:facepalm
Printable View
:facepalm
Bungles somehow won. But man that was brutal.
:dancingbaby
never a doubt lol
Audric Estime's 1 catch -- on one early game target -- ruined my +492 prop parlay.
Sad!
Anyway, here are my picks today. Note that I'm in a very tough NFL slump right now. In my defense, this has been a bad season for most sharps, yet great for the ploppies.
NY Giants +7.5 -115 vs Indianapolis
Dallas +295 at Philly (Hurts OUT, Pickett starting)
Dallas/Philly - Under 38 -110
Buffalo vs NY Jets - Under 45.5 -110
panthers +10
Seeing a lot of sharps on this, but the line keeps getting longer for Panthers.Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPeters
Not sure what to make of this.
GL
WeatherfraudalertQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffSeeing a lot of sharps on this, but the line keeps getting longer for Panthers.Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPeters
Not sure what to make of this.
GL
Let’s do Ten/Jax
Orkonkwo receiving over 40 -115
Okonkwo receptions o4.5 +125
lol wow likes latex gloves too
I’ve never laid eyes on this player so trust me
I’m sure Bet MGM just made an error and wouldn’t take advantage of weird numbers to get another 10 cent juice
on a high volume game. I’m sure these scumbags will add 5 percent to all winning wagers and give a 5 percent refund to all losing wagers because of this obvious oversight.
I'm not sure I can trust Sam Darold, but the Vikings look like a Super Bowl team. The Packers are a solid all around team, and they are destroying them in every aspect of the game. They were 12 to 1 to win it all, looks like it's went down to 10 to 1 everywhere. If Detroit loses tomorrow, they'd have a road game to win the number one seed next week.
3 in a row now for NFL.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWeatherfraudalertQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Let’s do Ten/Jax
Orkonkwo receiving over 40 -115 ✅
Okonkwo receptions o4.5 +125 ✅
lol wow likes latex gloves too
I’ve never laid eyes on this player so trust me
I thought I heard on the radio even if Detroit wins Minny is playing for the #1 seed next week the way the tiebreakers work out.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
Played O37 in Philly game early in week when it was supposedly going to be a monsoon, and it was bright, sunny and warm. Over hit halfway through 3rd. If you took over in all the outdoor East coast games that had the lines depressed due to what was supposed to be bad weather you went 5-2.Quote:
Originally Posted by SanlmarWeatherfraudalertQuote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
You likely woulda won if it HAD monsooned.Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamPlayed O37 in Philly game early in week when it was supposedly going to be a monsoon, and it was bright, sunny and warm. Over hit halfway through 3rd. If you took over in all the outdoor East coast games that had the lines depressed due to what was supposed to be bad weather you went 5-2.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Fading weather has been a moneytruck for years and a long-standing source of amusement with our man Daly.
The simple ways are usually best
I liked the Dylan flick.
Picked the wrong team to go moneyline.
Giants won OUTRIGHT, Dallas got destroyed after hanging okay in the first.
Both my totals lost (again), despite a great first half for the Buffalo game (12 points).
Really scuffling here in sportsbetting as of late.
Quote:
Originally Posted by KalamI thought I heard on the radio even if Detroit wins Minny is playing for the #1 seed next week the way the tiebreakers work out.Quote:
Originally Posted by VaughnP
no tie-breaker would be needed, the Vikings would have the best record
daly--
whats the best bet on the bowl game tomorrow? (Monday)
been looking at the DET @ SF game for a few hours, i really like DET covering the -3.5, i have them winning by at least 7 and up to 13 and possibly more, i like the over 50 too... i am thinking about doing something like 1 unit DET -3.5 and 1/4 unit on the over 50... i would like to hear from @Daly or anyone else on this game please....
Lions have literally nothing to play for. Next week matters. This result is irrelevant. Talk of pulling starters at some point. Campbell is a hardass, but they have zero skin in that game. They may still cover it as Niners seem in disarray, but I wouldn't want to be out on a ledge with blowouts.
I’m thinking the Lions are going to whip out a can of whoop ass on my Niners as payback for last year’s playoff loss, but I could be wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
They might. He was just looking for feedback and imo what happens if one guy gets hurt in first quarter. At that point you have to be thinking wtf am I doing? Any other coach is sitting guys. But Campbell is balls to the wall. It is a stay away for me.Quote:
Originally Posted by JayjamiI’m thinking the Lions are going to whip out a can of whoop ass on my Niners as payback for last year’s playoff loss, but I could be wrong.Quote:
Originally Posted by BCR
Sorry just saw this.Quote:
Originally Posted by rollinx420
I think you can make a educated guess that if you bet Zona St and ND you will have a better chance to go 2-0 vs 0-2
Under 45.5 Georgia/ND looks good
yeah i seen the scenario where this game for the Lions doesn't mean that much and the real game will be Sunday against the Vikings, but Campbell said they are coming to play, but i've readjusted what i am going to do.... throwing out the total over 50 and i am just going .4 units on DET covering the -3.5, just got in too, the line moved to -4....
Damn. I bet Trey Murphy O19.5 points tonight against Clippers. He has been shooting very well and aggressive last few games. At halftime he had 15 point on 8 shots. Very efficient. The 2nd half he played 20 minutes and went 1 for 2, taking both shots early in the 3rd, and missed his prop.
He literally spent the whole second half standing in the corner being guarded by Powell. It is like the Clippers and Pelicans came to a gentleman's agreement at halftime to just play 4 on 4 whenever NO was on offense. Murphy never left the corner the whole half, and Powell never left him to help on anyone else.
The agreement worked better for the Clippers, as NO was up by 6 at halftime and lost a game that went down to the buzzer. Powell scored 35 points in 40 minutes, so it was nice for Clippers he got to rest on defense the whole second half when he did most of his damage.
In LOL NO fail fashion, NO was down 2 points on basically the final possession of the game, and whoever had the ball (Murray I think) drove and then dished to their rookie center Missi, a 65% FT shooter who scores 9 points a game, mainly on dunks. He was intentionally fouled the second he caught it and predictably went 1-2 at line and they lost.
So tilting to lose a scoring prop on a guy who had 15 points at halftime and was playing good, and went 1-2 shooting in the second half; never even attempting to get involved in the offense. And obviously this was an intentional strategy by NO, that he would stand in the corner the whole second half, and if his guy (who happened to be their main shooter on offense, heaven forbid you make that guy work at all on defense) never left him then the other 4 guys would have more space to work.
Maybe employing fail strategies is why they are 5-27 despite having a some some very good players (on paper at least).
had em both pegged and cost myself a few bucks(again)... you guys should see how i cost myself money when i can't talk myself out of certain plays... oh well a win is a win... already thinking about the Vikings @ DET game... Detroit's defense is very bothersome to me... will be very curious what the opening lines are gonna beQuote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
NBA starts in about 2 hrs. MIL@IND over 230...
louisville +1.5
squeaked by but we gotter done... 232Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
here is another one i don't like and actually hate it a lot more than the 1st pick above, MEM @ PHO under 236.5... Ja Morant is out and both teams are suffering injuries in key role player positions....
ah chit, the fuckin line is going the wrong way... now 237.5/238 ... i was anticipating the opposite... doesn't make sense to me, but we shall see i guess...Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
that was better... 229 no sweat win... except the first half the fuckin Grizzlies could not miss and the Suns were letting them waltz right in the lane and to the basket especially in the 1st quarter... sometimes i don't know who is dumber... the so called "sharps" or Vegas for following them.... lol... when that damn line moved on me in the wrong direction of course it got me nervous again... but i trusted what i saw when i looked over this game... anyways heading to the club with the boy...lolQuote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcarah chit, the fuckin line is going the wrong way... now 237.5/238 ... i was anticipating the opposite... doesn't make sense to me, but we shall see i guess...Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
Happy New Year...
Happy New Year dudes
Hoping my Chiefs sb win futures bet from directly after the sb last year comes in, 8/1 special lol
Yes, I have Texas in a 3 team 10 point tease. And they were up 16 and cruising in the 4th and now it is tied and I dont know WTF is going on.
Texas will probably win by 2 points in 4x overtime anyway because that is how these things work, but it actually worked out for me that Az St tied it after scoring twice, as I had Texas teased to -2.5.
I had Suns 2nd half that I had to sweat till literally the last possession so I watched the 2nd half intently (I actually got super lucky to hit my bet, as it took Suns making a couple shots in garbage time AND Grizzlies missing a couple free throws).Quote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcarthat was better... 229 no sweat win... except the first half the fuckin Grizzlies could not miss and the Suns were letting them waltz right in the lane and to the basket especially in the 1st quarter... sometimes i don't know who is dumber... the so called "sharps" or Vegas for following them.... lol... when that damn line moved on me in the wrong direction of course it got me nervous again... but i trusted what i saw when i looked over this game... anyways heading to the club with the boy...lolQuote:
Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar
Happy New Year...
The Suns (especially Booker) couldn't make a shot. Like you said, given Suns D was a sieve, game probably easily goes over easy if they can hit a shot. Hard to say sharps were dumb. Variance happens.
In last couple minutes of 4th Texas misses a FG and then Texas DB does a clear targeting around midfield to put Az St in FG position. It is happening.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
Edit: They called it no targeting. I really dont know how. It looked like it in real time, and replay made it more obvious.
Edit: Texas kicker misses 2 FGs at end of game, including a potential walk off 38 yard attempt. Texas winning by 2 in OT definitely still in play.
ohio st -2.5
I took O55Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPeters
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
i fucking knew it. Verm, you have to post this shit ahead of time.
You have been warned.
What in the world is Texas doing? 3rd and 10 in OT and they throw the ball into the flat, where the receiver catches it at the line of scrimmage and would need to break 5 tackles to get the 1st down. (He didn't break any tackles and was tacked at line of scrimmage)
My bad. I did give you my over play in the Ohio St. game. Do with that as you will.Quote:
Originally Posted by TellafriendQuote:
Originally Posted by Kalam
i fucking knew it. Verm, you have to post this shit ahead of time.
You have been warned.