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Thread: Men VS Machine NL $200K Prize

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    Gold DonaldTrumpsHairPiece's Avatar
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    Men VS Machine NL $200K Prize

    https://www.inverse.com/article/2616...lay-against-ai

    Last year the humans crushed the AI machine, what will happen this year?

  2. #2
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Quote Originally Posted by DonaldTrumpsHairPiece View Post
    https://www.inverse.com/article/2616...lay-against-ai

    Last year the humans crushed the AI machine, what will happen this year?
    I believe last year was a statistical tie..

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    Gold DonaldTrumpsHairPiece's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigUns View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by DonaldTrumpsHairPiece View Post
    https://www.inverse.com/article/2616...lay-against-ai

    Last year the humans crushed the AI machine, what will happen this year?
    I believe last year was a statistical tie..

    Really maybe I have to re read the article but it said each player ended the test with more chips than the AI machine.

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    Cubic Zirconia spennywins's Avatar
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    The pros earned a net win but the amount won relative to the amount bet was deemed statistically insignificant. The confidence interval was around 93-94 percent if I recall. I think if the amount won was translated to bb/100 it was a respectable winrate over a reasonable enough sample size. But academics are pedantic.

    Also determining the acceptable level of statistical significance is somewhat of an arbitrary process imo. There has been a big debate in the echo chamber of statistics about the utilization of confidence intervals. But that is just as much a discussion about the modelling or sampling process as it is about statistical significance itself.

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    Cubic Zirconia spennywins's Avatar
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    There is another group of machine learning yahoos who just released a study as well about DeepStack which uses neural networks to create a no limit bot. I haven't audited the paper for myself thoroughly but I know the sample size is smaller and the players are worse.

    However, the process of fine tuning a neural network is an extremely challenging task so it is still impressive and interesting.

    The paper can be found here if anyone is interested.

    https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.01724

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    Gold DonaldTrumpsHairPiece's Avatar
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    Thank you spenny for the extra insight, link and explanation.

    It is fascinating to me they are able to do so well, it is hard to imagine a machine that not just assumes/calculates based on data that you are bluffing but does so to the point where it "almost" knows you better than you know yourself in a situation lol crazy stuff

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    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    They are streaming it again for several days on twitch if anyone cares.

    The most popular pro playing it is Jason Les, who also did it last year.

    https://www.twitch.tv/libratus_vs_jasonles

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