Fading or tailing?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
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Fading or tailing?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffFading or tailing?Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
depends. really will just cause me to either leave as is or go stronger. hope to tail.
I'm hot in the NBA. NFL... not so much.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
depends. really will just cause me to either leave as is or go stronger. hope to tail.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI'm hot in the NBA. NFL... not so much.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
figures. i followed one of your early nba bets, lost, and haven't tailed again...
Start wasn't very good but I've won 5 straight, including a +165 ML.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
figures. i followed one of your early nba bets, lost, and haven't tailed again...
But maybe I should thank you for not tailing, and Verm for not picking the same thing.
Edit: Not 5 straight. I lost that Minnesota one against the Lakers.. where a bunch of you tailed.
Took a pretty sick beat a couple hours ago. Not Rams-Eagles level sick, but pretty bad.
Cal is +6 vs Virginia. Virginia is up 3 with the ball around the Cal 15 yard line with 30 second left (Cal has used all its timeouts) and it is 4th and 2. They decide to go for it. So I just have to fade them scoring a TD. Ideally they get a first down and dont score and kneel down time. They dont get first down.
So now Cal has the ball around their own 15 with no timeouts and 30 seconds. Not really enough time to get in FG range with Cals lousy kicker where I have to sweat OT. So I just have to fade defensive TD.
And yep, you guessed it. Defensive TD and game set match.
Kalem, you should offer to live bet Blue Jays. Let them have your PayPal
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
Why Yamamoto and not Sasaki?
I had Cal tooQuote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
I thought you had Yamamoto for MVP.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
I hope you did.
I said that he and Snell were best value when you asked, and Yamamoto was +3500.
Tella I hope you put down decent $$ on Yamamoto +3500.
That should easily eclipse what you stood to win on the Jays, right?
I regret not betting it after advising you to do so.
Did you follow your own tip?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI thought you had Yamamoto for MVP.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
I hope you did.
I said that he and Snell were best value when you asked, and Yamamoto was +3500.
:noQuote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarDid you follow your own tip?Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Somehow it slipped my mind. I didn't think, "I need to bet this", nor did I think, "I'm just gonna give advice but won't touch it."
I answered the question honestly, then didn't go to the next step and think, "If it's such good value, why am I not betting it?"
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffI thought you had Yamamoto for MVP.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
I hope you did.
I said that he and Snell were best value when you asked, and Yamamoto was +3500.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
put down enough on a long shot. wish i had done more. def covered the series bet. ready for tomorrow. let's get those pics.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto +3500
Odds to win World Series MVP
Ticket#918722524-5
StatusPending (MLB World Series MVP 0 - Odds to win World Series MVP 0)
Risk/Win$ 75.00 / $ 2,625.00
Game
MLB World Series MVP / Odds to win World Series MVP
Selection- 0 Not available
Scheduled--
AcceptedOct 22, 2025 12:12 AM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
NoteAll in - No Refunds (Other on Request)
I've gotta go out and do something right now, but I'll post some NFL later.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Ok... I guess it was much later.
Two NFL picks for me this week.
Atlanta +189 at New England - Penix is back, and Patriots have padded their record by beating the Dolphins, Titans, Browns, Saints, and Panthers -- and they even lost to the Raiders. They have had a cakewalk most of the way. Look for a Falcons bounceback after last week's humiliating defeat to the Dolphins.
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville - Under 44 - Raiders are averaging slightly more than 14 points per game, which is 2nd worst in the NFL. Jax will miss Travis Hill, and their offense has scuffled badly the last two games anyway. I don't know who is going to win this shitshow, but I can't picture this being a high scoring affair. Despite the Raiders giving up 180 points in 7 games, they're actually in the upper half in several defensive metrics.
FYI Polymarket has Atlanta at +203 right now
Vikings +10
Broncos +3
Titans +10
Chiefs -2
Maybe this will be the week that Druff finally realizes Drake Maye is an elite NFL QB.
The point about level of competition is valid. I think the computer is accounting for both sides of the argument if Maye was a Made QB at home this would be -7. If the Patriots were a paper tiger the computer would have no problem making the Falcons a slight fav on the road.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
Maye wins a few more with the 80% comp % the days of less than 7 will be gone.
No disagreement here, but it’s only a matter of when not if.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyThe point about level of competition is valid. I think the computer is accounting for both sides of the argument if Maye was a Made QB at home this would be -7. If the Patriots were a paper tiger the computer would have no problem making the Falcons a slight fav on the road.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
Maye wins a few more with the 80% comp % the days of less than 7 will be gone.
Damn, I have a shit ton of parlays and teasers with Chargers involved.
Down 14-7 giving up a special teams AND defense TD. Brutal.
Damnit, I lost this Falcons pick by 1 thanks to a late missed extra point.
Came back from down 24-14 and Parker Romo fucked it up. Such an irritating way to lose.
Even with that, they had the ball on NE 48 with over 2 min left, and Penix got an intentional grounding penalty, then threw 3 incomplete passes, and we were done. One fucking play away from getting into FG range and likely winning it.
Got burned for doing moneyline and not spread.
:fail3
He didn't look good in the second half, but they got away with it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sheesfaced
He did make a key pass at the end to get that first down which put an end to the Falcons' chance of getting the ball back once more.
I had enough faith in Maye to go with him last week on my only Survivor ticket, rather than the similarly-lined Bengals and Falcons, and I continued in the contest thanks to that.
At the same time, when the competition sucks, it's sometimes easy to look a lot better than you are -- in pretty much every game. I thought the Falcons were going to bounce back this week, especially with Penix back. They almost did. Just so retarded to miss that extra point in the late 4th after you've made a nice comeback to pull into what should be a tie.
Raiders under looks beautiful so far though. I realize it's only mid-2nd, but this one has zero offense just like I thought.
Last minute NBA.
Let time get away from me... oops
Philadelphia at Brooklyn - Under 233 -105
Charlotte +100 vs Utah
Charlotte/Utah - Under 233.5
Memphis +156 at Toronto
Memphis/Toronto - Under 239 -115
I am on other side of you in Toronto game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Time to sweat. I have raiders so we are both sweating Jags coming back.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Which part of it? The spread?Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI am on other side of you in Toronto game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
The Memphis +156 was my least favorite of my picks.
I can't believe how close this is. 0-0 through late 2nd and 15 points after 3, and it's fucking 23-20 when I have under 44.Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamTime to sweat. I have raiders so we are both sweating Jags coming back.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Really bad beat day in NFL for me if I lose both my picks.
I'm probably dead here. Awful. 27+ points in 4th quarter to screw me.
Looks like a good chance both of us are going to get Verm'd in that Raiders game. Terrible.
I need the NBA to salvage my day.
At halftime:
Charlotte ML looks like a lock
Charlotte under is a favorite to lose, but only a small favorite
Memphis under is a big favorite to win
Memphis ML is a big favorite to lose but not out of the question to win
Philly under is a favorite to lose
So looking like 2-3 or 3-2. Not gonna get it done for me, but maybe I'll get lucky.
I have Toronto ML. So far so good.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Brutal end to Raiders game. Geno should have run it in. He had a lane.
Teased Commanders and Over in SNF game.
Almost had 4-1 in the NBA. Annoyed.
222 points with 1:47 left in total trash time, yet somehow 13 points came in. Total bullshit. 13 in the final 1:47 is reasonable in a close game, but in a blowout this shouldn't happen. Lost by 2.
Also lost Memphis ML against Kalam, so congrats there.
Won the Charlotte +100 and the other two unders, though Jazz was fairly close (4.5 points).
3-2, and I take the slight profit here, but not enough to negate my 0-2 NFL which should've at least been 1-1 and maybe 2-0.
It is end of 3rd quarter in laker game, and lakers are up 4.
I have the following bets sweating.
Rui O13.5 points (he has 12)
Jaquez O3.5 assists (he has 3)
Heat +5
Lets go, go, go, go!!!
--Really hoping to go 2-1, but will live with 1-2. Will be soul crushing if go 0-3.
Edit: First shot of 4th quarter Rui misses a layup. Fuck. Its happening.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Forget MNF and its lol 54 total.
Let's do some NBA:
Detroit at Memphis - Under 236 -115 (235.5 -105 ok)
Got an extra half point on Polymarket, too (236.5 -113)
i hate posting here cuz its turbo jinx but i have mil for 300 utah for 300 cowboys for 100 and clippers under parlay for 100 we might get hot
:uhhuhQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Pretty much golden the entire way.
Even a lot of last minute scoring/fouling couldn’t derail it.