Originally Posted by
RobbieBensonFan
Please stay on topic. Special Note, there are plenty of threads where you, as the user, can flame me. This thread is geared to polls on the Presidential Election (and/or House and Senate).
Scott Rasmussen was deemed the the most accurate pollster after the 2008 election and called the margin spot on. This is simply a fact. I will continually rely on his poll data in this thread, others can cite other polls, although I believe most pollsters alter their sample size based upon their politics, that they poll more Republicans or Democrats to fit their ideology.
He actually tied with Pew. How did he do in 2010?
Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly
By NATE SILVER
The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including
one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.
Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...rmed-strongly/
"Independent Pollster" Scott Rasmussen Headlines Republican Fundraisers
http://mediamatters.org/blog/2012/03...adlines/186270
Rasmussen also does not call cell phones. What type of skew would this lead to? Older and more conservative. Rasmussen also worked for the Bush campaign and wrote columns for the super right website WND.