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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #18501
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    I'm drinking the Simpdog cool aid, fuck it...
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  2. #18502
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    This post is Not Safe For Non-Canadians

    Fresh 1st Period Numbers

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    TABLET - HOCKEY - NHL - 74 PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -190 FOR 1ST PERIOD

    Penguins v Devils. All we ask is 8 minutes of your time.

    I don’t know what happened in Cabo last night so little bit of a risk.
    Obviously, I’m in love with 1st period total overs.

    Penguins/Devils are each part of this historic run and they are on the same ice.

    I got 5 screens open and 12 things happening and I didn’t check my slip. I mis-clicked. I even cut and pasted the bet and didn’t see.

    Lol, I saw -190 and I prolly said, “yup, that’s it. Everyone is on this magic carpet ride.”

    While we are on the subject, Simp did you disconnect the spark plug on the snow blower? I’m picturing green confetti

    Oh, yeah. Thank the guys at the Monday GA meeting. That was a great Warriors play.

    Edit
    I really don’t have to say it. Like all 1st period overs it won easily.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-28-2019 at 09:34 PM.

  3. #18503
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    What's your juice on Rangers/Philly over in the first?

    Two shite goalies (although Georgiev has been better at home) so I'm taking the -160.

    Sorry for stealing your thunder.

    And have to post two to try to hit another 2-0 day......trying to paint the picture on this one. Might turn out to be a Picasso or a doodle by a 3 year old child.

    Cavs +8.5 at home versus Washington.

    -cavs beat then in December at home by 15
    -Washington is a dumpster fire, so are the Cavs
    -EVERYONE is on the Wizards. EVERYONE

  4. #18504
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    And make sure you click the right buttons today San.....

    my GA group had a good laugh at your expense. Hope it was a small one.....They said we really need to get you to a meeting.

    Gambling addiction is bad, but when it's to the point where you just click random buttons.......


  5. #18505
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    This post is Not Safe For Non-Canadians

    Fresh 1st Period Numbers

    Name:  
Views: 
Size:


    TABLET - HOCKEY - NHL - 74 PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -190 FOR 1ST PERIOD

    Penguins v Devils. All we ask is 8 minutes of your time.

    I don’t know what happened in Cabo last night so little bit of a risk.
    Obviously, I’m in love with 1st period total overs.

    Penguins/Devils are each part of this historic run and they are on the same ice.

    I got 5 screens open and 12 things happening and I didn’t check my slip. I mis-clicked. I even cut and pasted the bet and didn’t see.

    Lol, I saw -190 and I prolly said, “yup, that’s it. Everyone is on this magic carpet ride.”

    While we are on the subject, Simp did you disconnect the spark plug on the snow blower? I’m picturing green confetti

    Oh, yeah. Thank the guys at the Monday GA meeting. That was a great Warriors play.

    Edit
    I really don’t have to say it. Like all 1st period overs it won easily.


    do you have a list of the teams that are crushing this 1st period over stuff?

  6. #18506
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Obviously, I’m in love with 1st period total overs.

    Penguins/Devils are each part of this historic run and they are on the same ice.

    I got 5 screens open and 12 things happening and I didn’t check my slip. I mis-clicked. I even cut and pasted the bet and didn’t see.

    Lol, I saw -190 and I prolly said, “yup, that’s it. Everyone is on this magic carpet ride.”

    While we are on the subject, Simp did you disconnect the spark plug on the snow blower? I’m picturing green confetti

    Oh, yeah. Thank the guys at the Monday GA meeting. That was a great Warriors play.

    Edit
    I really don’t have to say it. Like all 1st period overs it won easily.


    do you have a list of the teams that are crushing this 1st period over stuff?
    This doesn’t reflect last night - so it’s even better now

    Name:  01B426E9-114F-439B-95D5-D1906FB31255.jpeg
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Size:  1.55 MB

    Been flat out - haven’t looked. I may have time in an hour

  7. #18507
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    What's your juice on Rangers/Philly over in the first?

    Two shite goalies (although Georgiev has been better at home) so I'm taking the -160.
    I had -155

    Philly is 23-25 48% 1st Period overs
    Rangers 28-20 58%

    I’m not feeling it at that price. I defer to your knowledge of goalies. I’ll look some more st other games later.

    Lol. I’m late for mtg now. Nothing new

  8. #18508
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    I have been observing a trend in the college basketball unders.

    I have noticed that anytime an over/under is above 152 and the spread is double digits(the greater the spread the better), the under tends to hit more often than not.

    Maybe one of you guys can run those numbers, I wouldn't even know where to start..

    Also noticed that when the over/under is 125, and the spread is double digits, the over has hit all 3 times I've seen this, just food for thought..
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  9. #18509
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Every 1st Period over is gonna hit tonight

    Like I said, they are gonna do a “30 for 30” on this some day.

    We were wondering if it would slow down after the break. Nothing lasts forever but maybe this is an exception.

  10. #18510
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Every 1st Period over is gonna hit tonight

    Like I said, they are gonna do a “30 for 30” on this some day.

    We were wondering if it would slow down after the break. Nothing lasts forever but maybe this is an exception.
    Every one except the one I took

  11. #18511
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    What's your juice on Rangers/Philly over in the first?

    Two shite goalies (although Georgiev has been better at home) so I'm taking the -160.

    Sorry for stealing your thunder.

    And have to post two to try to hit another 2-0 day......trying to paint the picture on this one. Might turn out to be a Picasso or a doodle by a 3 year old child.

    Cavs +8.5 at home versus Washington.

    -cavs beat then in December at home by 15
    -Washington is a dumpster fire, so are the Cavs
    -EVERYONE is on the Wizards. EVERYONE
    Going to let you handle the first periods.

    Cavs looking great should have sprinkled some moneyline. Line should have been -8 Cavs

  12. #18512
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    It’s going to take some monumental money changes for me to change my mind at this point. The sharpest money is on Rams and under. Kills me to say it as a lifelong pats fan, but it is what it is.

  13. #18513
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    I'm gonna take the rams money line, should I wait or fire away now?
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  14. #18514
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    I have been observing a trend in the college basketball unders.

    I have noticed that anytime an over/under is above 152 and the spread is double digits(the greater the spread the better), the under tends to hit more often than not.

    Maybe one of you guys can run those numbers, I wouldn't even know where to start..

    Also noticed that when the over/under is 125, and the spread is double digits, the over has hit all 3 times I've seen this, just food for thought..

    Ball State vs Buffalo o/u was 163.5, final total is 142..

    Next one I spotted was UNLV VS Nevada o/u 152.5
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  15. #18515
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm going to start betting overs, too.

    Stupid for me to ignore this.

    I've seen so many games I think will go over, and I've been right a good deal of the time, but I've just dismissed them as "not an under, so I'm not betting it" rather than betting the other side.

    Here's a list of today's games:

    Was/Cle - Result: OVER, Public: Slightly OVER
    Mil/Det - Result: OVER, Public: UNDER
    OKC/Orl - Result: OVER, Public: Slightly OVER
    Chi/Bkn - Result: OVER, Public: OVER
    NO/Hou - Result: In progress (probably going OVER), Public: UNDER
    Pho/SA - Results: Halftime (likely OVER), Public: More bets UNDER, more money OVER
    Phi/LAL - Hasn't started yet, Public: More bets OVER, more money UNDER, both close to even both ways

    So we could have a clean sweep of OVERS today.

  16. #18516
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Anyway, I'm going to bet that there will NOT be a clean sweep of overs, as I'm going to take the under in the Sixers/Lakers game.

    Continuing with the theme of "Players coming back from injury who will impede the pace of scoring", we have Jimmy Butler finally returning tonight. Also, Joel Embiid has been having stomach issues, and will play, but actually skipped the shootaround. Even Wilson Chandler has some hamstring tightness.

    On the Lakers side, there's no Lebron, no Kuzma, and no Ball (even though Ball has sucked anyway).

    Philadelphia at Lakers - Under 230

  17. #18517
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    I wouldn’t say Ball has sucked. He actually was playing decent before his injury. They being said, rondo is more of a half court PG and plays way slower than him, so Rondo playing point 40 minutes is probably good for the under.

  18. #18518
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    It’s going to take some monumental money changes for me to change my mind at this point. The sharpest money is on Rams and under. Kills me to say it as a lifelong pats fan, but it is what it is.
    With the number 3 in front of you .... how have you resolved the Rams kicker Zuerlein and his injury? Not that Gostkowski has been any prize in playoffs or Super Bowl.

    It takes every fiber of my being to not unload some bet on Gostkowski missing a PAT.

    Nevertheless, everyone sees this as tight and kicking often resolves such games.

    That stadium could allow some 55 yd legitimate decisions. Rams forfeit and punt?

    I still can’t get involved. Maybe I’ve done a prop or two for entertainment. We will see what develops.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-29-2019 at 11:49 PM.

  19. #18519
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, there ya go. I hit the only under of the entire day. Every other game went over.

    Didn't win by a lot, but I won.

  20. #18520
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    I'm gonna take the rams money line, should I wait or fire away now?
    I’d wait....but not for long.

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