Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
Trump in bad shape.
Even if he wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina, and Nevada, plus carries all the states leaning Republican but not solid (Arizona, Georgia, Utah), he will still lose the election.
This is because he has fallen way behind in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Colorado.
So that's big trouble, because the strategy of "carry what Romney did in 2012, then win Ohio, Florida, and get 19 more electoral votes on top of that" is not going to work.
Even if he wins Ohio and Florida (which he probably won't), he's not going to score those extra 19. Just not enough states going his way to make it happen.