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Here are the three balls I like for tomorrow. If we just hit 2/5 in most scenarios (unless it’s just x & Hovland) we should come out around even. I am hoping Varner keeps up his propensity to be a Thursday warrior. Ricky is strictly a value play, not the most likely winner. I wouldn’t take much less than +230.
If you are just looking to bet the most likely winners it would be X, Hovland and Louie. Don’t have to touch the other 2. It’s up to everyone’s individual risk tolerance.
Ask and ye shall receive
:dancingbaby
is now
:dancingbaby
PLOPPY WEDNESDAY
NO CREATIVE MONEYLINES
NO COUNTERINTUITIVE UNDERS
NO REVERSE TRAPPER JOHN PICKS
JUST TWO GAMES WHICH LOOK GOOD TO EVERY PLOPPY WHO BETS FAVORITE SPREADS
Milwaukee -7 at Toronto (Siakam questionable)
Brooklyn -6.5 at Atlanta (Capela and Reddish questionable)
Okay, I lied.
There is one counterintuitive under.
Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City - Under 216
Tailing the bucks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
FYI the San Diego weather may be a factor on Thursday and for certain on Friday. Don’t know if that factors into your expert analysis that I enjoy by mostly lurkingQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDimeGoing to get down some on all these guys. Really do like what I’ve seen from Horschel. Woody has the game, that’s for sure, he just needs to find it. Cameron solid as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Because of some bullshit I had to bet Rory (8-1) and Fleetwood (11-1) early. I see them at bet MGM, they moved Rory (9-1) and Fleetwood (12-1) respectively. Which is tilting for me for many reasons but if anyone takes either of them now try to find the better price.
Bad 1q for the favoritesQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I actually can’t bet it because I can’t make it across border and only have money on my casino book, but I see Cavs ML +102 down by 2 at half. Was surprised. I really expect they’ll win this game having watched first half.
That is good info Joe. Typically I would want the golfer to be in the morning wave on a day that has weather like Friday. This tournament is played on two courses Thursday & Friday with split tee threesomes. Everyone tees off within a 2 hour period, so it’s really difficult to gauge if someone will have an advantage because there is no morning wave or afternoon wave.Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeDFYI the San Diego weather may be a factor on Thursday and for certain on Friday. Don’t know if that factors into your expert analysis that I enjoy by mostly lurkingQuote:
Originally Posted by JeffDime
It’s kind of up to the Golf Gods for the most part. Although, if they do end up having lift, clean & place that will help the really good iron/wedge players a bit. Stopping and starting because of weather may favor the younger players a tiny bit.
The UK players may have a tiny advantage. Bringing up shitty memories of the Scottish open where Fleetwood missed a 2 footer in the playoff costing me a chance at a 30K score.
That tournament on Saturday they played through heavy rain and wind. But the PGA would never play through that stuff. So I think it’s pretty negligible.
Appreciate the info. Good luck!
Can't believe the Hawks are up.
Boy the Nets are inconsistent.
Not easy being a ploppy.
Normal pubic betting favorite up in smoke
Maybe I can go 1-1 on the ploppy picks
Bucks gonna be close
OT baby
"So there's a chance!!!"
:yes
Bucks couldn't close it out up 9-10 and now that also may not cover.
:gay
My first tie of the year with the Bucks
Gogogo Nets
They give up an offensive rebound and Lowery hits the 3. Box out you scrubs.
Sucks being a ploppy.
0-1-1 on those.
Under (the one non-public pick) looking very good though.
Phoenix under might get fucked by OT. Which would suck after a good OT for me today ended up not helping.
Today I actually considered four favorite picks: Boston, Milwaukee, Indiana, and Brooklyn
Here's how they went:
Indiana: Covered (didn't pick)
Boston: Lost (didn't pick)
Brookyln: Lost (picked/bet)
Milwaukee: Tied (picked/bet)
All but Indiana were public plays. So the public plays went 0-2-1, and the non-public play went 1-0.
Typical.
Dam it I bet the ploppys Didn’t take the under bet. Minus 1 unit. Oh well on a good note my basketball units are much much smaller then my football unitsQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Fleetwood finally shot a decent first round number. He is now +750 from +1100 (+1200). He still shot -1 on the easier 9 and -4 combined. I do still like him around +800 or better. He did what he had to do Day 1 but is capable of much more. I’m optimistic on this one.
My Rory bet on the PGA has been tilting. Bet MGM has him a +950 from +800. Rahm even moved up. Typically favorites don’t float up like this but the weather, adding that unknown variable, may be the reason. Either way, prices on Rory and Rahm are better now. So if you jump on the Rory train late you will have better equity at most books.