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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #7541
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm with P4Pres on Houston.

    Here are my picks today:

    Houston (Peacock) -120 at Oakland (Cotton)
    Texas (Perez) -1.5 +140 vs. Angels (Chacin)

  2. #7542
    Bronze Serial Fail's Avatar
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    I moved my entire roll from Bovada when the whole switch over happened with ignition so I'm trying to decide where to restart a new sports betting roll. Where do you all bet at? What is the best option in the states for easy deposit and withdrawal?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    I moved my entire roll from Bovada when the whole switch over happened with ignition so I'm trying to decide where to restart a new sports betting roll. Where do you all bet at? What is the best option in the states for easy deposit and withdrawal?
    cant tell you about the competitiveness of the lines, but ACR has pretty easy deposit/withdrawals..

  4. #7544
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    I moved my entire roll from Bovada when the whole switch over happened with ignition so I'm trying to decide where to restart a new sports betting roll. Where do you all bet at? What is the best option in the states for easy deposit and withdrawal?
    Why not use Bovada?

  5. #7545
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I really hope you guys got ROY money down on Wentz at 50-1.....

    Lot can happen between not and January but this is about as good a start to a career as you can have.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Just running so bad in MLB lately.

    Texas was tied 2-2 with bases loaded, 1 out in 8th. Needed 2 runs so my -1.5 could cover.

    Rua hit a bullet down the third base line which would have scored at least two. Escobar made an amazing play to jump up and stab it. Next batter flied out, inning over. Texas then walks off with 3 consecutive hits in the 9th to win 3-2.

    Second time in a row I've bet -1.5 and my team won by just 1 run.

    Need to hope Houston's offense gets off the floor to earn me a split. They're down 2-1 in the 7th.

  7. #7547
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I really hope you guys got ROY money down on Wentz at 50-1.....

    Lot can happen between not and January but this is about as good a start to a career as you can have.
    I wish I had

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Just running so bad in MLB lately.

    Texas was tied 2-2 with bases loaded, 1 out in 8th. Needed 2 runs so my -1.5 could cover.

    Rua hit a bullet down the third base line which would have scored at least two. Escobar made an amazing play to jump up and stab it. Next batter flied out, inning over. Texas then walks off with 3 consecutive hits in the 9th to win 3-2.

    Second time in a row I've bet -1.5 and my team won by just 1 run.

    Need to hope Houston's offense gets off the floor to earn me a split. They're down 2-1 in the 7th.
    I used to bet these 1.5s a lot about 15 years ago. Have no data to prove it but I think they are sort of suckers plays

  9. #7549
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Just running so bad in MLB lately.

    Texas was tied 2-2 with bases loaded, 1 out in 8th. Needed 2 runs so my -1.5 could cover.

    Rua hit a bullet down the third base line which would have scored at least two. Escobar made an amazing play to jump up and stab it. Next batter flied out, inning over. Texas then walks off with 3 consecutive hits in the 9th to win 3-2.

    Second time in a row I've bet -1.5 and my team won by just 1 run.

    Need to hope Houston's offense gets off the floor to earn me a split. They're down 2-1 in the 7th.
    I used to bet these 1.5s a lot about 15 years ago. Have no data to prove it but I think they are sort of suckers plays
    I stayed away from them for the most part, but in the late season when so few underdogs seem to hit, and when rookie pitchers routinely get blown out, I thought some of them were worth doing.

    Sadly I've gotten fucked both times I've done it this month.

  10. #7550
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Just running so bad in MLB lately.

    Texas was tied 2-2 with bases loaded, 1 out in 8th. Needed 2 runs so my -1.5 could cover.

    Rua hit a bullet down the third base line which would have scored at least two. Escobar made an amazing play to jump up and stab it. Next batter flied out, inning over. Texas then walks off with 3 consecutive hits in the 9th to win 3-2.

    Second time in a row I've bet -1.5 and my team won by just 1 run.

    Need to hope Houston's offense gets off the floor to earn me a split. They're down 2-1 in the 7th.
    I used to bet these 1.5s a lot about 15 years ago. Have no data to prove it but I think they are sort of suckers plays
    Playing the -1.5 on the favorite is a sucker play. I play them sometimes on a dog, especially a big dog. -1.5 was +400 for Braves tonight and -2.5 was +930. If I am going to play a big dog on the moneyline, I tend to sprinkle some on the -1.5 and maybe the -2.5.

  11. #7551
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    I used to bet these 1.5s a lot about 15 years ago. Have no data to prove it but I think they are sort of suckers plays
    Playing the -1.5 on the favorite is a sucker play. I play them sometimes on a dog, especially a big dog. -1.5 was +400 for Braves tonight and -2.5 was +930. If I am going to play a big dog on the moneyline, I tend to sprinkle some on the -1.5 and maybe the -2.5.
    Funny, I was thinking of the -1.5 on the Braves, because they have been hot in September, and have rolled up a lot of surprising offensive performances.

    Anyway, I feel less irritated about that improbable 8th-inning catch by the Angels, because the Astros tied it in the 8th and won it in the 9th on my other bet, so as far as luck is concerned, I guess I kinda broke even today.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post

    Playing the -1.5 on the favorite is a sucker play. I play them sometimes on a dog, especially a big dog. -1.5 was +400 for Braves tonight and -2.5 was +930. If I am going to play a big dog on the moneyline, I tend to sprinkle some on the -1.5 and maybe the -2.5.
    Funny, I was thinking of the -1.5 on the Braves, because they have been hot in September, and have rolled up a lot of surprising offensive performances.

    Anyway, I feel less irritated about that improbable 8th-inning catch by the Angels, because the Astros tied it in the 8th and won it in the 9th on my other bet, so as far as luck is concerned, I guess I kinda broke even today.

    For the most part it is best to stay away from -1.5 on home teams, just for the simple fact that theres a good chance they will get less at-bats

    also Texas has been the master of the one run victory this season, something like 35-12 in one run games

  13. #7553
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    As I've said about 50 pages ago..... I know profitable prop players, I know some profitable totals people and I know a few rare people who make money on sides.

    I've never met a person who is a profitable puck/run line player.

    Good luck and I hope one of you is the first.

  14. #7554
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Funny, I was thinking of the -1.5 on the Braves, because they have been hot in September, and have rolled up a lot of surprising offensive performances.

    Anyway, I feel less irritated about that improbable 8th-inning catch by the Angels, because the Astros tied it in the 8th and won it in the 9th on my other bet, so as far as luck is concerned, I guess I kinda broke even today.

    For the most part it is best to stay away from -1.5 on home teams, just for the simple fact that theres a good chance they will get less at-bats

    also Texas has been the master of the one run victory this season, something like 35-12 in one run games
    Yeah I was too tempted by Texas as I thought they were going to blow out Chacin, but it was a mistake. Went 1-1 instead of 2-0 if I had just done the sides.

    The home -1.5 is so brutal because you have almost zero chance of winning if they are up by less than 2 after 8 innings.

  15. #7555
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    Washnigton (Roark) +160 at Miami (Fernandez) -- currently OTB on Bovada for some reason

    Philadelphia (Thompson) -107 vs. Chicago White Sox (Shields)

  16. #7556
    Bronze Reno's Avatar
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    Parlay: Cubs/Rangers (+105)

     
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      Sanlmar: The Cubs parlay.. Took a page from my book ... Reno running good .. Keep it up

  17. #7557
    Bronze Serial Fail's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    I moved my entire roll from Bovada when the whole switch over happened with ignition so I'm trying to decide where to restart a new sports betting roll. Where do you all bet at? What is the best option in the states for easy deposit and withdrawal?
    Why not use Bovada?

    I will if it is the best option out there, but I figured if there was another site that was better for the bettor, I might as well move while I have an excuse.

  18. #7558
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Why not use Bovada?

    I will if it is the best option out there, but I figured if there was another site that was better for the bettor, I might as well move while I have an excuse.
    I mean you don't really have to move anywhere. Just re-deposit on bovada and play poker on ignition. Bovada you should be able to get good bonuses and good lines depending on what your betting

  19. #7559
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  20. #7560
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Colorado (Marquez) +130 vs. St. Louis (Weaver)
    Arizona (Greinke) -122 at San Diego (Perdomo)

    Note that the Col game starts at 12:10pm PDT.

    Also, my first NFL pick of the year:

    LA Rams at Tampa Bay - Under 42 -110

     
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      Shizzmoney: also on the LA/TB Under GL

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