Cards just blew 1st and 3rd, 2-0 after 4.
Verlander is somehow pitching well despite the 121 pitches on August 31 at age 42. Amazing.
I'm hoping that Pallante is Pallante in the 5th.
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Cards just blew 1st and 3rd, 2-0 after 4.
Verlander is somehow pitching well despite the 121 pitches on August 31 at age 42. Amazing.
I'm hoping that Pallante is Pallante in the 5th.
We had the "right side" of Texas and Kansas. We going to be profitable today depending on how OU closes but it was almost a very memorable day.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
1. now i know why i also lost that game.
2. this just happened. which is really (somehow) worse. look at the play by play under 2 minutes and the situation. fuck....me
https://www.espn.com/college-footbal...ansas-missouri
and you know which side i had:
Kansas +6½ -108
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyI think OU waxes Michigan.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
I hope things go well early in day because I'll probably double down and then some on -5.
well done.
chicken dinner on me.
I had Over in the Kansas game, so smooth sailing by halftime. But yeah, pretty LOL Kansas couldn't even cover.
This one is in the weeds some, but had Charlotte +14.5 versus NC. They lost by 17, with a -3 turnover margin. So that one could have definitely gone better.
I actually had Kentucky +9 vs Ole Miss. And they covered by scoring a FG with 18 seconds left to only lose by 7. But I feel pretty much everyone is doing that move now (if you are down 9-10 points in the last 30 seconds of game, kick the FG and then try onside kick and Hail Mary), so not really a bad beat it went down that way.
Hawaii qb is out.
Degen U 1H 23.5
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Lesson 1,000,001 why if you like the under take the 1H and not game.
So go back 1-2-3-4-5-9 years ago and you will see my annual comments on betting the NFL. Its a tough rackett.
That risk being understood and accepted.
TB under 1H 23.5 money on over keeps coming in, total going down.
Browns +5.5 this bet feels so bad it has to be the right play
Colts -1 someone/some group must really like Colts. Maybe tua is hurt.
Jets +3 when i looked i said Pitt. Whole world on them. Fade
Later on
Ill be on Denver -8.5 I am big on them this year and number keeps pushing up
Play of the day might be Packers -1
Pats -2.5
My dear San… etc
:stonksQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Brutal end to both the Jets and Falcons games.
60-yard FG by the Steelers to go up 34-32 with 1:08 left.
Atlanta, up 20-17, gave up a TD way too easily, then got the gift of a missed EP. Then they had TWO almost touchdowns themselves (despite just 59 seconds to do it), and then missed a 44-yard FG to end it.
:gay
I will be taking all 6 of my Survivor tickets to week 2, though. But hardly anyone got eliminated, so.... blah.
daly -
what am i doing here, if anything?
Parlay - 5 Teams
Risk/Win$ 151.00 / $ 1,744.96
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
Vikings / BearsU 44½ -120
Ticket#895981107-1
StatusPending (Minnesota Vikings 0 - Chicago Bears 0)
GameMinnesota Vikings / Chicago Bears
SelectionNFL - 481 / 482 Game Total
ScheduledSep 8, 2025 8:15 PM - (EST)
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
NoteNFL Week 1 - ABC/ESPN
Denver Broncos-7 -155W
Ticket#895981107-2
StatusWon (Tennessee Titans 12 - Denver Broncos 20)
GameTennessee Titans / Denver Broncos
SelectionNFL - 472 Game Spread
ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:05 PM - (EST)
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
Arizona Cardinals-5½ -130W
Ticket#895981107-3
StatusWon (Arizona Cardinals 20 - New Orleans Saints 13)
GameArizona Cardinals / New Orleans Saints
SelectionNFL - 467 Game Spread
ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
NoteNFL Week 1 - CBS
Jacksonville JaguarsML -185W
Ticket#895981107-4
StatusWon (Carolina Panthers 10 - Jacksonville Jaguars 26)
GameCarolina Panthers / Jacksonville Jaguars
SelectionNFL - 460 Game Money Line
ScheduledSep 7, 2025 1:00 PM - (EST)
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
NoteNFL Week 1 - FOX
Texans / RamsU 44½ -120W
Ticket#895981107-5
StatusWon (Houston Texans 9 - Los Angeles Rams 14)
GameHouston Texans / Los Angeles Rams
SelectionNFL - 477 / 478 Game Total
ScheduledSep 7, 2025 4:25 PM - (EST)
AcceptedSep 3, 2025 9:09 PM - (EST)
Placed OnInternet
You don't strike me as the type of guy that $150 is going to make or break the mortgage payment you don't have.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
90% of the time the best thing to do, mathematically, is to sit on your hands and watch it unfold.
You picked up .10 of value so far as the line is 44 flat.
Glgl
The game with the lowest total today was the Jets/Steelers and it went way way the fuck over.
Every other game went under.
:watQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
The city of Baltimore would like a word with you.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff:watQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
The city of Baltimore would like a word with you.
This was a true statement at posting.
Wonder if this will be a new trend though. Three preseason games with 80% of the NFL not using game 3 for starters...... perhaps causing some teams to get out of the gate slow? Last year opening day most of the teams that should have won did not (survivor was a disaster).
Oh, I remember the survivor disaster. It ate my 10k in record time. What bothered me more than losing the 10k was how fast I was out of the contest. I got just about zero entertainment/sweat value out of it. Felt like I had wiped my ass with 100 $100 bills.Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
This was a true statement at posting.
Wonder if this will be a new trend though. Three preseason games with 80% of the NFL not using game 3 for starters...... perhaps causing some teams to get out of the gate slow? Last year opening day most of the teams that should have won did not (survivor was a disaster).
That made me downgrade my entry to $6k this year, so it will be less painful if the same thing happens (so far it's the opposite -- almost everyone survived week 1!)
But yeah, these unders are worth watching.
Obviously the public got destroyed yesterday and the books cleaned up. The ploppies not only bet Overs, but they bet lottery ticket parlays on prop overs on stats and with the low numbers yesterday they got killed worse than normal.
Which is why you will be hearing stories this week of straight bettors that bet decent amounts and won yesterday having trouble by getting limited. Bottom line is the new books don’t want your action unless you are a ploppie betting parlays.
The “it’s only $20” mentality is what they are making hundreds of millions off of.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
a near sweep. daly is a site treasure.
:clap
Little stab in the dark. Loveland +1800 first Td
Quote:
Originally Posted by DalyYou don't strike me as the type of guy that $150 is going to make or break the mortgage payment you don't have.Quote:
Originally Posted by Tellafriend
90% of the time the best thing to do, mathematically, is to sit on your hands and watch it unfold.
You picked up .10 of value so far as the line is 44 flat.
Glgl
so much unspeakable bad luck for this to be the result. again.
did this really happen irl?
https://x.com/RightWingPlays/status/1965209968795373753
Zac Gallen is one of those pitchers who is streaky. When he's on, he dominates. When he's not, he's pretty bad.
Over the past 3 games, he has gone 6 innings each and allowed a TOTAL of one run. That's 1 run in the past 18 innings, with 20 K in that time.
Bonus pick on the Cardinals, to where you just need to win one of these to be profitable:
St. Louis (Liberatore) +168 at Seattle (Kirby)
Arizona (Gallen) +123 at San Francisco (Ray)
This is scary. I almost never bet mlb this time Of year. I was looking for a smallish "non sharp" play to keep a local account open and stumbled across Arizona F5.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Here is to us.
Well Todd. At least we can go to bed early knowing which Zacshowed up tonight.
When you're hot, you're hot... when you're not, you're not.
Cardinals started off ahead 2-0, fell behind 3-2, got back to 3-3, and are back down 5-3 with possibly more scoring.
Gallen didn't have it and gave up 3 before the seats got warm. That one is 4-0 and likely dead.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rdF7o08KXw
Bad Zac got me also. I wanted some action as I have the dreaded late summer cold and was laying around miserable. Everything else I was leaning lost also, so I would have lost if I had went with my own bet anyway.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Single
@
+123
Lost
Sep 9 • 2025 At 08:42:01 PM
Ticket ID: 954834
Moneyline: ARI Diamondbacks
ARI Diamondbacks @ SF Giants
Interesting Zac Gallen stat I heard on Phillies game last night. He and 3 of his high school teammates all made the majors as pitchers. Sure being a catholic school they recruit but still.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
School: Bishop Eustace Preparatory School
Gallen
Tyler Phillips (Phillies)
Justin Hagerman (Mets)
Devin Smeltzer (Twins)
Not a whole lot to go on tonight.
I talked myself into a 1H -2.5 on GB only because the full game opened at 1 and jumped the fence which tells me the powers that be like the pack and Ill trade the 30 min of football to stay on the right side of zero.
Jumped all over wash at 3.5 with a sprinkle of +154 for the game and some WR props. Matthew Golden at +290 anytime TD looked especially good imo.
What a shame. They got away.
Want to take a closer look in the morning but we may be busy tomorrow.
Going to be a day of taking big dogs that people hate (Looking at you NW) and big chalk that people hate (Looking at you War Eagle).
I want to warn you of two things before you read below. 1. You should get a Barf Bag handy. There are some outright ugly teams we are backing. The list looks like shit, which is probably a good thing. 2. The line has moved on some of these from last night. Try and keep the important numbers in mind if you going to follow. You should be able to buy the +28 on NW cheaply. The 21 on Wisconsin is probably too far gone.
12
NW +28
NW U49.5
Wis +21
Aub -24
3:30
Ore st +23.5
Ore St O62.5
Miami -17.5
Miami U 56.5
Usc -21 P
Texas -41
Ill have some 7PM later
I had the Auburn one all ready. My Wiscy is at 19.5, so probably pass. Is something up with NW? My book has it off the board atm 20 minutes before kick? StrangeQuote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Thanks for your thoughts as always
Edit-just put it back up at 28 and 50.
28 was -137 so I took a pass. Under 50 was -110, so on that. Good luck to all/
Myself I’m on Memphis also. Feel like the Troy love is overreaction to playing Clemson close, but don’t think much of Clemson. We will see. Bit of contrarian play
I had Auburn over points. So sick. They only had the ball twice the whole second half (S. Ala only had it 3 times) and 3 points. Auburn defense couldn't really get off the field, and both teams were content to just run out the clock the second half, so that is what they did.
The new weather delay over-precautions are becoming a real problem. One lightning strike 10 miles away and game delayed an hour. Most of these delays there isn't even any rain the storm is so far away.
So at the weigh in Crawford looked pretty solid at 167. I dont think anyone questions that he is the better boxer, it is just a matter of whether that is too heavy for him to box effectively at.
Any strong objections to taking him at +135?
--As a side note, he was +185 before the weigh in. I think a lot of people had the same idea as me, they wanted to see how he looked at the weigh in, and once they saw he seemed to be carrying the weight well they took him.
Here is the 7 slate for me
7
W Mich +27.5
W mich O 51.5
Ark/miss U 60.5
UK -23.5 P
FAU +3 P
Ge sou -3 P
Ohio +30
ND -6.5
Tela,
I haven’t bet it yet. Start a thread professing your deep admiration and respect for Bibi Netanyahu and really sell it to me and I will abstain.
hey fucktard, this is a gambling thread, take your political shit elsewhere, it has no place here.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam