Hills up by 6, apparently Donald is doing himself no favors by inviting her husbands lover to attend the debates.
That said, who the fuck knows what happens on Monday...
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Hills up by 6, apparently Donald is doing himself no favors by inviting her husbands lover to attend the debates.
That said, who the fuck knows what happens on Monday...
I've shipped the whole $3k Druff can confirm.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
why do u keep harassing me? u said it was ok if I waited till druff had ur 3k which he has not come close to confirming
I found this on 2p2. A must watch imo.
AHH the good old days.....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gFZ-1EojoFM
There is a PM function. Try it.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerI've shipped the whole $3k Druff can confirm.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Shut it down you fucking wine headQuote:
Originally Posted by DraymondThere is a PM function. Try it.Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
If Trump can get all "dem bitches" to come along it'd be well worth it.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
I hate this video because it takes Trump way out of context.
He says enough actual outrageous things that it shouldn't be necessary to make misleading videos which intentionally change the meaning of what he was saying.
Shit like this is why so many people are getting distrustful of the left.
Both sides do it and it is disgusting.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffQuote:
Originally Posted by big dick
I hate this video because it takes Trump way out of context.
He says enough actual outrageous things that it shouldn't be necessary to make misleading videos which intentionally change the meaning of what he was saying.
Shit like this is why so many people are getting distrustful of the left.
Not one person will watch that and not know the meaning, where on the Right, over half his supporters "were" questioning if Obama was even born here.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffQuote:
Originally Posted by big dick
I hate this video because it takes Trump way out of context.
He says enough actual outrageous things that it shouldn't be necessary to make misleading videos which intentionally change the meaning of what he was saying.
Shit like this is why so many people are getting distrustful of the left.
Comparing the RW conspiracy theories w/the "distrustful" left is absurd.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7325716.html
really interesting interview with allan lichtman, the guy who put together a key based prediction system to determine the presidential election outcomes since 1984.
the media, of course, is fixating on his key results, which predict trump, but when you actually ask allan to explain it, he points out that his own system likely doesnt even apply to this election because trump is in literal terms the least emotionally stable, intelligent, grounded 'candidate' in the history of our democracy, by a previously inconceivable margin.
Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/.../?tid=pm_pop_b
Quote:
Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner.
And this year, he says, Donald Trump is the favorite to win.
http://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/att...1&d=1462458388
Not blaming you but always find these headlines from media ridiculous. 30 years he's been correct. But wait that's 8 elections. And half of those weren't even close which makes it about 4/4 correct. And even then you have Bush/Gore which was pretty much a tie... So he is what like 3/3? It's like those dogs that predict superbowl wins...Quote:
Originally Posted by TheXFactor
Not saying that the guy doesn't know what he's doing but anyone with a basic knowledge of statistics sees his record means nothing.
I also would bet there are probably 100 000s of people in USA who have correctly predicted the last 8 elections... Hell I would expect millions
so i post an interview where lichtman effectively invalidates his own predictive model and you two want to sit here and argue about whether or not some media clickbait about lichtman's predictive model is accurate?
thats some prime pfa right there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
More pepe less lichtman
Missouri gave its EVs to the winner of every election for about 12 elections in a row or something like that and the pundits all said whichever way Missouri is going that's the way the election is going. Then Missouri didn't vote for Obama and he won anyway. People who don't understand statistics trying to claim any random but coincidental pattern is a trend are retards.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Just when you thought you couldn't get any worse regarding the email thing: http://observer.com/2016/09/the-fbi-...te-was-a-sham/
If that story is true, it's pretty damning, and I don't mean for Hillary.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
Or you can talk to people who know law and recognize that there was no case worth prosecuting.. But yeah a site that claims "Clinton’s Complete Lack of a Funny Bone Could Cost Her Monday’s Debate" and
"Hillary Clinton is one angry comment away from being the SNL parody of herself" and that all this is hurting her while "shes behind the polls" is certainly one way to find conclusions online otherwise rejected by sane, well adjusted people.
I guess we shouldn't be surprised the conservative movement was taken over by a con man. Their poster boy is also a con man.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/0...payback-228651
Friends, it simply doesn't get much better than this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_qBjmvywYs
i feel like krypt looks and behaves in public like a young ted cruz
And by that you mean crackheads that vote 3 times.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
Or you can talk to people who know law and recognize that there was no case worth prosecuting.. But yeah a site that claims "Clinton’s Complete Lack of a Funny Bone Could Cost Her Monday’s Debate" and
"Hillary Clinton is one angry comment away from being the SNL parody of herself" and that all this is hurting her while "shes behind the polls" is certainly one way to find conclusions online otherwise rejected by sane, well adjusted people.
Was Dr Smith on Lost in Space gay?Quote:
Originally Posted by lol wow
sonatine is basically always sunny danny devito but way less successful so please calm down nerd in taking him seriously
Sonatine uses his forum philanthropy as a weapon.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 4DragonsAnd by that you mean crackheads that vote 3 times.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
Sure, thats what's wrong with your life. Got it.
http://i.imgur.com/6VMavaZ.png
young jace where are you on the finale of vice principals and vin scully going out with a walk off you sacramento desert rat
have not watched a single ep and i hear its just dreadful.
im sure ill give in eventually and check it out and be like NOT BAD but for now its on the backest burner.
lol at you being too dumb to watch vice principals which is probably the greatest show on tv
hashtag jace at work http://img2.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb2...uter_virus.jpg
obviously 4dragons can scribble a beard in to cover tines skin issues
As long as you're not trying to tell yourself that you are among those well adjusted people, we're good.Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatineQuote:
Originally Posted by 4Dragons
Sure, thats what's wrong with your life. Got it.
http://i.imgur.com/6VMavaZ.png
for the record tines cocaine and alcohol use have forced him into internet addiction
DESCRIBED AS A LACK OF A CONTROL he continues to use despite impaired sleep
I always hated Cruz more than any of the other gop clowns. What a hypocrite. No wonder his daughter won't give daddy a kiss, he prob has been playing with her privates, fucking pedo looking piece of shit.Quote:
Originally Posted by ToasterOven
sounds like an angry nerd projecting his own deficiencies
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToasterOven
That's pretty funny given the circumstances, but as the article notes, it's pretty standard practice. These campaigns go way into debt and selling their data is pretty much their only possible source of revenue. The good news is that it allows small businesses like caterers to get paid when they would otherwise get stiffed. In a common sense-based world, campaigns would not be allowed to go into debt. But that obviously won't happen.
The part I found fascinating is that the original campaign gets to keep 60% of the donations, with only 40% going to the campaign that the donation was actually intended for.
Got hongkonger's $3k escrow btw
Thanks for confirming Druff.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sidedish, time to ship.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 1m1 minute ago
Last 6 polls in Colorado, supposed "safe" state for Clinton:
Trump +1
Trump +4
Clinton +1
Clinton +2
Clinton +7
Trump +4
Nate Silver's Polls Plus, considered the most accurate FiveThirtyEight prediction, has Trump at 48.5%. I'm pretty sure that's his peak so far in the model.
The Nowcast has Trump 54.9% to Shillary 45.1%, meaning he actually thinks Trump would win, based on the math, if the election were held today.