Not infinite lockdown. Nor reopening too soon. Get new cases to zero and then keep the reproduction number below one.
In lieu of a vaccine / solid treatment, it's the only way right now.
You can control it when it goes to near zero cases, the R0 <=1, and this is the problem, this # can change.
Track and trace have to be "ready to pounce" the minute anyone gets it when you have only 0.1% of the population each day testing positive.
That's all u can do...testing as many as you can of course too.
Technically, if you can keep your country's borders shut, this mind-bogglingly goes to zero fast in your own country under lockdown. And I will admit, the US is like many small Euro countries with no border control so it won't be possible as fast here.
You could add up every country's population on that graph and it does not come up to the US population.Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTickle
US Population 330mQuote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Global population 7.8b
US deaths 70K (FTR your 12k prediction was wrong.)
Global deaths 250k
4 % of the population and over 25% of the deaths.
Pro rate Trump out of that one,
(And then ask yourself what you'd say if Obama had those numbers)
The US and a few other countries are the only one's with legit numbers. Given your IQ though, I fully expect you to take Iran's and China's number at face value. You never been very smart on here. Anyone with a failed avatar of a failed football player is a fan boy and cannot be taken seriously. You are the same grown man who goes to a game with the jersey of his favorite player.Quote:
Originally Posted by JimmyG_415US Population 330mQuote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Global population 7.8b
US deaths 70K (FTR your 12k prediction was wrong.)
Global deaths 250k
4 % of the population and over 25% of the deaths.
Pro rate Trump out of that one,
(And then ask yourself what you'd say if Obama had those numbers)
Who mentioned the US?Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou could add up every country's population on that graph and it does not come up to the US population.Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTickle
wow we totally might get through this, things are really looking u-....
What a shocker that bottomset doesn't know how to read graphs.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou could add up every country's population on that graph and it does not come up to the US population.Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTickle
Millions of grown men do this and many of them are in red states.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullThe US and a few other countries are the only one's with legit numbers. Given your IQ though, I fully expect you to take Iran's and China's number at face value. You never been very smart on here. Anyone with a failed avatar of a failed football player is a fan boy and cannot be taken seriously. You are the same grown man who goes to a game with the jersey of his favorite player.Quote:
Originally Posted by JimmyG_415
US Population 330m
Global population 7.8b
US deaths 70K (FTR your 12k prediction was wrong.)
Global deaths 250k
4 % of the population and over 25% of the deaths.
Pro rate Trump out of that one,
(And then ask yourself what you'd say if Obama had those numbers)
You could add up half the countries on that graph and surpass the US population. Not that it matters.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgullYou could add up every country's population on that graph and it does not come up to the US population.Quote:
Originally Posted by MrTickle
What matters is COVID was in some countries well before it was in others. I'm sure it was in the US in December, possibly November. So it had months to spread unchecked.Quote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritanYou could add up half the countries on that graph and surpass the US population. Not that it matters.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Pretty sure it was here in December, I remember reading this and it made zero sense at the time. Granted he had a pre-existing condition but it happened so fast:Quote:
Originally Posted by nightmarefishWhat matters is COVID was in some countries well before it was in others. I'm sure it was in the US in December, possibly November. So it had months to spread unchecked.Quote:
Originally Posted by duped_samaritan
https://www.si.com/college/2019/12/2...rter-pneumonia
So that crap model basically just doubled their deaths by August 4th number. I guess since we were about to pass the 72k in a day or two even they felt silly trotting out that garbage.
Also Trump people saying we are far from peak and expect 3k deaths per day at end of May.
We are the poster child for how not to handle a pandemic. This fucker is mild as far as what we could get hit with, yet it was beyond us. Hopefully generations in the future can learn from our idiocy and basically do the opposite of everything we did.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
meanwhile, in the pro life party:
I scanned the crowd. At least half fit into high risk just by age and weight. In a state trending blue and Biden favored on predictit(I don’t believe it’s there yet), let them hug and rub their fat ass on each other and run wild. I would have preferred to see not a soul die, but people are stubbornly stupid. It’s one thing to want to see states open up and philosophically believe the cure is worse than the disease, but holding rallies and holding hands is so fucking stupid that it’s a better world without these people in it. That’s next level defiantly stupid. Let them all drop.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
In this entire situation the projected death models have been the biggest fail. Too many unknowns to come up with something accurate.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI scanned the crowd. At least half fit into high risk just by age and weight. In a state trending blue and Biden favored on predictit(I don’t believe it’s there yet), let them hug and rub their fat ass on each other and run wild. I would have preferred to see not a soul die, but people are stubbornly stupid. It’s one thing to want to see states open up and philosophically believe the cure is worse than the disease, but holding rallies and holding hands is so fucking stupid that it’s a better world without these people in it. That’s next level defiantly stupid. Let them all drop.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
i clung to the premise that allowing team retard to go out in a blaze of ventilatored glory wouldnt be worth it because good people would become collateral victims but at this point, im just like.. gotta break some eggs folks, lets get it over with.
Lol wishing people dead over their political affiliation. Oh how the true colors are coming out biggly lately.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI scanned the crowd. At least half fit into high risk just by age and weight. In a state trending blue and Biden favored on predictit(I don’t believe it’s there yet), let them hug and rub their fat ass on each other and run wild. I would have preferred to see not a soul die, but people are stubbornly stupid. It’s one thing to want to see states open up and philosophically believe the cure is worse than the disease, but holding rallies and holding hands is so fucking stupid that it’s a better world without these people in it. That’s next level defiantly stupid. Let them all drop.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
A direct result of having a mentally ill, sociopathic megalomaniac running the country.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
What an embarrassment we are.
Quarantine was to only slow the spread so hospitals could amp up. They have, we are all gonna get this unless you isolate indefinitely. Good luck with that. Good luck with waiting for a vaccine or worthwhile treatment. Just good luck.