Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
Getting away from the idiotic politicking here....
The deaths in the US spiked up for the last 2 days after trending down for the previous two days.
Unless the data is wrong or delayed, it looks like the last two days have been the worst we've seen, both with over 2400 deaths from 5pm to 5pm PDT.
(This is according to worldometers.)
Now, I realize that this number might simply mean a peak of infections 2-3 weeks ago, but that's still a bit odd because the social distancing started about a month ago,
This could mean one of a few things:
1) The true peak of infections was about a month ago, and there were a lot of people hanging on by a thread for 2 weeks or so, before dying over the past 2 days
-or-
2) The social distancing isn't working as well as we thought
-or-
3) The last two days contain some retroactive reporting of deaths which previously occurred on other days, such as the people found dead in their homes
One good sign, if the numbers are accurate, is that worldometers reports only an increase of 14 "serious/critical" cases in the past 24 hours! That's a bit hard to believe, and maybe there's some error or reporting lag there, but it would be great if the number of serious cases has gone way down. That would mean we will see a hugely reduced death rate by the end of April.