Harris is absolutely collapsing in the betting markets:
Market icon
Donald Trump
$565,158,828 Vol.
57.9%
Market icon
Kamala Harris
$383,126,673 Vol.
41.9%
Printable View
Harris is absolutely collapsing in the betting markets:
Market icon
Donald Trump
$565,158,828 Vol.
57.9%
Market icon
Kamala Harris
$383,126,673 Vol.
41.9%
They better start hiding him, deranged senility won't play well with anyone.
How is standing there listening to a song, or people leaving an event deranged? I do agree, his best strategy is to play golf and watch her further implode while poor people become unglued. If you don't have a couple million in this loose money economy you are a total fucking loser. I made $20,000 last month just trading stocks, its so easy.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe
That was a few weeks ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
In all actuality Trump is somewhere around a 4 or 5 to 1 favorite, betting markets account for Libtardia TDS and bias in public perception. If the election were today, 10 to 1 +. If something doesn't drastically change, PolyMarket will shift to the 3 or 4 to 1 range at some point. Michigan polling is exposing the truth, and it's not possible for Michigan to be Trump +1 or 2 and not be +3 or so in Pennsylvania.
Truth sucks libs!
Trump now -145 Ho +125 at Bovada.
Can still get +200 on Trump win but Ho winning popular vote, still the best bet if you believe Trump is winning the EC.
The Stock Market is at an all time high. Thanks Uncle Joe!Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Should be a bigger talking point for Ho, but her base doesn’t want to hear about it since they demonize success. When the reality is over 63% of Americans own stock in some form.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiThe Stock Market is at an all time high. Thanks Uncle Joe!Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
The other issue is the market always has gone up over time under Presidents of both parties. With a few bumps along the way, corporate America always finds way to make money regardless of policies created to hurt them.
However the proposed tax on unrealized Capital Gains would be a market killer, but it will never pass so it’s a non issue.
WE ARE WINNING!
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1846195959258095713
Tuesday, October 15
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris
Fabrizio/Anzalone
Trump 49, Harris 48
Trump
+1
Michigan: Multi-Candidate
MRG
Trump 44, Harris 45, Kennedy 3, Stein 2, Oliver 1, West 1
Harris
+1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris
Trafalgar Group (R)
Trump 47, Harris 45
Trump
+2
Texas: Trump vs. Harris
University of Houston
Trump 51, Harris 46
Trump
+5
#NEW NORTH CAROLINA poll 🔴 Trump: 51% (+5) 🔵 Harris: 46% @Rasmussen_Poll | 10/9-14 | N=1,042LV
HUGE move on Pinnacle today. Trump now -170,(no vig line -155) up from -146 this morning.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
YES WE ARE GOING TO WIN!
https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/18...fbKHJto9Q&s=19
oh fuck yeah
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1846281408391618859
I DONT MAKE THE RULES. I DONT. YOU GOT THAT?
New General election poll - Georgia 🔴 Trump 49% (+2) 🔵 Harris 47% Last poll - 🟡 Tie Insider advantage #B - 800 LV - 10/15
as much as i want DJT to win, they ain't gonna let him win... even with DJT polling better with people of color than any other Republican in history ( beating his old mark ) they just ain't gonna let him win..
https://x.com/tonyxtwo/status/184629...EENLDqSWyJ3hng
Wednesday, October 16
National: Trump vs. Harris
Marquette
Harris 50, Trump 50
Tie
National: Trump vs. Harris
Marist
Harris 52, Trump 47
Harris
+5
Trump has surged to 59% on Polymarket. He is up to 54% on Predicitit, which is significant. Predicitit caps bets to $850, so it really is designed for poor people like say Sloppy Joe. Retail bettors. The smart money is on Polymarket, and its heavy Trump. I dropped over $850 at a high end steak house last weekend, its chump change.
lol @ bragging about your alleged wealth to impress people on the internet who don’t care. Tight life.Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Above were the opening Pinny odds on 9/12/2024 for each battleground state. Current Pinny odds below:Quote:
Originally Posted by go_buccos
EC Winner: Trump -177, Harris +150
Arizona: Trump -260
Florida: Trump -1870
Georgia: Trump -243
Maine: OFF
Michigan TIE -110
Nevada: Harris -115
New Hampshire: Harris -700
North Carolina: Trump -208
PA: Trump -143
Texas: Trump -2225
Virginia: Harris -680
Wisconsin: Trump -123
Popular vote winner: (just added) Harris -252
Fun snapshot buccosQuote:
Originally Posted by go_buccosAbove were the opening Pinny odds on 9/12/2024 for each battleground state. Current Pinny odds below:Quote:
Originally Posted by go_buccos
EC Winner: Trump -177, Harris +150
Arizona: Trump -260
Florida: Trump -1870
Georgia: Trump -243
Maine: OFF
Michigan TIE -110
Nevada: Harris -115
New Hampshire: Harris -700
North Carolina: Trump -208
PA: Trump -143
Texas: Trump -2225
Virginia: Harris -680
Wisconsin: Trump -123
Popular vote winner: (just added) Harris -252
BOL was +100 Trump on 9/11 never forget
Pinny was -160 yesterday?
BOL is presently -155 vs Pinny -177
Really peculiar action. Pinny obviously doesn’t want to take a position on Harris. My first reaction was to buy some Harris as a hedge but I’m not a good gambler cause I didn’t.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846777546228003103
Just wow. I think it's genuinely possible Trump will win the popular vote now - I was thinking somewhere around Kamala +1 for weeks but unbelievable. Turnout is everything in elections, and voting for this is outright embarrassing - where is the enthusiasm? Will hate of Trump be anywhere close to what it was in 2020? Or do Trump and Vance seem like the adults in the room? -- All of these things are what leads to people not going through the trouble to mail a ballot back or stand in line on Election Day. Meanwhile Trump voters are both on a revenge tour and really do see these people as an existential threat. Don't be shocked if Trump ekes out something like a +.3 win here.
Last night was an embarrassment for Harris. The issue is her VP candidate is equally as bad. She is simply a failure. She has the entire universe to choose a VP candidate, and she chose Walz, who is a fucking nut. Say what you want about Vance, but he is incredibly smart and capable. This is a rare race where you actually need to vote for second place on the ticket. Harris is flat out incompetent, even Biden admitted that which is why she was hidden for nearly years. Now Trump is an old guy, it's not like he hasn't slipped over the years. But Vance versus Walz I mean come on its not even close. You almost get the feeling Trump will win, do the ceremonial stuff, and turn things over to Vance and whomever the Secretary of State is. Which candidly is what Reagan did his second term.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
Thursday, October 17
National: Trump vs. Harris FOX News
Harris 48, Trump 50
Trump +2
I think he will win the popular vote also. There are going to be millions of people like jayjami, sloppy joe and bcr who are going to vote for Trump and just never admit it. Fat chance any of them are being counted in polls.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
I’m not voting for Trump. I abhor fascists. They tried to shoot my grandpa out of the sky on multiple occasions, including D-Day. I’m voting for the Libertarian Party or Bill the Cat, depending how hard it is to do a write-in candidate on my ballot. I always wait until Election Day and vote in person.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978I think he will win the popular vote also. There are going to be millions of people like jayjami, sloppy joe and bcr who are going to vote for Trump and just never admit it. Fat chance any of them are being counted in polls.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
I respect your choice, whatever it is. Can you believe how awful our choice is? That Trump is on the verge of winning says a lot more about Harris than it does about him. The guy is beyond flawed and everyone can see this yet here he is. The democrats are the dumbest most insufferable people on earth.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiI’m not voting for Trump. I abhor fascists. I’m voting for the Libertarian Party or Bill the Cat, depending how hard it is to do a write-in candidate on my ballot. I always wait until Election Day and vote in person.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
It's funny you say that, because I have warmed to fascists.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiI’m not voting for Trump. I abhor fascists. They tried to shoot my grandpa out of the sky on multiple occasions, including D-Day. I’m voting for the Libertarian Party or Bill the Cat, depending how hard it is to do a write-in candidate on my ballot. I always wait until Election Day and vote in person.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images...7d0dba1113.png
I would say I am voting for him in a second if I was. Where I live, a Kamala voter is way more likely to be a silent voter than a Trump voter. I have never not voted, but I am not right now. If I was going to impulse vote, it wouldn't be for Trump, but it truly won't be either. My non vote is basically just fuck this immigration situation and deficit spending that's just slightly worse under Dems than Trump, but still worse. Also just a general Kamala doesn't seem to have it non vote. I vote for her and I am going to hearing shit about reparations and other assorted Cal Dem shit that I just can't.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978I think he will win the popular vote also. There are going to be millions of people like jayjami, sloppy joe and bcr who are going to vote for Trump and just never admit it. Fat chance any of them are being counted in polls.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
With immigrants, I am not scared of some scary foreigner. I just have seen too much valid absolute proof of how much $ we have spent on them. Over the top. It's one thing to be paying a lot of tax for our own poor people, and we need educated immigrants, but bringing over refugees with no real skills and putting them up for months in nice hotels and putting them on better footing than our own poor, I can't get down with that. Charity is a luxury item we can't afford. We need unskilled laborers, but you don't spend $50k per immigrant and drive up housing costs for other poor people to fill minimum wage jobs. That is idiocy.
I could write a pro/con list with both and not be sure who was worse. Another potential SC seat for Trump would be the biggest con. The court is already fucked, too theocratic, and the loons are young. They are already out of touch atm and will probably be around another 25 years. That would be the Kamala impulse vote, but I can't this time for reasons already mentioned. I would vote if I felt one was the lesser of two evils with any confidence. I just don't.
In the sense I am a -1 for Dems, it helps your popular vote theory. I am not a +1 for him though. I am not exactly afraid of verbal confrontation here. If something occurs over the next 3 weeks that convinces me to impulse vote for Trump I'd say it. I hate the MAGA cult more than I hate the cult leader strangely. I get why he wants to con them and understand him, but them being marks for him over and over and continually falling for pure insanity is a more personal hate because I know so many and they are, and have always been, just the dumbest people I have ever encountered. It long ago morphed from pity at their idiocy to contempt with them.
I respect you and your choices, BCR but you do sound waaay more like a Trump voter than anything. It's why I mention you because I always read what you post and you're clearly not a liberal freak show.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI would say I am voting for him in a second if I was. Where I live, a Kamala voter is way more likely to be a silent voter than a Trump voter. I have never not voted, but I am not right now. If I was going to impulse vote, it wouldn't be for Trump, but it truly won't be either. My non vote is basically just fuck this immigration situation and deficit spending that's just slightly worse under Dems than Trump, but still worse. Also just a general Kamala doesn't seem to have it non vote. I vote for her and I am going to hearing shit about reparations and other assorted Cal Dem shit that I just can't.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
With immigrants, I am not scared of some scary foreigner. I just have seen too much valid absolute proof of how much $ we have spent on them. Over the top. It's one thing to be paying a lot of tax for our own poor people, and we need educated immigrants, but bringing over refugees with no real skills and putting them up for months in nice hotels and putting them on better footing than our own poor, I can't get down with that. Charity is a luxury item we can't afford. We need unskilled laborers, but you don't spend $50k per immigrant and drive up housing costs for other poor people to fill minimum wage jobs. That is idiocy.
I could write a pro/con list with both and not be sure who was worse. Another potential SC seat for Trump would be the biggest con. The court is already fucked, too theocratic, and the loons are young. They are already out of touch atm and will probably be around another 25 years. That would be the Kamala impulse vote, but I can't this time for reasons already mentioned. I would vote if I felt one was the lesser of two evils with any confidence. I just don't.
In the sense I am a -1 for Dems, it helps your popular vote theory. I am not a +1 for him though. I am not exactly afraid of verbal confrontation here. If something occurs over the next 3 weeks that convinces me to impulse vote for Trump I'd say it. I hate the MAGA cult more than I hate the cult leader strangely. I get why he wants to con them and understand him, but them being marks for him over and over and continually falling for pure insanity is a more personal hate because I know so many and they are, and have always been, just the dumbest people I have ever encountered. It long ago morphed from pity at their idiocy to contempt with them.
Those super dumb Trump people you speak of nobody really likes them but I'll stand with them any day if it means the end of immigration and gender insanity and war. The extremes on the left, imo, are far worse. There are fine people on both sides.
I appreciate you and jayjami because you both seem to at least understand why a person might vote for Trump even if you won't. There are far too many people nowadays breaking off relationships or worse because of political disagreements. My own uncle, who I love dearly, once told a neighbor who was flying a Trump flag to never step foot on his property again and he also told me recently that he wished the bullet hadn't missed.
That is pure TDS which you, thankfully, don't seem to have.
You left out one point, and I am not sure why you did. It is unusual, especially for a midwestern white guy. I am not sure where you veered off the white guy cliff, but you did. So here is my question, and its a candid question: Why does every fucking country on this planet forbid illegal immigration except the US? Australia never allows it, they are lily white. China, well they have like zero Mexicans, why is that? New Zealand, they would never allow a Venezuelan in their country unless he went through a biological and mental health test. Canada, they are suffocating with their immigration. There might be one exception, England who for some reason allows Muslims and yeah that has turned out great for London.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCRI would say I am voting for him in a second if I was. Where I live, a Kamala voter is way more likely to be a silent voter than a Trump voter. I have never not voted, but I am not right now. If I was going to impulse vote, it wouldn't be for Trump, but it truly won't be either. My non vote is basically just fuck this immigration situation and deficit spending that's just slightly worse under Dems than Trump, but still worse. Also just a general Kamala doesn't seem to have it non vote. I vote for her and I am going to hearing shit about reparations and other assorted Cal Dem shit that I just can't.Quote:
Originally Posted by country978
With immigrants, I am not scared of some scary foreigner. I just have seen too much valid absolute proof of how much $ we have spent on them. Over the top. It's one thing to be paying a lot of tax for our own poor people, and we need educated immigrants, but bringing over refugees with no real skills and putting them up for months in nice hotels and putting them on better footing than our own poor, I can't get down with that. Charity is a luxury item we can't afford. We need unskilled laborers, but you don't spend $50k per immigrant and drive up housing costs for other poor people to fill minimum wage jobs. That is idiocy.
I could write a pro/con list with both and not be sure who was worse. Another potential SC seat for Trump would be the biggest con. The court is already fucked, too theocratic, and the loons are young. They are already out of touch atm and will probably be around another 25 years. That would be the Kamala impulse vote, but I can't this time for reasons already mentioned. I would vote if I felt one was the lesser of two evils with any confidence. I just don't.
In the sense I am a -1 for Dems, it helps your popular vote theory. I am not a +1 for him though. I am not exactly afraid of verbal confrontation here. If something occurs over the next 3 weeks that convinces me to impulse vote for Trump I'd say it. I hate the MAGA cult more than I hate the cult leader strangely. I get why he wants to con them and understand him, but them being marks for him over and over and continually falling for pure insanity is a more personal hate because I know so many and they are, and have always been, just the dumbest people I have ever encountered. It long ago morphed from pity at their idiocy to contempt with them.
I just don't get why guys like you drifted away from the mainstream. You mention your older father time to time, my guess is he probably thinks what the fuck happened to my son? How does a middle aged white guy even remotely identify with Kamala Harris. I don't get it, I doubt he does either.
Quote:
Originally Posted by tgull
Stick to plunging shitters and whatever else you claim to have experience in.
and thats how we ended up with a 7-2 republican supreme court for the rest of our literal lives.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
I still have my doubts about Trump winning Nevada, but I think it's close to a wrap on the rest, with Michigan being the next least likely. I honestly think Kamala might do better in North Carolina than in Pennsylvania at this point.
Out of everything, the most unforgivable about this all is them installing her as the nominee. Though unlikely, I'm hoping Trump not only sweeps all the battlegrounds, he picks off at least one unexpected state or more so this never happens again.
bro tine who cares we need that trump W because kamala is a nonstarter.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineand thats how we ended up with a 7-2 republican supreme court for the rest of our literal lives.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Somewhat surprised Harris is hanging tight in North Carolina, I would have thought Trump would have pulled away in that state by now. Of course if he sweeps the rust belt he won't need it.
Thursday, October 17
National: Trump vs. Harris FOX News
Harris 48, Trump 50
Trump +2
Arizona: Trump vs. Harris CBS News
Trump 51, Harris 48
Trump +3
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
Trump 49, Harris 47
Trump +2
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris UMass Lowell
Trump 45, Harris 46
Harris +1
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris MNS/Mitchell Research
Trump 48, Harris 47
Trump +1
Michigan: Trump vs. Harris Rasmussen Reports
Trump 48, Harris 48
Tie
New Hampshire: Trump vs. Harris UMass Lowell
Harris 50, Trump 41
Harris +9
North Carolina: Trump vs. Harris Carolina Journal/Cygnal
Trump 47, Harris 47
Tie