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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #2961
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.

  2. #2962
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.
    I feel the same.

    I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.

    Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.

    I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.

    However:
    Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly


    I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.

    Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.

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  3. #2963
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.
    I feel the same.

    I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.

    Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.

    I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.

    However:
    Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly


    I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.

    Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.

    Name:  image.jpg
Views: 662
Size:  221.8 KB


    3500 more wagers on Carolina, yet philly has more money on them.... what do you think this tells us, you know the answer. Jsizzle is abount to go 7-1 tonight on the public picks!

  4. #2964
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    5-2.

    Eagles +3.5 (-118).... it's all free money from the sizzler picks

  5. #2965
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    ^^^ - Some late money is coming in for Carolina. The public isn't smashing either one with Eagles at 52.1% of the money but definitely way more bets for Carolina.

    Teams do keep it close versus Carolina but it feels like they should be favorite by a few more points but I wouldn't go higher then like 5.5 or 6.

    Philly has been good the past few weeks so people are taking that into account as well but Carolina is a solid home team.

  6. #2966
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    any way to tell WHERE the money is coming from, geographically?

    if more philly people were betting on their team, it would make a lot of sense, and they may have more money up there than the people down in CAR (generalizing and profiling, because, hillbillies).

  7. #2967
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    ^^^ - Some late money is coming in for Carolina. The public isn't smashing either one with Eagles at 52.1% atm.

    Teams do keep it close versus Carolina but it feels like they should be favorite by a few more points but I wouldn't go higher then like 5.5 or 6.

    Philly has been good the past few weeks so people are taking that into account as well but Carolina is a solid home team.
    Appreciate the thinking.

    Who the hell knows how they release the figures, or when. Right? Only thing that matters are the betting lines.

    You on this?

  8. #2968
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Appreciate the thinking.

    Who the hell knows how they release the figures, or when. Right? Only thing that matters are the betting lines.

    You on this?
    I'm sitting this one out but would lean towards Carolina. GL!

  9. #2969
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Enough of this faggot football shit. Who wants a hockey prop
    Detriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?

  10. #2970
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Enough of this faggot football shit. Who wants a hockey prop
    Detriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?





    I guess Im not part of the Hockey Prop clique


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  11. #2971
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    wow...Im surprised. I thought that was going to be called DOWN since his body hit the ground before the ball was stripped.

  12. #2972
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Browns o42. LOSER
    Browns ml +230. LOSER
    Browns +12.5/Pats -1.5. LOSER
    Steelers +9/Pats -1.5. LOSER
    steelers +3. LOSER
    Carolina -3
    You fuckers should load up on second half Eagles. Not to be the bad beat guy, but every fucking team I bet can't hold on to the ball. Browns -3 TO differential. Steelers -3 TO differential. Panthers at -1 through first half. When I have the energy I'm going to go through this thread, figure out how many standard deviations I'm off of average, then shoot myself in the head. The minute I bet you, they lather your entire body in Crisco

  13. #2973
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Browns o42. LOSER
    Browns ml +230. LOSER
    Browns +12.5/Pats -1.5. LOSER
    Steelers +9/Pats -1.5. LOSER
    steelers +3. LOSER
    Carolina -3
    You fuckers should load up on second half Eagles. Not to be the bad beat guy, but every fucking team I bet can't hold on to the ball. Browns -3 TO differential. Steelers -3 TO differential. Panthers at -1 through first half. When I have the energy I'm going to go through this thread, figure out how many standard deviations I'm off of average, then shoot myself in the head. The minute I bet you, they lather your entire body in Crisco
    Give in BCR. Admit you can't beat sides And totals (neither can I) Start to look into prop betting where you have a chance.

  14. #2974
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Some people killed it this week I'm sure if they were on the right side of some of these HORRIBLE lines that were way off.

    A lot of money to be made on these totals today for someone who is sharp enough to find them.

    Jags/Bills off by 22 to 23 pts
    Browns/Rams off by 13 to 14 pts (low end)
    Dolphins/Texans off by 24 pts
    Falcons/Titans off by 28 to 29 pts (low end)
    Redskins/Bucs off by 19 pts
    Raiders/Chargers off by 18 to 19 pts

    The only game I bet today was the over 41.5 in the Jags/Bills since it's in London those games go over a lot. 41.5 is just too low for these two shitty defensive teams who make tons of mistakes in this environment.

    If total seems way too low again next week I will fire on the under Lions/Chiefs game played in London.

  15. #2975
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    that 3rd and 15 pass interference call made me sick

     
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      Sanlmar: Flag football is faggot

  16. #2976
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    that 3rd and 15 pass interference call made me sick
    This whole game made me sick. My pick was almost as bad as the sizzlers.

  17. #2977
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    OK FOLKS!

    Lets have a good strong finish to today!


    Dont listen to me as I have no fucking clue what to do today.


    Im picking Carolina tonight to cover -3

    Cam is the type of qb who shines in the spotlight, and all eyes will be on him for a sunday night game. eagles missing 3 starters. CAR defense will sack eagles qb a few times and they will have about 5 3 and outs. a rookie at LB and if he has to spy Newton, Newton will dust him.

    They are fighting to keep this undefeated streak going. Philly is already 3-3. They won their last 2, but are 1-2 in away games.

    Carolina by 6. low scoring game. (the under).

    also took CAR -2 for 1st hlf



    I have the same chances of winning this bet that we all have of seeing a quality LOL WOW post this next week.




  18. #2978
    Bronze Detroit's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Enough of this faggot football shit. Who wants a hockey prop
    Detriot - now that we have that hockey prop in the bag after the second period, want to let the rest of these fools know what's up?
    Daly offered me a position in his "business." Business is Excellent!! Climb aboard.

    Wasn't even a sweat tonight...17 saves

    Hockey - Total saves in the game - Jonas Hiller (CAL)

    Calgary Flames @ New York Rangers

    Under 28.0 (-115) Oct 25, 2015 7:00 PM

    Outcome: Win

    Date settled: Oct 25, 2015 9:47 PM

    $230.00
    $200.00

  19. #2979
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I'm lost on the Carolina line too with them only being -3 at home. It seems like a trappy but we will see.
    I feel the same.

    I wrote there was a mismatch on amount wagered favoring Carolina. I just looked again and there is now $800,000 more on Philly.

    Problem with my computer or something. I trust they aren't fucking with us. Musta been me.

    I am more comfortable seeing Philly getting this love. That's all it is is fan love.

    However:
    Look at number of bets vs amount wagered vs # big bets. A few huge bets musta rolled in on Philly


    I rarely look at this but I was so confused by this line too and felt the sucker somehow.

    Here's a snapshot. How does this look to you and what does it tell you? I might actually learn something.

    Name:  image.jpg
Views: 662
Size:  221.8 KB

    the Minnesota numbers look way off. 904 bets with an avg bet of $706, yet only one bet over 1k? one person threw down ~400-500k there? If so, good job by them.

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  20. #2980
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      lewfather: DAAAAAAAAAAANG

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