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All he has to do is win all of them and not lose any of "his" states. Oh is that all??? EZPZQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
He isn't winning MI, VA, or PA.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
However, as I have noted a few times this week, he can win without any of those states.
If he takes CO, NV, NC, OH, FL, GA, IA, and AZ, he will likely win. Before you say this is a longshot, keep in mind that he is ahead or virtually tied in all of these states in the latest polls.
:lol
Lol why are u guys acting like u know everything again all of a sudden, nobody learned a lesson?? Re-read the thread, whose predictions are the most credible??
THANK YOU
Yours of courseQuote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
:eyeroll
Abrown?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Lol what?!?!? I took care of him in the other thread, he didn't bother to show up hereQuote:
Originally Posted by big dickAbrown?Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Hongkonger u ship the 3 large yet
Winning 8 coin flips in a row is never easy.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffHe isn't winning MI, VA, or PA.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
However, as I have noted a few times this week, he can win without any of those states.
If he takes CO, NV, NC, OH, FL, GA, IA, and AZ, he will likely win. Before you say this is a longshot, keep in mind that he is ahead or virtually tied in all of these states in the latest polls.
Not that its going to matter to anyone who hasnt already decided to give all the shits in the world, but the Hillary email situation is about to blow up again:
https://nakedsecurity.sophos.com/201...deleted-email/
Remember obama laughing at "conspiracy theories" that said the vote would be "rigged"?
https://youtu.be/MzFdMy4gIdQ
http://mobile.wnd.com/2016/08/homela...-of-elections/
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Homeland Security looks to take charge of elections
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The Obama administration’s Department of Homeland Security is contemplating a special declaration that will allow it to control America’s elections, according to a new report.
The federal agency would declare the election a “critical infrastructure” in such a case, the Washington Examiner reported Tuesday, noting the move would give DHS “the same control over security it has over Wall Street and and the electric power grid.”
The news comes just two days after the FBI revealed foreign hackers broke into state election systems in Illinois and Arizona.
According to the Examiner, those attacks increase the likelihood of DHS making the special declaration in time for the upcoming election.
“We should carefully consider whether our election system, our election process, is critical infrastructure like the financial sector, like the power grid,” Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson said.
“There’s a vital national interest in our election process, so I do think we need to consider whether it should be considered by my department and others critical infrastructure,” he said at media conference in August hosted by the Christian Science Monitor.
DHS currently has a security role in 16 facets of critical infrastructure. Other sectors may reveal what DHS and Johnson would have planned for election oversight.
“There are 16 critical infrastructure sectors whose assets, systems, and networks, whether physical or virtual, are considered so vital to the United States that their incapacitation or destruction would have a debilitating effect on security, national economic security, national public health or safety, or any combination thereof,” DHS state on its website.
If this happens, the DHS will be overseeing all precincts.
The secretary of the DHS that was appointed by obama and has already expressed his dislike/bias of Donald Trump because of his perception on Trump's stance on Muslims.
Obama says the US government does not oversee the election process, then a few weeks later the government wants to step in? Is this not hypocritical?
Quote:
Originally Posted by sonatine
https://archive.is/0UtmU
http://i.imgur.com/Mkt4Qy5.jpg
Im guessing the only reason that guy got hired is because he was the only guy to pass the piss test.
Druff and I are PMing about it. If PayPal won't work I may just end up sending a check but will post a pic of it so you don't have to wait for it to arrive before you ship.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
+170 now
hit +150 and then +160 and back on the decline/thread
It's called the road to -400 and hc is drivingQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
Elizabeth Warren is the NUT LOW
Act early since you are omniscient and book with me for +300?Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickIt's called the road to -400 and hc is drivingQuote:
Originally Posted by chinamaniac
How bout you man up and bet me @ -200. That is much higher than you will get at any book.Im offering you above market price.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendAct early since you are omniscient and book with me for +300?Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
.Up to 10k.You have till midnight cst.
You will just say no though because you are a shit talking pussy.
Trump is +175 on bovada and +170 on sportsbook.ag.
+ 200 is a fucking steal
SCAM MUCH??Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerDruff and I are PMing about it. If PayPal won't work I may just end up sending a check but will post a pic of it so you don't have to wait for it to arrive before you ship.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickHow bout you man up and bet me @ -200. That is much higher than you will get at any book.Im offering you above market price.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
.Up to 10k.You have till midnight cst.
You will just say no though because you are a shit talking pussy.
Shit talker? You must be stupid.
Get off the internet and particularly this site and thread.
You live on here thinking it will make a difference if you are persistent.
But before you go put your money where your big mouth is.
Its now Clinton 56, Trump 44 on Nate. Rumor has it, Clinton camp has given up on Nevada, OH, Iowa. They will spend a few more bucks on NC and FL before conceding those states.
The focus is going to shift to Colorado and NH. If either of those states shift after the debate Monday, the rust belt will collapse to Trump in landslide fashion.
Hillary needs a stellar performance Monday in the debates or a Trump collapse Monday, if not its over.
Don't take my word for it though just take the guy who called 49/50 in 2008 and 50/50 in 2012.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo
GfyQuote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by big dick
Shit talker? You must be stupid.
Get off the internet and particularly this site and thread.
You live on here thinking it will make a difference if you are persistent.
But before you go put your money where your big mouth is.
That dog and pony show on Friday with the veterans that ended with his birther statement really hurt Trump. Every rolling poll with that day forward breaks back her way. Monmouth is the gold standard of all polls. Hillary +5 in Florida, while less than previous poll, is still a super solid lead. Without Florida and Pa, it's game over. Without a winning debate or more health issues from her, Friday afternoon before that press conference may have been his high water mark.
Druff,Quote:
Originally Posted by Draymond
Please unban Tyde for the debate; the live commentary will be lit
Wow, you really took things like hook line and sinker.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Nobody outside the political junkies watched Trump's news conference Friday. You really think "news spread"? Really? I have lots of friends, and nobody gives a shit about FOX, CNN or MSNBC, they have kids and are just not interested. They will watch for the debate this Monday though and then make their decision.
538 stripped out Monmouth today, and took the raw rata. Florida, as it stands now is a convincing Trump lead. You really think Ohio will be a Trump rout and Clinton will win Florida? Wrong planet.
Could change after the debate, but you are cherry picking polls right now.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo
ITS OVER FOLKS, U JUST DONT KNOW IT YET
u really think Hillary is gonna be president of a bunch of ppl she called deplorable? The world doesn't work that way. It was decided long before she had that gaffe
figure it out libtards, pull it together now so u can console others when the time comes
:lol2Quote:
Originally Posted by Draymond
Were you the guy back in the day that used to take pictures of his girl with her face obscured to make a point she had some decent body? Was that you? I can't remember. If yes, you are probably the most insecure douche on this site. If not you are still a massive douche, just not insecure.Quote:
Originally Posted by Muck Ficon:lol2Quote:
Originally Posted by Draymond
Yeah....totally insecure....I'm going to Perth next month. I have 250k in the bank.Quote:
Originally Posted by DraymondWere you the guy back in the day that used to take pictures of his girl with her face obscured to make a point she had some decent body? Was that you? I can't remember. If yes, you are probably the most insecure douche on this site. If not you are still a massive douche, just not insecure.Quote:
Originally Posted by Muck Ficon
I remember you now. I forgot, I just bumped your legacy thread to remind everyone what a poser you are. Carry on pal, no more responses from me. You WIN!Quote:
Originally Posted by Muck FiconYeah....totally insecure....I'm going to Perth next month. I have 250k in the bank.Quote:
Originally Posted by Draymond
Lol. I go to Red Lobster...and get the Lobster, while my friends can't afford it. I need 15 different screen names because I get so drunk I can't remember my passwords. I'm a big deal.Quote:
Originally Posted by DraymondI remember you now. I forgot, I just bumped your legacy thread to remind everyone what a poser you are. Carry on pal, no more responses from me. You WIN!Quote:
Originally Posted by Muck Ficon
How can I be scamming if the money is going through Druff? What's the worst that could happen, the check is bad? Then you get your escrowed money back. Even under your revised terms I am perfectly comfortable making this bet. I've never scammed anyone.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishSCAM MUCH??Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
BCR: basically zero Hispanic population in Ohio is big difference for wall guy. Only chance in Florida is Scott wants Trump to win, whereas Kasich wants him to lose. Governors decide how long lines will be
God I love John Kasich. I'm sure he will make another boneheaded decision that ends up helping Trump. Only a guy like him would stay in the race after he was mathematically eliminated (times 10) and ensure they wouldn't be able to force through Cruz through at the convention.
He may go down in history as the biggest Golly Gee Putz ever who unwittingly helped MAGA...or destroy it??? who knows, lets gamble, idk why we wouldn't win
.
http://i.imgur.com/0fReFUw.jpg
Quote:
Originally Posted by hongkongerHow can I be scamming if the money is going through Druff? What's the worst that could happen, the check is bad? Then you get your escrowed money back. Even under your revised terms I am perfectly comfortable making this bet. I've never scammed anyone.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedish
lol what? the worst thing that u suggested is actually pretty bad, I miss out on 3k and I only get 500 back that was mine that I could maybe use more today, that's a dbl fail
So don't ship until the check clears. However I am trying to figure out with Druff how to do it quicker. Is there a limit to how much you can send by Paypal? I don't know why I can't just Paypal.Quote:
Originally Posted by thesidedishQuote:
Originally Posted by hongkonger
lol what? the worst thing that u suggested is actually pretty bad, I miss out on 3k and I only get 500 back that was mine that I could maybe use more today, that's a dbl fail
If election held today
Here go ahead and mock Nate Silver. He is just another right winger who don't know shit. Joke will be on him!!
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 54m54 minutes ago
Never seen otherwise-smart people in so much denial about something as they are about Trump's chances. Same mistake as primaries, Brexit.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 28m28 minutes ago
It's not just 538. Simple, relatively assumption-free polling averages, such as RCP and @TPM, also show a very close race.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 33m33 minutes ago
…but people spend a lot of time denying & cherry-picking their way around the 1-2 points part, which suggests they're not thinking clearly.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 35m35 minutes ago
If your premise is "Clinton's only 1-2 points ahead right now, but she's a fairly heavy favorite despite that…", I'll hear your case out…
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 39m39 minutes ago
Can you invent an alternate set of assumptions wherein Clinton is a heavy favorite? Sure. But that's despite the polls, not because of them.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 44m44 minutes ago
The best (empirically) set of assumptions apart from the polls, that elections are driven by economic conditions, ALSO suggest a close race.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 50m50 minutes ago
Our forecast has it close right now, with Clinton as the narrow favorite, because that's what the polls show. It's as simple as that.
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 3m3 minutes ago
To put it another way, the burden of proof should be on people who DON'T show a competitive race, because that requires MORE assumptions.
DENIAL. You Socialists are in such denial.Quote:
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 2m2 minutes ago
Instead, there are a lot of *implicit* and *unexamined* assumptions that the race will shift back to Clinton. That's dangerous.
Where are these high profile people that he's addressing? Like, I don't see anyone on even the liberal news stations not petrified that Trump is drawing extremely alive.
Is he addressing nerds in his Twitter feed or something? Hillary's own campaign manager said it's extremely close.
Everybody thinks she's a few points up.
About the only advantage to being a few points up is if you screw up debates and drop 4 points, then you're only a few points down, as opposed to 5 or 6 points down.
He's totally thin-skinned or strawmanning arguments for clicks.
Been bored outta my mind lately.
Last night I chanced into watching the last half of "All the Presidents Men". Dustin Hoffman & Robert Redford do Watergate.
Nixon feared running against Muskie or Ted Kennedy and engaged in some gamesmanship with the help of the FBI and CIA to arrange a heads up game with extremist McGovern. A landslide victory resulted. If the boys weren't so sloppy at the Watergate this woulda just been politics as usual.
I was, of course, searching for modern day parallels. The obv is the common comparison in temperament between Nixon and HRC.
Started thinking about the 70's being the last days of the working class and Trumps appeal to the disaffected white former middle class. The precariat. Interesting and ironic bookends.
Inspired, I trolled around a bit and landed on the fact that Hillary's first job in Washington a year out of law school was the House Judiciary Committee on Watergate. Her boyfriend Bill Clinton turned down the gig and she booked it.
Her introduction to beltway politics had Nixonian roots. Priceless!
She was perhaps the first person to put on the headphones and listen to Nixon's tapes as he strategized his spin and defense. Dear god.
Watch the first 2 minutes of the video in link below. This guy Tannenhaus is very entertaining. New York Times book review guy. Very sharp. Youtubed some other stuff like Vidal Buckley debates he riffed about. Only Krypt would appreciate his other stuff.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/fe...illary-clinton
Still pumped a day later. I found a new rabbit hole. Boredom cured.
My gut tells me that the mainstream media has beat up on Hillary enough for now to make the race tighter, but Trump has given them the material here to turn their knives on him for awhile. Agreed that Trump may have peaked for now.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Mark my words, the market is gonna sell off like a mofo if the threat becomes real. Ironically, this will just further benefit Trump as it did at the beginning of the year.
You might be standing at the edge of a cliff.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ons/polls.html
We both believe in the charts Mumbles. Has he broken above resistance? Are we forming a cup and handle breakout off a W pattern?
I choose to wait and see and pile on.