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Thread: *** OFFICIAL 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Race Thread ***

  1. #3881
    Gold MrTickle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    Biden is projected to finish about 375 delegates ahead of Sanders in the average simulation-Nate Silver
    Nate Silver is so full of shit.

    Remember he predicted a Hillary Clinton victory by a landslide.

    If he loses he should eat his own shit.

    No, he didn’t. He said Clinton had a 71.4% chance of winning. How many times have you lost poker hands when you were a 70+% favourite? Many times. This is the last website I’d expect people not to understand probability

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    Name:  9A9BFA5E-9A02-42A9-BEBA-CC85D606EEE5.jpeg
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  3. #3883
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    Joe B the BasedGod

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Trump runs so well in everything, it's unbelievable.

    I never want to play poker against him.

    Thinking back, he even ran well with the fact that the 2016 GOP was too disorganized and fragmented to coalesce against him like the DNC did here against Bernie.

    And here he gets to run against either a senile creepy weirdo or a dictator-loving socialist.

    And he gets the benefit of angry Bernie Bros staying home if he ends up against Biden.

    He really does just keep on winning.

  5. #3885
    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Trump runs so well in everything, it's unbelievable.

    I never want to play poker against him.

    Thinking back, he even ran well with the fact that the 2016 GOP was too disorganized and fragmented to coalesce against him like the DNC did here against Bernie.

    And here he gets to run against either a senile creepy weirdo or a dictator-loving socialist.

    And he gets the benefit of angry Bernie Bros staying home if he ends up against Biden.

    He really does just keep on winning.
    What happens when both lose to Coronoavirus?

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    5-1.................. take it down


    in other news look for the republicans to dust off burisma and hunter so they can weaponize themselves in case biden thinks of riding this wave to the presidency
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



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    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    Hillary Clinton is a piece of shit and her 2016 campaign for President was criminal.



     
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      Sanlmar: POS rep
      
      MumblesBadly: LOL spelling “baloney” like the cold cut meat product!!!

  8. #3888
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thesidedish View Post
    short biden


    i am loving this tho, the Bernie bros don't need any help from trump on sniffing out the scam. and like i said last page, i believe Bernie has much more of a shot to beat trump than the bumbling stooge. hyper witty trump will annihilate the guy who sounds like hes approaching .15 BAC


    also, saw an interview from warren on CNN last night that was one of the fakest politician-y ive ever seen

    i'm honestly torn on who would be a better opponent for trump. i probably think you're right, but not sure.

    on the one hand, biden frequently appears to be senile. also, it's really tough to run against free. if bernie's promising free everything, that's a tough message to counter.

    on the other hand, old black people still hate bernie and he calls himself a socialist.

    i also believe there's 10000 hours of opposition video waiting for bernie and weird rape fantasies and misogynistic stuff.

    bernie is also in favor of deeply unpopular things, like abolishing traditional insurance, free health care for illegals, abolishing ICE, etc.

    that might not play well in PA, wisconsin and michigan.

  9. #3889
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Bet on straight demographics in every state and you won’t get hurt in any state in markets. Look at Hispanic/black ratio and over 65 to under 35 and go from there. Flip when it doubles on any good news. Don’t wait for outlying areas to come in. Bernie money is the money that overreacts so flip him and get out anywhere Hispanic like buying Az dip right now and flip at 60 when they overreact. Don’t hold for the rural areas. This is most blunt force demographic old/young/black/brown race ever. When do you see Iowa winner out before Super Tuesday? Bernie of course is going to get straight destroyed in Deep South.
    I thought I’d have to hold AZ longer than a few hours. People flipping shit Biden blue that make no sense. You can just pick up $400 over retarded shit and have enough left over to buy a five guys burger after predictit fees all day on this shit. It’s a shame it’s capped and the vig sucks.
    Last edited by BCR; 03-03-2020 at 02:31 PM.

  10. #3890
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by thesidedish View Post
    short biden


    i am loving this tho, the Bernie bros don't need any help from trump on sniffing out the scam. and like i said last page, i believe Bernie has much more of a shot to beat trump than the bumbling stooge. hyper witty trump will annihilate the guy who sounds like hes approaching .15 BAC


    also, saw an interview from warren on CNN last night that was one of the fakest politician-y ive ever seen

    i'm honestly torn on who would be a better opponent for trump. i probably think you're right, but not sure.

    on the one hand, biden frequently appears to be senile. also, it's really tough to run against free. if bernie's promising free everything, that's a tough message to counter.

    on the other hand, old black people still hate bernie and he calls himself a socialist.

    i also believe there's 10000 hours of opposition video waiting for bernie and weird rape fantasies and misogynistic stuff.

    bernie is also in favor of deeply unpopular things, like abolishing traditional insurance, free health care for illegals, abolishing ICE, etc.

    that might not play well in PA, wisconsin and michigan.

    For myself, it’s all about the economy and this virus shit as far as Dems having a good shot . Had it emerged Bernie or Bloomberg, you kind of have it both ways if it goes south. If it turned into a people spread it because they didn’t have insurance and couldn’t get into doctor and they’re out of work, it’s a Bernie story. If it’s about markets and how the situation was mismanaged, it plays well into Bloomberg.


    Trading one senile guy for another in time of crisis, why bother? Bloomberg ran bad because I think he’s way more attractive in a month.

    Obviously I hope this shit passes and the economy is solid and the chips fall wherever. But politically, those two options I think are better than these two.

  11. #3891
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    the one tricky thing that is hanging over trump is obamacare. the supreme court is on the verge of overturning it and the public likes it.

    if the economy is issue #1, health care is always 1(a)

    i can absolutely see that being the entire focus of biden's or bernie's campaign.

    trump doesn't have any good response to this. his DOJ fought to overturn it.

    "don't worry, we're going to replace it with something better" isn't believable after we've seen the republicans fail at this when they controlled both congressional chambers and the presidency.

  12. #3892
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    Bernie in trouble if they can snap call Va.

  13. #3893
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    the one tricky thing that is hanging over trump is obamacare. the supreme court is on the verge of overturning it and the public likes it.

    if the economy is issue #1, health care is always 1(a)

    i can absolutely see that being the entire focus of biden's or bernie's campaign.

    trump doesn't have any good response to this. his DOJ fought to overturn it.

    "don't worry, we're going to replace it with something better" isn't believable after we've seen the republicans fail at this when they controlled both congressional chambers and the presidency.

    It’s a fair point

  14. #3894
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    biden now .69 to bernie .28 on predictit


    damnnnnn

  15. #3895
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thesidedish View Post
    also, saw an interview from warren on CNN last night that was one of the fakest politician-y ive ever seen
    That phony pos is 3rd in her home state. I mean, who knows her best?

     
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      MumblesBadly: It’s the one small satisfaction out of this primary day’s events for this once-Warren devotee.

  16. #3896
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    white suburban voters went heavy on biden over sanders in virginia.

    these are the same people that will decide the swing states.

    gg bernie

  17. #3897
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    guys, a week ago, bernie was supposed to have had this thing locked up by the end of tonight.

    now there's a real chance biden actually leads bernie in delegates.

    think bernie still believes the delegate leader should get the nomination going into the convention?
    Last edited by blake; 03-03-2020 at 06:18 PM.

  18. #3898
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    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    now there's a real chance biden actually leads bernie in delegates.

    think bernie still believes the delegate leader should get the nomination going into the convention?
    We're about to see a reversal from Bernie Bros reaaaal quick

  19. #3899
    Diamond blake's Avatar
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    bernie won oklahoma by 10 points over hillary

    he's going to lose oklahoma by 9 or 10 tonight to biden.

  20. #3900
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    Guess the better question is, will Bernie win another state after today?

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