I made 1 fucking bet today and it was pretty big. on west virginia -1 and -1.5
one of the more brutal beats i've taken
Printable View
I made 1 fucking bet today and it was pretty big. on west virginia -1 and -1.5
one of the more brutal beats i've taken
They won by 2Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
That WVU/OK game ending was sick.
Their were a bunch of great finishes today in college basketball leading up to a wide open tournament starting next week.
OMGGGGGGG!!!!! I FUCKING TURNED IT OFF!!!! FUCK YEAH..............Quote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniacThey won by 2Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
There are times the notion of betting big money on college kids just seems utterly ridiculous.
One of my biggest losses last year was 4 grand on Notre Dame vs BC. Of course, ND just got all retarded like the bunch of kids that they are. So I am guilty too.
My kid is a D1 pitcher and played today. They are on a 10 game road trip for spring break.
He texts me that he wants to go out to dinner with another player's parents. He asks if I would grant permission to the coach so he can leave the hotel. These are damn children.
Need a note from mommy to go to Applebys but you are gonna bet huge dough on his performance.
Its just a thought that hits me every now and then. The insanity of it.
He's old enough to vote for Bernie though... thats another story
i say that to myself everytime I do daily college DFS...cant believe that I am actually wagering money on kids...I remember how fucking retarded I was at 18-22...two track mind...pussy and booze...granted if youre a big time athlete it might be a little different, but it's a helluva lot easier to get those two things...
congrats on the kid san...hope hes getting some sorta free education outta that shit...
06:24PM Total Points - Jrue Holiday - New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks - Might come off the bench - Player Must Play for action 03/12/16
07:35PM 4110Under 21 Even
Any under is good.
Spurs versus Thunder tonight, I bet $330 on moneyline for Thunder.
I realize the Spurs are 31-0 at home this year, but getting +330 on the Thunder against anyone else but Golden State is just too hard to pass up.
Anyway, I realize it's still a dog bet and needs some luck to win.
Now it really needs some luck, as the Spurs have opened up a 36-27 lead after the game started off 24-22.
:gay
My problem so far has been 40-year-old Tim Duncan going 5-5 and Aldridge going 6-7.
Oh, and Durant and Westbrook are collectively 2-12.
Wellllllllll it's a 2 point game now.
And Durant and Westbrook have not yet begun to fight.
Anyway, I didn't go into this bet with the feeling of "OKC is going to win", but rather, "I think it's a better than 1-in-4 chance that they will win."
Have watched most of the game. I think OKC needs the game to be sloppy and tons of FTs to win
If they start hitting all their shots they don't have the firepower to keep up with SA.
OKC opened a 7-point lead but kinda crapped the bed at the end of the 3rd. 68-66 moving to the 4th.
Come on Thunder!
OKC +8.5 was moneyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
What the shit is ray44? Some local running a website?
Nice games yesterday.
Keep the victory laps to NASCAR.
Nice work though Searles.
Next time take a risk and post plays first.
You do gotta tell the Ray44 story.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
A friend got me hooked up with this site. There's a local (within 2 hours drive) guy who is hooked into this network from what I understand. I've not asked a ton of questions, but I believe it's a large nationwide deal. Each locale has a different website they see but the format is similar. I've seen others post from the same network on PFA before.
It's a pretty sweet site, smooth interface, offers any line on almost anything you can imagine. No pay up or collect date. Started off $1k either way we'd meet (or Chiefs games as we are both STH). Now I'm up to $2500-3000 win or lose before we meet up
Whoever thought it as a great idea to drag out a two hour broadcast to reveal the entire NCAA Tournament field when it used to only be 30 minutes long can go hang themselves.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker
someone leaked it,
Threw on Lakers vs Knicks while trying to work ahead a bit tonight.
Just had to turn it off after watching about half of the first quarter. Both teams are absolute garbage and I don't want to sully my memories of Kobe by watching him throw up bricks.
18-11 after 1 quarter. Sanlmar (since you're the current degen of PFA) I hope you didn't put any money on this clusterfuck.....couldn't pay me less than $250 to watch the full game.
It all feels meaningless now that I bricked my run at TMMLK.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
It's not lost on me my troubles started when I started using my own and TMMLK's name in the same sentence. Ego before the fall and all that shite.
It's all so dreadful now. Is the Warriors & NBA like the Patriots in the AFC East just running amok amidst crap? I will admit I have watched a few Dubs games and appreciate the spectacle.
When is someone gonna get in his grille and rough that boy up? There has to be some math that supports taking the foul. Take a page from the NHL.
Someone gotta post some link with Haralobob's take on the state of things.
ACR hasn't posted any prices 'to win it all' in the tourney...
anybody have a price on Michigan state? izzo is fucking god in march...if I could get them at anything better than 5-1 in this tourney I think it would be gold...
NCAA Champ favs:Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Kansas 7/1
NC 8/1
Mich St 8/1
Kentucky 14/1
Virg 14/1
Okla 15/1
Nova 15/1
Xavier 16/1
WVU 20/1
Duke 22/1
Finals are in April tho not March
I got an NCAA bracket pool I run every year for $100 if any of u want in
Several final fours. He's a great coach. There is no doubt about that. But "God" is a bit much. He has won one title and it was in 2000. Since then 2 programs have won 3 titles (Duke, UConn) and 2 programs have won 2 (Florida, UNC).Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
That being said I think they have the easiest road to the Final Four out of the 1/2 seeds. Kansas got absolutely fucked as the number 1 overall. If UNC defends like they did in the ACC tourney I like them at 8/1 and that is kind of contradicting because after I hated on Izzo a little I know he is a better coach than Roy Williams. Carolina is just so fucking athletic. Question is can they make enough shots. Should be a great tournament.
Izzo is GOD in March of getting teams to the final four. He's taken #7 seeds there. MSU don't play a softball non-conference schedule cause Izzo likes to challenge his kids. Unfortunately for them some of the teams they had scheduled had down years but they did beat Kansas who is the #1 team in the country.
If you go look at balance of a lot of team stats you will see this MSU team is extremely good. Most of their struggles came when Denzel Valentine (likely to get player of the year or runner up) was out for a few weeks.
MSU has won 9 straight and 13 of the last 14 games.
A balanced team with great coaching is huge in March. This is one of the best and most experienced MSU teams in the Izzo era imo. This year is weird though because so many teams have a shot but their are a few elite teams and MSU is definitely one of them along with Kansas and UNC imo.
MSU has an easy road to the final four so not punching them in at least that far will likely be a bad decision.
Should say God in the sense that if you bet on MSU to win it all at those odds you have a pretty good chance of at least having a nice sweat deep into the tournament betting on MSU...he might not win it, but I'd bet on him to have a deep run...At 7/1 I'll take it...Quote:
Originally Posted by DOUBLE DOUBLESeveral final fours. He's a great coach. There is no doubt about that. But "God" is a bit much. He has won one title and it was in 2000. Since then 2 programs have won 3 titles (Duke, UConn) and 2 programs have won 2 (Florida, UNC).Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
That being said I think they have the easiest road to the Final Four out of the 1/2 seeds. Kansas got absolutely fucked as the number 1 overall. If UNC defends like they did in the ACC tourney I like them at 8/1 and that is kind of contradicting because after I hated on Izzo a little I know he is a better coach than Roy Williams. Carolina is just so fucking athletic. Question is can they make enough shots. Should be a great tournament.
Off MSU, but Nova is VASTLY overpriced at 14/1...I follow them pretty closely...nova has a good team, but until they show consistentcy in March you need at least 20-25/1 to even consider them...
[Ticket #: 251552517] STRAIGHT BET
03/14/2016 @ 07:35 PM
NBA [518] TOTAL u231½-110
(NEW ORLEANS vrs GOLDEN STATE) RISKING 550.00 TO WIN 500.00
last minute pop to 231½ cant resist
neither team plays defense but the Spurs are coming up. hope for some friggin control here
I saw +1400 and was too late to throw a little something at it
Edit
I still don't understand why defense doesn't make Curry know he is gonna pay the price in the paint. It's like the new NFL for reasons that aren't apparant to me.
Curry all Zen, calm & centered. Bird would be elbowing that kid in the ribs and talkin 'bout his poppa and the hooker & tranny at the Sheraton.
Unibrow is physical...props
For those of you looking to bet a future on a team to win the NCAA tournament. You will get way better odds, often twice as a good if you bet the moneyline on that team every game instead. Take a team like West Virginia who is a 3 seed at 25 to 1 to win it all. In their first game they are -350, will likely be -125 in their second round game. The rest of the way they will on average likely be a dog, so let's say +110 on average which is a very small dog so it might be understating it. If you bet the moneyline on all of these instead of the 25 to 1, it will come out to roughly 44 to 1. The juice is just wild on those future bets, much better to go this route
Quote:
Originally Posted by larrylegend33
Great info. I assume this makes it better to "get out" of your bet with profit too. Say WV makes the elite 8 but Williams breaks his ankle. No more bets, profit in your pocket
You got fucked on this one, but allow me to suggest looking at the first half in bets like these.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Sometimes you will get a line substantially better than half the total.
For example, on this game, I bet Under 117.5 and easily won (total 109), even though the line at the time for the game was 230.5.
This is especially a better thing to do when the teams are evenly matched (which admittedly they weren't here), because scoring tends to increase in the 4th quarter when the game is close, due to fouling and timeouts.
Conversely, I avoid first half total bets if I like the over.
Can you provide any statistical proof scoring increases in the 4th? I disagree with that assessment but will concede I could be wrong if stats prove itQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYou got fucked on this one, but allow me to suggest looking at the first half in bets like these.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Sometimes you will get a line substantially better than half the total.
For example, on this game, I bet Under 117.5 and easily won (total 109), even though the line at the time for the game was 230.5.
This is especially a better thing to do when the teams are evenly matched (which admittedly they weren't here), because scoring tends to increase in the 4th quarter when the game is close, due to fouling and timeouts.
Conversely, I avoid first half total bets if I like the over.
sizzle, you bet on 4 team parlays, why would anyone take anything you have to say with regards to sports betting seriously?
original thought btw ^^
here is another original thought, fatboy. Maybe you should quit gambling 100% go cold turkey, do yourself and your family a huge favor.
Maybe post about me some more
I will just let henry and pooh do my lightwork. keep betting the 4 teamers. gl
Obama NCAA bracket for the lolz
http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=14984950
Still experiencing anal discomfort on that Warriors under loss by half point.
Indescribable watching Warriors step aside on opponent's drives to basket in closing minutes with the big lead. Professional courtesy or just gay? It's the NBA so I'll just have to deal.
Decided to focus on real athletic competition. Preseason baseball.
Today I become a man. I have never made a parlay bet in my life. Joey Knish quietly passed away last night.
There's a lotta complicated math & modeling behind this play. I am aware that on the surface it appears I have just picked the 3 favorites.
Ticket #: 251781921] PARLAY (3 TEAMS) RR (1P-3T)
03/16/2016 @ 03:35 PM
MLB Exhibition Baseball [929] TOR BLUE JAYS -130 ( ACTION )
03/16/2016 @ 04:05 PM
MLB Exhibition Baseball [931] BOS RED SOX -130 ( ACTION )
03/16/2016 @ 06:40 PM
MLB Exhibition Baseball [934] ARI D'BACKS -150 ( ACTION )
RISKING 120.00 TO WIN 506.00
03/16/2016 - ONLINE at 02:03 PM
[Ticket #: 251784405] STRAIGHT BET
03/16/2016 @ 04:05 PM
MLB Exhibition Baseball
[931] BOS RED SOX -130 ( ACTION ) RISKING 130.00 TO WIN 100.00
I don't have any.Quote:
Originally Posted by jsearles22Can you provide any statistical proof scoring increases in the 4th? I disagree with that assessment but will concede I could be wrong if stats prove itQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
But between the possibility of OT (which I didn't even mention in my post above) and the fact that the scoring DEFINITELY increases in the final minutes in a close game (watch any NBA game for evidence of this), I like the first half under bets WAY better than full game bets. The OT factor alone is big, though admittedly that's less of a big deal if it's likely to be a blowout.
With the aforementioned Golden State game, my main benefit to taking the over was the fact I was getting 117 when the full game line was 230, but the way Golden State has played lately (close game against Phoenix, losing to Lakers) also made me happy I didn't have to sweat the end of the game or OT bullshit.
Pretty degen of you to bet exhibition baseball. Talk about something impossible to predict.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar