*** OFFICIAL *** MLB 2024 Thread

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Sanlmar

I have enough trouble sorting my thoughts .. now this … guilty of negligence for not paying any mind to tempo in the pitch clock era - if only for entertainment value. I will take a look in the next couple of days.

Here is Logan Allen
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leade...tDirection=asc

Tell ya what isn’t hard to sort… each night I check bullpen usage and if Cleveland is okay I autobet the most profitable team in baseball. I caught -132 last night. You simply can’t wait

Of course, I trademarked “Americas Team ™” early on this year. ( all due respect to the Injuns) Royals are another atm.

Somewhere out there Sizzle is enjoying his spring

On ‘em both. Someone should run the pitch clock on how long it takes me to place those two bets on most days. These are decisions that trigger no tears if they lose cause I’m gonna be right back on them the next day most likely.

Two wholesome programs in America’s heartland in a sport with no salary cap.

---

Thank God for the Royals to grab an afternoon split. Top 3 in that division has won like 20 straight. Fun to be in an early pennant race with teams not hovering at.500. We’ve won 7 straight and I feel like I’ve been looking at 1.5 and 6.5 games back for a week with Royals and Twins.

That’s what I was looking for. Now I have to sort by run support and runs scored when they were pitching. Fun homework.

I feel like I don’t even have to mention the Tribe at this point. I know we are both on them. The tribe bullpen is ready tonight. We even let Ayla out of his cage to pitch to rest our real pitchers with an early 10 spot last night.

---

After being busy last few days and basically just getting Twins updates on my phone, i just looked at standings. Still 6.5. Fucking hell. Literally 20 games in a row now for tribe/kc/twins

22 if you add detroit

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by gut

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Thank God for the Royals to grab an afternoon split. Top 3 in that division has won like 20 straight. Fun to be in an early pennant race with teams not hovering at.500. We’ve won 7 straight and I feel like I’ve been looking at 1.5 and 6.5 games back for a week with Royals and Twins.

That’s what I was looking for. Now I have to sort by run support and runs scored when they were pitching. Fun homework.

I feel like I don’t even have to mention the Tribe at this point. I know we are both on them. The tribe bullpen is ready tonight. We even let Ayla out of his cage to pitch to rest our real pitchers with an early 10 spot last night.

---

After being busy last few days and basically just getting Twins updates on my phone, i just looked at standings. Still 6.5. Fucking hell. Literally 20 games in a row now for tribe/kc/twins

22 if you add detroit

---

Had we simply bet a 3 team parlay for the last week and rolled it over, we’d all be banned from our sports book and not even care.

Down to +370. Pushing my luck.

Single
@
+370
Open
May 26 • 2024 At 03:40:47 PM
Ticket ID: 73293751
Player to Hit a Home Run - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramirez, Jose - Yes
CLE Guardians @ LA Angels

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Down to +370. Pushing my luck.

Single
@
+370
Open
May 26 • 2024 At 03:40:47 PM
Ticket ID: 73293751
Player to Hit a Home Run - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramirez, Jose - Yes
CLE Guardians @ LA Angels

---

This close to winning HR prop 3 days in a row

Embedded Tweet

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Down to +370. Pushing my luck.

Single
@
+370
Open
May 26 • 2024 At 03:40:47 PM
Ticket ID: 73293751
Player to Hit a Home Run - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramirez, Jose - Yes
CLE Guardians @ LA Angels

---

This close to winning HR prop 3 days in a row

Embedded Tweet

---

I’ll give him one more shot given it’s Colorado.

I got even greedier as HR prop is even lower.

Parlay (2 Picks)
@
+510
0 of 2 settled
May 27 • 2024 At 11:40:28 AM
Ticket ID: 73319290
Player to Hit a Home Run - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramirez, Jose - Yes
CLE Guardians @ COL Rockies
Moneyline: CLE Guardians
CLE Guardians @ COL Rockies

I get the bullpen question and Cleveland on extended road trip angle, but Colorado is really bad. I’m surprised at -115 for this game. I’m on that obviously.

I like Curry. He generally comes out and throws well in all these spot start situations. Can’t go deep though into game and bullpen is a little spent, just a little though. Sandlin hasn't pitched, Clase can go 3 straight if necessary, and Herrin and Gaddis didn’t pitch yesterday. Cade smith has been unhittable lately if they use him to close. Bullpen is deep.

Little mix of game and first 5.


KC at Twins is interesting, but don’t see a play.
I went over 8.5 -115 on White Sox/Jays last night when it opened. Now 9.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by BCR

This close to winning HR prop 3 days in a row

Embedded Tweet

---

I’ll give him one more shot given it’s Colorado.

I got even greedier as HR prop is even lower.

Parlay (2 Picks)
@
+510
0 of 2 settled
May 27 • 2024 At 11:40:28 AM
Ticket ID: 73319290
Player to Hit a Home Run - Including Extra Innings (Listed player must be in starting lineup for bets to stand): Ramirez, Jose - Yes
CLE Guardians @ COL Rockies
Moneyline: CLE Guardians
CLE Guardians @ COL Rockies

I get the bullpen question and Cleveland on extended road trip angle, but Colorado is really bad. I’m surprised at -115 for this game. I’m on that obviously.

I like Curry. He generally comes out and throws well in all these spot start situations. Can’t go deep though into game and bullpen is a little spent, just a little though. Sandlin hasn't pitched, Clase can go 3 straight if necessary, and Herrin and Gaddis didn’t pitch yesterday. Cade smith has been unhittable lately if they use him to close. Bullpen is deep.

Little mix of game and first 5.


KC at Twins is interesting, but don’t see a play.
I went over 8.5 -115 on White Sox/Jays last night when it opened. Now 9.

---

Contrary to popular belief, Coors is actually NOT a great park for homers.

Altitude, of course, but it's also absolutely cavernous. The extra run scoring there comes from more doubles and triples (again due to its ginormous dimensions) and also from lazy fly balls that are cans of corn in other ballparks falling in front of outfielders because they have to play so deep. There were at least a half dozen of those in today's game alone.

Angel Hernandez finally retiring. Should have been fired long ago.

Quote:

---

"Starting with my first Major League game in 1991, I have had the very good experience of living out my childhood dream of umpiring in the major leagues," Hernández said in a statement,

---

What a dream, nerd. He is literally going to be the excuse....and rightfully so....when the robot umps take over.

Dodgers have lost 5 in a row, including a weekend sweep in Cincinnati.

They were supposed to play yesterday, but got rained out.

It's been 5 years since they lost 5 straight.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by gut

Angel Hernandez finally retiring. Should have been fired long ago.

Quote:

---

"Starting with my first Major League game in 1991, I have had the very good experience of living out my childhood dream of umpiring in the major leagues," Hernández said in a statement,

---

What a dream, nerd. He is literally going to be the excuse....and rightfully so....when the robot umps take over.

---

That’s good news. Theirs is going to be a gambling scandal eventually though that is the reason for robot umps. I’ve known 2 MLB umps. Wally Bell I knew well. Nice kid. Got arrogant and was a drunk. He was probably 5 years older than me and has been dead for a decade.

The other I’ve just met in passing is Brian O’nora. He got swept up in a human trafficking sting and also charged with possession of criminal instruments, which I assume is drugs or a gun or something. It’s not like he’s out stealing catalytic converters.

Most people get fired for something like that. It wasn’t even out on the road. He did it around the corner from his wife and kids. That’s really bad judgment. These guys put themselves in spots where it’s only a matter of time until they run into a cop or hooker who has some connections or even understands gambling and offers to save them public humiliation for a strikeout prop. If I knew a hooker who was with an MLB ump, I’m going to blackmail him for a wide strikezone.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Dodgers have lost 5 in a row, including a weekend sweep in Cincinnati.

They were supposed to play yesterday, but got rained out.

It's been 5 years since they lost 5 straight.

---

And they still have a 5 game lead in the lol West.

Sigh..

Tribe has batting practice the first game I don’t have my Jose HR prop. Almost had two again.
This Fry has been really good. Hitting .360,7 HRs, roughy 25 RBIs in under 100AB. Josh had 2 and both looked like he was in pain. I think he’s nursing something. Never seen a kid less happy to hit 2 HRs? Groin maybe? Doesn’t look right. Kwan back in week.


Hell of a pitching matchup in Detroit. First 5 under? Unfortunately this is really early start and I’m still hedging. Don’t trust the bullpens.


I promised myself I was going to bet ML and over next Logan Allen appearance, but o11 is hard to bet when they aren’t playing in Mexico City.

Twins with a nice few days. The division games are going settle this thing. We get KC coming up. Glad Minn giving Tribe a little cushion.

I sprinkled Padres last night World Series winner +5500

There is an argument to be made that the Padres could be a great tournament team. They have the bats & the pitching. If they are in playoff contention I’m sure ownership will spend.

The idea is trending and I missed the best number while thinking about it

Tucupita Marcano might be banned from baseball for betting on games involving his team (the Pirates) last year:

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/...lb-ban-betting


He's 24, and so far his stay in the Majors was unimpressive, as he has a career .569 OPS. But that might be it.

https://x.com/PitchingNinja/status/1798486667973611977

https://x.com/MLB/status/1798498527276126706

The Phillies, Braves, Brewers, and Dodgers are the only four NL teams (out of 15) over .500. One (Cubs) is .500, the other 10 are below .500.

Interestingly, despite the salary disparities, parity is somewhat happening otherwise. Of the 30 MLB teams, only the White Sox, A's, Angels, Marlins, Mets, Nationals and Rockies are more than 4 games under .500. That means 23 out of 30 teams are 4 under .500 or better.

However, aside from the AL West, each division has a strong team on top. Yankees are 23 above .500, Indians 20, Phillies 23, Brewers 10, and Dodgers 13.

Dead in this thread since we lost San

Anyway, Phillies about to get Luis Robert.

Who knew they’d have the best NL record halfway through?

I missed it, what happened to Sanlamar?

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by FRANKRIZZO

I missed it, what happened to Sanlamar?

---

https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...cammers-Slongs

Oh right nikki pipes thought san would just shrug that off

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Dead in this thread since we lost San

Anyway, Phillies about to get Luis Robert.

Who knew they’d have the best NL record halfway through?

---

:scalir


Where did you hear this? I'm sure the Phillies would love to acquire him, they seemingly lack the ammo to do so though. They have 1 elite prospect, Andrew Painter, who legit could be like a Skenes right off the bat. Of course, "right off the bat" was supposed to be last year until his elbow barked in spring training and he hasn't pitched since.

Their 2nd best prospect, also a pitcher, is currently walking 6.5/9 in AAA, with a similar ERA.

Robert should fetch close to the haul Washington got for Soto, as Robert has an extra year of control. I don't think he gets moved at all, at least this season.

Painter already had a TJ surgery, so it's hard to compare him to Skenes, despite his past potential.

Either way, he's not pitching until 2025 minimum.

I heard about Luis Robert from a reporter on Twitter who is usually accurate. The problem is he never stays healthy (except last year), and he's off to a bad start so far in 2024. I do see he hasn't moved yet, so perhaps that report was wrong.

Betts broken hand.

Where is San when we need him??

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by simpdog

Betts broken hand.

Where is San when we need him??

---

Yo Simpdog. Don’t you dare text me unless you have some thoughts regarding game 5 of the Cup and/or the Conn Smythe.

Hi, my name is Mark Prior. I blew out my arm but I want to manage your trillion dollar pitching staff.

Embedded Tweet

See Baseball Savant data below. So here you have Yamamoto in his last outing vs Yankees cranking it up to 11. Red is counterintuitive - just look at the UP arrow. He hasn’t pitched this velo this year. To compound matters Mark Prior leaves Yammy in for 106 pitches which is the most this year, needless to say.

Following the Yankees marathon outing Yamamoto complains of arm tightness. Dodgers bump his next start back a day. Yammy complains during his KCR pregame bullpen. Prior pats him on his butt and tells him to “go get ‘em”.

Yamamoto’s velocity was down to around 93 vs KCR before he was yanked. Something that might have been noticed in the bullpen prior to the game or side sessions if Prior wasn’t playing Wordle on his phone.

So it’s announced that Yamamoto has a rotator cuff issue and they are shutting him down. You may not see Yamamoto the rest of the season. Truly incredible

Kershaw is getting close so everything be fine.

Then there is Betts. I had forecast here that Betts would never make the full season. However, I envisioned an injury in the field brought about by his new position. You can’t fault Andrew Friedman for Betts getting hit by pitch.

Betts was a below average shortstop. He was not the shortstop you’d find on a World Series contending team. I’ve gone on and on over the years about Andrew Friedman futzing around with shortstop. I mocked him over the years for believing Lux was the guy.

If any good comes of this - it just might light a fire under Fraudman’s ass to get a deal done. You can drive Bo Bichette to the airport Simpdog.

One byproduct of the laughable 3rd wildcard and the pointless regular season is that every team thinks they are a playoff contender. Mainly cause they are. Even the Blue Jays. So Friedman is gonna plug in some .200 hitting solution in there - one for LHP and another for RHP or he’s gonna unload a kings ransom for Bichette. Jays should take it. It’s over in Toronto. Dodgers should get Toronto to throw in an arm. Friedman can prolly get Bassitt to last 50 innings until he too detonates.



Dodgers are annually proclaimed the greatest team in the history of baseball. I got stamina baby.

if sal was a baseball team he'd be the milwaukee jewers

i think were allowed to be openly anti semetic now right

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by lol wow

i think were allowed to be openly anti semetic now right

---

You think my attacks on Friedman are about performance and not antisemitism?

I invented L’Chiam Bloom (Fraudman’s protege in Boston)

Rockies +148 (FD) v Todgers. Push the button

I saw Simp's post last night and I thought "forget Betts, San has to have seen the Prior/Yoshi video". I laid off posting it.

1 import down for the Skenes lottery ticket. Can Prior be traded to the cubs? Be a nice homecoming for all of us.

I can't argue with any of San's reasoning. Even as a Dodgers fan. Why they weren't more carefully handling their 12-year, $360m investment is beyond me. Welcome back, btw.

Dodgers getting two very quick and expenses punches to the gut. Yamamoto and Betts will be out a long time. Maybe Betts comes back in August.

They're getting Bobby Miller back, but who knows if he will even be the same?


Fortunately the Dodgers are in a slap nut division (copyright Sanlmar), so its more a matter of what they'll do in the playoffs.

And for the record, I thought Mookie at SS was always stupid.

Shota got shelled for 10 runs in 3 innings vs the Mets, of all teams.

:yes

Shota's charmed MLB life appears to be over

Last 5 starts:

5/29: 4.1 IP, 7 ER
6/04: 4.1 IP, 5 runs (1 earned)
6/09: 6.2 IP, 2 ER
6/15: 7.0 IP, 1 ER
6/21: 3.0 IP, 10 ER

So basically 3 of the last 5 starts have been bad.

His ERA is now almost 3. Yamamoto now has a slightly better ERA and WHIP. Of course, Yamamoto will be out awhile, if not the rest of the season.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

I can't argue with any of San's reasoning. Even as a Dodgers fan. Why they weren't more carefully handling their 12-year, $360m investment is beyond me. Welcome back, btw.

Dodgers getting two very quick and expenses punches to the gut. Yamamoto and Betts will be out a long time. Maybe Betts comes back in August.

They're getting Bobby Miller back, but who knows if he will even be the same?


Fortunately the Dodgers are in a slap nut division (copyright Sanlmar), so its more a matter of what they'll do in the playoffs.

And for the record, I thought Mookie at SS was always stupid.

---

Uh, maybe letting go of Corey Seager wasn’t such a good idea.

I opined earlier about Skenes having a DeGrom like entry to the bigs. Here's their first 7 starts:

Skenes:


DeGrom:


I forgot DeGrom didn't come in quite as "guns-a-blazing" as Skenes. He did get into a groove after and lower the ERA to 2.96 and win ROY.

Skenes now -125 on DK. Thoughts and prayers for his elbow.

@gut This is a fantastic origin story.

The Athletic staff writes so well. “when the curious began to inform the desperate” is the story’s theme.

Missing Bats: How an obsession with strikeouts upended the balance of baseball

https://archive.ph/HKuco

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by Sanlmar

@gut This is a fantastic origin story.

The Athletic staff writes so well. “when the curious began to inform the desperate” is the story’s theme.

Missing Bats: How an obsession with strikeouts upended the balance of baseball

https://archive.ph/HKuco

---

Great read.

Velocity, velocity, velocity. Nerds breaking pitchers arms. Article should have mentioned how McCullers is basically perma-injured now. Oh well, another kid can throw a 87mph knuckle curve for a couple years.

kind of a weird fact to me, Cardinals are now 40-37 with a -30 run differential....

Quote:

---

David USF: Hey rocket scientist, it means they've been blown out a lot.

---

huh.. no shit you fucking fag tard AIDS carrying mother fucker... they are also the only MLB team that is above .500 with a negative(-) run differential at the moment... i am also aware there have been teams in the past that actually made the playoffs with a negative run differential... don't hit yourself in the face too hard next time...ok...

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar

Quote:

---

David USF: Hey rocket scientist, it means they've been blown out a lot.

---

huh.. no shit you fucking fag tard AIDS carrying mother fucker... they are also the only MLB team that is above .500 with a negative(-) run differential at the moment... i am also aware there have been teams in the past that actually made the playoffs with a negative run differential... don't hit yourself in the face too hard next time...ok...

---

Yeah.

Run differential and Pythagorean records mean nothing really, especially if your garbage time relievers suck. A 6-0 deficit can quickly become 11-0.....then you let a position player pitch....etc

@bcr, this Tribe run should be the story of the year so for. Unbelievable how they are turning non-prospects into quality big leaguers.

Quote:

---

Originally Posted by gut

@bcr, this Tribe run should be the story of the year so for. Unbelievable how they are turning non-prospects into quality big leaguers.

---

Obviously a bad weekend, but a wonderful year. We need to make a move for a starter though even with Gavin Williams coming back. We’ve had a lot of decent years that were predicated on good starting pitching and defense. Weird to have a very good offense with a low salary team.

Bibbe and Lively have been great. The rest are a problem. Thank God our bullpen has been elite.

As an aside. I saw a viral TikTok come across Tribe Twitter. It was a baseball guy pondering whether the Royals are cheating and making the case they must be. I don’t think it was a Cleveland guy, but it was being shared on a weekend when they are kicking our ass at home.


You are probably aware of the home/away disparity as you’re more knowledgeable about baseball than I am. What do you make of them being the best average team and lowest strikeout team at home and being 29th on the road? Obviously most teams play better at home, but they are 6 games under on the road. I didn’t engage in the discussion because Cleveland is elite at home and have a pretty big disparity. but they still have winning road record and not some giant disparity in average and strikeouts.

Do you find it suspect or does every season have a team like that?